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Sunday SWFE..Monday Coastal?


CoastalWx

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41 minutes ago, SeanInWayland said:

I'll echo my earlier advice, Prof. C. Change your flight to get into T F Green instead, and you should be OK. I've utilized this trick numerous times and always been glad I did.

I know you answered my question earlier about moving my flight from Monday to tomorrow. I'm coming in on an international flight. So can't do PVD. So what day would be best for Logsn?

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7 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said:

9" for you, 11 for me.

endless yellow pixels from Alton eastward.

It wouldn't shock me. I can already sense my anger growing as winds back to the NW and start sublimating away at my falling snow...not to mention blowing and drifting over my measurement area.

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15 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I think BOS gets 6+ but the potential runs from a water laden 4-7 to 12+.  Tomorrow will determine the outcome.  OES in the AM and keeping the waa mostly snow would be best obviously.

I don't think we can have a beast like this 100 miles east of Boston without having some crazy azz band pounding you guys.  Think back to 2/15/15, when the killer band was not well modeled until the night before...I believe RGEM nailed it first.  I like 15" for greater Boston.

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from where I'm sitting this cycle of the NAM was about mid way between the 06z and the 12z in terms of particulars...

I don't think these variations mean a whole helluva lot - kind of like 'giga motions' as we close in.

It is possible that there is some very slight initialization difference that slightly perturbs this weaker on the off's but again ...even if so, the difference don't appear to offer any effective difference of meaning to the sensible/material impact of this thing.

40+ MPH gust enveloping an area of 10" vs 15" won't make any difference at all..   ... 12 vs 18... 8 vs 12... whatever.

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