Bostonseminole Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 967 LOW on the RGEM at 48hrs.. moving pretty slow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 Yeah a little warmer but still pasty. That is awfully close to crushing ern areas Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 does it seem to move SE between 45 and 48 hr? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 22 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I'm almost willing to bet (though it's a better question for Will, perhaps...) that's closer to climatology for that location? They end up with higher totals per season ... because it's colder and just snows more often in smaller affairs than the rest of us. They end up doing it in the aggregate, as it is said.. Contrasting, a stem-wound coastal bomb might meso metro-west Boston with 18" of of thundersnow, once or twice and they end up stealing all the drama. Obviously big events hit everywhere, once in a while,... but perception is politics in the game of snow mania too - with all due respect it has been commonplace although not all 18 plus events but I know I truly lost my mind with the feb 14-15 2015 event that you guys were hi fiving blue eyed purple unicorns in.....the late jan event was the first step off the cliff but that was the worst....that's the one Ginx said was gonna rip a hole in the ozone or something like that and Jim Cantore was running around like a lunatic in +++++ttttsssn oh well we can always hold out hope nyc for their climo has had an equally awesome run too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 RGEM went the opposite direction down in SE MA on WAA. Very little accumulating snow verbatim. Maybe consolation prize on the coastal with a couple inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 This whole system is weird to me... It almost has a vibe of "too good to be true" radiating off of it. We just had an impressive coastal with some 6 to 16" inches regionally, and then a beautiful 2 to 5" cap job over night last night, and ...well, our climo doesn't reeeelly require loading the gun up with something so soon - certainly not of the wrap in blizzard caliber. I would have thunk Sunday's system whiffs E such that the R-wave can have time to re-situate in preparation for the bigger planetary signal on Thursday. Let's hope we don't get caught in limbo between both; like, Sunday's doesn't completely whiff, but ends up forgettable... just enough to complete hose (transitively) the Thursday system. But that's sort of provincial logic speaking... The Meteorologist in my knows that at some point in the total 1,000,000 years of eastern North American history, there has been 70" weeks - hahaha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Don't forget to save the animated vis sat SNOW-CANE. Warm seclusion would say it's going to have an eye! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 did they extends the WSW to almost all SNE now? or did they do that overnight.. just noticed that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah a little warmer but still pasty. That is awfully close to crushing ern areas Monday morning. What's your take for our neck of the woods?can we get in on the action Monday or do we flip/flop between rain and snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, ROOSTA said: Don't forget to save the animated vis sat SNOW-CANE. Warm seclusion would say it's going to have an eye! Good post! agreed - ...this is a candidate for eye-candy Satellite film, if for no other reason ...probably a fantastic schooling tool for rapid cyclogenesis... ...unless all the models are wrong and nothing happens... Excluding that possibility, this should prove quite sexy in re-analysis - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Reggie looks about the same inland. 8-12 just inland from CT coast north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Verbatim, GFS is warm except for NW CT and up into the Berks and points N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 5 minutes ago, HinghamBoss said: What's your take for our neck of the woods?can we get in on the action Monday or do we flip/flop between rain and snow? Tomorrow may be a mess. I honestly don't have a good feel. I'm hoping we get a few inches Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 man the GFS is still warm for eastern zones Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 GFS is snow tomorrow tho based on rates and 925s, then many of us east mix over night but it's a howling blizzard Monday morning for eastern areas of MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 I think the gfs has the weakest coastal development of any guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 1 minute ago, OSUmetstud said: I think the gfs has the weakest coastal development of any guidance. Tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: GFS is snow tomorrow tho based on rates and 925s, then many of us east mix over night but it's a howling blizzard Monday morning for eastern areas of MA. It so close, agreed. Monday may be gain traction in Eastern areas though. RGEM hints at it and GFS shows it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: GFS is snow tomorrow tho based on rates and 925s, then many of us east mix over night but it's a howling blizzard Monday morning for eastern areas of MA. yeah winds will be impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 man Hazey gets wrecked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdazed Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 I've been busy cleaning up metaphorical fires at the office. What's the trend for central RI at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, Hoth said: Tossed. Lol. Im generally inclined to agree. The dynamic transfer leads to believe the foreign guidance and the rgem would do a better job of early development and getting the ccb into eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 I'm more interested in the Monday aspect of this system down here... it seems like if we are going to get some decent accums... it's going to have to be when the coastal gets going. Gfs verbatim would give a couple inches to eastern ma and Rhode Island on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 GFS has some elevated CAPE Monday morning. Pretty impressive look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 Canadian looked a bit cooler and more progressive, but looked like it dug deeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Still not completely sold on Monday...just from reading, seems like this morning has stepped back a bit.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Canadian looked a bit cooler and more progressive, but looked like it dug deeper. It really crushes NE MA, but yeah maybe a hair more progressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 SREF plumes (slightly out-of-range) are markedly much less than the previous event. Yellow caution Flag maybe. Just throwing out an idea of: Models will start toning back now till game-time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Just now, ROOSTA said: SREF plumes (slightly out-of-range) are markedly much less than the previous event. Yellow caution Flag maybe. Just throwing out an idea of: Models will start toning back now till game-time SREFs are typically very low on snowfall if the sfc temps are marginal. For some reason their snowfall algorithm is very sensitive to that. I'd prob focus more on the qpf plumes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Good trends for my hood on the all the guidance so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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