RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 This is a diff story, with the initial system tomorrow its a complicated setup for thur so yea ill hedge more towards ens this go around. and sorry but this aint euro 2009, just isnt dead on lockable inside 72hr like it used to. still solid but its not The Book of Eli. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Thanks bud Late to the party after being up late from the party............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Just a bit of spread.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Euro doesn't carry a ton of weight with me right now, relatively speaking....EPS prob more amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Ryan just forecasted 12+ for Hartford. I saw it on Americanwx.com. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Just a bit of spread.... That pretty accurately depicts the confidence in this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Ryan just forecasted 12+ for Hartford. I saw it on Americanwx.com.LolSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Ryan just forecasted 12+ for Hartford. I saw it on Americanwx.com. Looks more like 13" to me.... tough to tell... can always start at 12" and adjust up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Looks more like 13" to me.... tough to tell... can always start at 12" and adjust up Change your screename to "TauntingFlizzardsSince2013" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 I'd kind of hedge towards modest event like high end advisory/low end warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That pretty accurately depicts the confidence in this system. Yeah it's actually useful in that it is showing tons of spread. Nothing worse than tight clustering around the op only to jump around ever 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Not surprising... really. It's all a needle thread scenario - what systems have availed to us this year have been highly reliant on that sort of 'get luckiness'. It's not hard to image this going either direction. I don't personally have a lot of confidence on this... It's a kind of 'in between' deal where it's not situated in a teleconnector modal inflection like more important systems typically are. The dynamics that contribute are still over the Pacific in a fast overall relay scenario. The Euro does not have much compression available to the flow in the deep S/SE though so relative to it's own evolution it makes sense. ... so even if it relays more power in the impulse as it comes on board out west, it has to be pretty strong to overcome that sort of fast gradient saturated flow aloft that is in place prior to coming east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 57 minutes ago, dendrite said: Sweet....another C NH boning from SNE. Odds are not good up here i think for anything significant unless we get the trough to cuba............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: I'd kind of hedge towards modest event like high end advisory/low end warning. I almost hedge big.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 at least a '"mood" snow, at best, a snow day (we shut if the schools shut) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 I would have thought the euro being slower would have helped produce a better outcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 All the guidance going flat now. Srefs-way flatter albeit less than useful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: All the guidance going flat now. Srefs-way flatter albeit less than useful. Yeah... I'd expect a much more toned down NAM at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Not expecting much up this way as far as a big event. It would be nice to get one all snow though vs the mixed crappola Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 It may actually take till 12Z tomorrow to sort this out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Euro ensembles are slightly NW of the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Eps? I'm guessing there no better than the op if there isn't any commentary, or they aren't out yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Yeah the mean QPF was definitely a little juicier and NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 All good signs continue. Press onwards and upwards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: All good signs continue. Press onwards and upwards Some good, some bad, we look towards 00Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: All good signs continue. Press onwards and upwards the kids eventually get on the bus before it pulls away... they just a tad timid and worry theyll be alone with the bus driver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah the mean QPF was definitely a little juicier and NW. Figured. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: the kids eventually get on the bus before it pulls away... they just a tad timid and worry theyll be alone with the bus driver. They just hope the driver isn't drinking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 NAM looks more amped than 12z through 54 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 NGW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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