SnowHole413 Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 I'd love the closer to the coast solution haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2017 Author Share Posted February 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Mostly all hits Not really. Quite a few well offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 I'm starting to worry that this coastal storm is going to end our daily snow streak...at 16 days today at home with 1.75sm -SN continuing and likely will get tomorrow with WAA and Wednesday with CAA....but Thursday I can't see where we could get some snow from. First world problems I guess. I was against DIT's thoughts last night but this has some serious room to amplify, so I'd lean snowy south of the Pike at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Not really. Quite a few well offshore. 60% of the time it works every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 20 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Haha whiff or rainer. Pick your poison. huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: huh? We get it. You've already wishcast a warning event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Just now, JC-CT said: We get it. You've already wishcast a warning event. your comment is retarded, and coming from you im puzzled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: your comment is retarded, and coming from you im puzzled. It was tongue in cheek, but this isn't locked in by any means. It's 50/50 which way it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Just now, JC-CT said: It was tongue in cheek, but this isn't locked in by any means. It's 50/50 which way it goes. it is, not denying that. but whats wrong with a weenie going with what they think? based on some science and experience and some weenieism? have I wished stuff before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 17 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I'm starting to worry that this coastal storm is going to end our daily snow streak...at 16 days today at home with 1.75sm -SN continuing and likely will get tomorrow with WAA and Wednesday with CAA....but Thursday I can't see where we could get some snow from. First world problems I guess. I was against DIT's thoughts last night but this has some serious room to amplify, so I'd lean snowy south of the Pike at least. I know Ray is disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 I see 1 miss there. Snows coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I see 1 miss there. Snows coming Uh get your eyes checked. I agree with the general sentiment that they are wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Seems a bit sassy in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said: Seems a bit sassy in here. Typical Feb discussions in the subforum since winter 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 I can understand why some think it's going to be a solid hit..and nothing wrong with that. Models playing catch up with the increasing ridging out West as baroclinic mentioned etc. I can also see where people are proceeding with caution too...there's room for this to miss just as easily. I'm guardedly optimistic at the moment..it has potential for sure. But the momentum hasn't exactly been with us this season to date either(maybe we can change that this time??). At least we have something decent to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 26 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I can understand why some think it's going to be a solid hit..and nothing wrong with that. Models playing catch up with the increasing ridging out West as baroclinic mentioned etc. I can also see where people are proceeding with caution too...there's room for this to miss just as easily. I'm guardedly optimistic at the moment..it has potential for sure. But the momentum hasn't exactly been with us this season to date either(maybe we can change that this time??). At least we have something decent to watch. I would say for all the storms that hit in CT this season...12/17, 1/7, and 1/31 all trended in a positive direction days and hours before the storm hit, so for what we did get the juju has been with us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 I'm not being pessimistic or trying to do some Voodoo downplay thing. The circumstances definitely warrant caution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 14 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I would say for all the storms that hit in CT this season...12/17, 1/7, and 1/31 all trended in a positive direction days and hours before the storm hit, so for what we did get the juju has been with us. I guess you can look at it that way too lol...good point in that regard. :-). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 21 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I would say for all the storms that hit in CT this season...12/17, 1/7, and 1/31 all trended in a positive direction days and hours before the storm hit, so for what we did get the juju has been with us. Yes. That's why they are "the storms that hit CT this season." Otherwise they would be the storms that didn't hit CT this season, of which there have been plenty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 the gfes has nothing, bombs, light/moderate events, and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Blend p8 and p10, call it a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Four out of the twelve ensembles are amped up, more than 12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 10 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Four out of the twelve ensembles are amped up, more than 12z runs. And just as importantly an equal number are too progressive and weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: And just as importantly an equal number are too progressive and weak. True, very true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: And just as importantly an equal number are too progressive and weak. Yup... it's literally a toss up at this point everything from a whiff to 12+ on the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 If the Pats can come from 25 behind and win the Superbowl, this storm can go from a nothing to a crippler... 2 feet +, howling winds, blizzard conditions for everyone east of the Hudson. Hey magical thinking worked last night, why not go for a roll? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yup... it's literally a toss up at this point everything from a whiff to 12+ on the table Nearly half the variance in GEFS solutions comes with a difference of 6 mb from the mean just south of SNE. So a slightly flatter, weaker wave initialized tonight at 00z we could expect would produce a 1008 mb low instead of 1002. Likewise, a sharper, stronger wave could be 6 mb deeper. We're at the mercy of model whims in initializing a shortwave we have very little real information about right now. And unfortunately, raobs are no help until at least 12z (more likely 00z) tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: If the Pats can come from 25 behind and win the Superbowl, this storm can go from a nothing to a crippler... 2 feet +, howling winds, blizzard conditions for everyone east of the Hudson. Hey magical thinking worked last night, why not go for a roll? Welcome to the "what can go right" world, it can be a much more delightful place with pretty colors, sex, drugs, and techno. It can also leave you depleted of brain cells locked up in a looney bin someday....but we will worry about that down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 32 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: If the Pats can come from 25 behind and win the Superbowl, this storm can go from a nothing to a crippler... 2 feet +, howling winds, blizzard conditions for everyone east of the Hudson. Hey magical thinking worked last night, why not go for a roll? 32 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Welcome to the "what can go right" world, it can be a much more delightful place with pretty colors, sex, drugs, and techno. It can also leave you depleted of brain cells locked up in a looney bin someday....but we will worry about that down the road. Brain cells are overrated most of the time. And sex, cannabis, pretty colors and easy jazz are a nice combo on a snowy afternoon... but we digress Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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