Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2017 Author Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: We need a little more info, sir. Pressure is on you anyway You should hug the 3k too. Best nam triplet for our yards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Nam 3k is the one I'm going with for now. If it moved that band of snow about 50 miles north it would probably be right. Or just 15 miles south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 6 minutes ago, yoda said: Nobody liked the 06z RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 8 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: You should hug the 3k too. Best nam triplet for our yards I'm too far SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2017 Author Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: I'm too far SW Don't worry. The next model right will be aimed at your yard. Unfortunately the one after will be Mt Parkton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I'm too far SW Wow.....that bullseye band is very narrow. Accumulations at my house may vary depending on whether I step out of my front door or my back door. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 3km NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 12km NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Don't worry. The next model right will be aimed at your yard. Unfortunately the one after will be Mt Parkton. Good point....I'm looking forward to the 6z nam run Saturday....I will know for sure then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, mappy said: 3km NAM Lets move that band about 50 miles to the south Anyway, it does look like that the ones that get the snows will be in one small bandwidth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Its hopeless Leesburg. We are not painted in any snow map I have seen so obviously it's over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 21 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Here's hoping a couple of warm days will help keep roads clear. What is the 4" soil temperature? This event hinges on it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, Stormpc said: Its hopeless Leesburg. We are not painted in any snow map I have seen so obviously it's over. I never give up....until I give up then I haven't fully given up until I give up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 3km NAM 4 lyfe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, EastCoast NPZ said: What is the 4" soil temperature? This event hinges on it! One of the worst things ever posted here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Just now, WxUSAF said: 3km NAM 4 lyfe I am going to send the 12z NAM goons on you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 12z RGEM is decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2017 Author Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: 12z RGEM is decent The extrapolated rgem may be better than the 3k nam. I'll go with a blend for another 20 minutes and if the gfs sucks then I'll toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 It appears I may need to get a coffee in Leesburg on Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 This is a nowcast kind of thing, where that little meso band sets up right along the boundary. THe models aren't going to place something like that correctly to the mile this far our, or at all. Problem is that little meso feature is pretty much the whole deal so its that or everyone else just gets conversational snizzle mostly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 im cool if i don't see anything this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 7 minutes ago, mappy said: im cool if i don't see anything this time. Reverse psychology. I like it. Enjoy shoveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2017 Author Share Posted January 12, 2017 GFS looks pretty much like the good nams but a little warmer as usual. My yard likes the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 GFS'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: GFS looks pretty much like the good nams but a little warmer as usual. My yard likes the run. So what time frame are we looking at? Into Sunday morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 8 minutes ago, Scraff said: Reverse psychology. I like it. Enjoy shoveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 seriously though -- as long as I can drive south to Cockeysville in the middle of the day to get my haircut, I'm cool with whatever happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 12z GFS sounding for DCA at 51 is snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 GFS warmer than past 3 runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Just now, mitchnick said: GFS warmer than past 3 runs but more snow....figure that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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