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powderfreak

NNE Winter Thread

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2 hours ago, eekuasepinniW said:

Gunstock Acres: 59 mph
Kona Point: 55mph
Me: 54 mph
Mohawk Island: 53 mph
Downtown Laconia: 45 mph
LCI: 44

 


 

Northfield:  29mph 30mph

250-290 is a crappy direction for me with those tall pines just to my west. SSE-SSW and NNW-NNE is more better.

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2 hours ago, adk said:

What does optimistic mean? Not terrible or Faceshots? What are you options? Sit home and do nothing or go to job? I mean the GFS hasn't given any real reason to get excited for that time frame. Nor does the NWS Local disco seem particularly stoked. Euro is even more south/east.  

 When I said optimistic --I meant that the Single Chair Report mentioned there would be a significant snow event. Hope that helps clarify! :)

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As Brian noted very impressive winds today in our hood.

47mph for me.

My Davis station is at least 10 years old and seems to measure low.  Wouldn't old anemometers slowly measure lower and lower?  

I have a totally open view from SE through about 250.  Forest from 250ish northward.  So a very impressive gust. Interestingly the gust showed from a south direction.  Highest gust I have ever measured is 61mph many years ago.

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Fun day with wind taking down a huge 60-foot evergreen onto transmission lines in Stowe, knocking out power to town and the ski resort for a couple hours.  

I saw pictures of the tree from Stowe Electric and they busted ass to get it cleared.  It was sort of in the middle of no where too. 

Also this morning I thought I witnessed the highest gust I've seen in a long time at the top of Nosedive.  No idea on speed but it doubled me over.  I see a lot of wind but that one gust was another level.  One of those where you're like wow this is windy and then it gets some extra juice from somewhere and just goes nuts for 5 seconds.  I'd have to estimate 70-80mph range but I know wind estimates are total crapshoots.

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Event totals: 0.7” Snow/0.02” L.E.

 

We picked up a tenth of an inch of snow this morning before observations time, and then and additional 0.6” fell when stronger squalls came through.  According to the BTV NWS, today’s snow was from an upper level shortwave passing through the area.

 

Details from the 10:00 P.M. Waterbury observations:

 

New Snow: 0.6 inches

New Liquid: 0.02 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 30.0

Snow Density: 3.3% H2O

Temperature: 30.4 F

Sky: Flurries

Snow at the stake: 0.5 inches

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1 hour ago, amarshall said:

GYX has 1" for us at Bretton Woods today.  Is that more squalls?

 

Yeah, mid to late afternoon or so. Then it sort of morphs into that inverted trof feature if the HRRR is right, but that will be too fast east to really impact the mountains.

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Donno about 33" but a storm total of 20" is possible.  Its also possible they only get 1 inch of snow from the same storm though.  I'm watching every model run with interest at this point.

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Gonna put this here as to not mess up the main model thread.  Call me crazy but at this point in the season either give me an epic, VDay 07 type of storm or nothing.  Don't get me wrong, if this was 2 weeks ago before we lost all the snow I would be giddy at the prospect of even a couple of inches of snow but at this point its nothing but garbage time buckets when your down by 20.  So we hit a few quick three's at the end to make the score look closer than it actually was, big deal.  Now, if we were progged to get some of the totals shown in SEMA, that would be a different story.

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1 minute ago, mreaves said:

Gonna put this here as to not mess up the main model thread.  Call me crazy but at this point in the season either give me an epic, VDay 07 type of storm or nothing.  Don't get me wrong, if this was 2 weeks ago before we lost all the snow I would be giddy at the prospect of even a couple of inches of snow but at this point its nothing but garbage time buckets when your down by 20.  So we hit a few quick three's at the end to make the score look closer than it actually was, big deal.  Now, if we were progged to get some of the totals shown in SEMA, that would be a different story.

Im riding the GFS and going down with the ship :snowman:

But yea, 7" of 18:1 fluff is going to seem like piddly poo compared the feet upon feet near the coast if the Euro keeps holding steadfast.  Well at least its not like 24 hours out and we arent locked in, still time.......I hope.

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1 minute ago, backedgeapproaching said:

Im riding the GFS and going down with the ship :snowman:

But yea, 7" of 18:1 fluff is going to seem like piddly poo compared the feet upon feet near the coast if the Euro keeps holding steadfast.  Well at least its not like 24 hours out and we arent locked in, still time.......I hope.

For me, It comes down to usefulness.  I won't' be able to snowmobile around my house, what would otherwise be a nice treat so it will just be window dressing at this point.  If we got huge numbers, I would be fine with others getting even bigger numbers.

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Let's see what the models look like Monday AM.  Then I'll feel like there is a reasonable chance what they show might happen. When there are hundreds of miles of divergence, I await more data. 

 

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55 minutes ago, adk said:

Let's see what the models look like Monday AM.  Then I'll feel like there is a reasonable chance what they show might happen. When there are hundreds of miles of divergence, I await more data. 

 

I'll take the 50% chance of something big, over 100% of nothing.  We wait.

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22 minutes ago, Hitman said:

That's all I need to know.

BTV's AFD is terrific in its analysis of the solutions provided by the GFS and the EURO.  Here's the bit about the EURO.

However...the 00z/12z GEM/Euro paints a completely different story
across our region with much less impacts...as system stays unphased
with only minor impacts. The GEM/Euro solutions show two distinct
energy centers at 12z Tuesday with one located over the se CONUS
helping to develop low pres near Hatteras and northern stream over
the western Great Lakes. These two energy pieces never really phase
and keep our cwa on western edge of deeper qpf fields...as surface
low pres tracks southeast of the 40/70 benchmark and lies on the
eastern side of the guidance envelope. Taking these two solutions
verbatim would suggests advisory level snow eastern/southern
cwa...with maybe a couple inches here in the CPV.

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Just got home after a white knuckler drive back from Dorset, just pure whiteout with these squalls. 

Went out for some dinner and drinks around 5pm and bare ground and came out 3 hours layer to 2 inches and S+. Had no idea it was even snowing.  Almost a carbon copy of last Friday.

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Just got home after a white knuckler drive back from Dorset, just pure whiteout with these squalls. 

Went out for some dinner and drinks around 5pm and bare ground and came out 3 hours layer to 2 inches and S+. Had no idea it was even snowing.  Almost a carbon copy of last Friday.



Nice! They busted here.

Sent from my VS987 using Tapatalk

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