Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 54 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro has next SWFE Fri nite/Sat as we go from highs near 10 Fri and below zero that morning to 50's to the ski resorts by Sunday. Has advisory snow for almost everyone before the giant eraser comes out Sunday. Does look a bit flatter than the stemwinder it had yesterday We 1980's Kev where do you come up with this stuff, here are the Euro high temps Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 That was actually a very nice 10 day Euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Kev where do you come up with this stuff, here are the Euro high temps Sunday I don't use that model like I used to given it's poor performance past day 4 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 14 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: And Steve's top five. Who doesn't like zero visibility with winds gusting in the 40's? These one dimensional go big or go home guys miss a lot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro has next SWFE Fri nite/Sat as we go from highs near 10 Fri and below zero that morning to 50's to the ski resorts by Sunday. Has advisory snow for almost everyone before the giant eraser comes out Sunday. Does look a bit flatter than the stemwinder it had yesterday We 1980's I don't use this model? I just make stuff up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: I don't use this model? I just make stuff up? I was stating what it had for the swfe and temps prior . The other stuff was based on model concensus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I was stating what it had for the swfe and temps prior . The other stuff was based on model concensus LOl what model consensus has 50s in ski areas Sunday, you have lost it completely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: LOl what model consensus has 50s in ski areas Sunday, you have lost it completely Cheap Giants win and you are acting like you won the weather Super Bowl. Take a step back and relax Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Cheap Giants win and you are acting like you won the weather Super Bowl. Take a step back and relax lol I fell asleep. I liked that Euro run though, have to see if we can get another cheap win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Well a pattern that favors west and warmer east such as a -PNA is not really climate change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 anyway... i'm curious what the overnight tele' derivatives look like, if they carried yesterday's dystopian warm spell (the frequency of which will ever increase in the months and years to come...) with any consistency. cause man, yesterday, there was a smoothly non-interrupted destruction of the -EPO 'era' (as it pertains to recently) ...being replaced by reversal of fortune in that regard. meanwhile, the NAO and WPO even ... the PNA...all of it, warm warm warm. If that persists and gathers momentum, we may have to start banging a record warmth potential at some point out there. It's funny though... at our latitude, things can f that up too - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 heh, good luck ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Looked like the RGEM has a little light snow tomorrow night. Maybe sneaky mid level fronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looked like the RGEM has a little light snow tomorrow night. Maybe sneaky mid level fronto. I like the look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 GFS and GGEM try to get a few inches prior to the cut this weekend. Would be nice to get that to flatten out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Just now, CoastalWx said: GFS and GGEM try to get a few inches prior to the cut this weekend. Would be nice to get that to flatten out. If it can do what happened to this current storm...then we'd probably see an even better outcome given the antecedent airmass is even deeper arctic origin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Gfs cooked something up for the 21st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: If it can do what happened to this current storm...then we'd probably see an even better outcome given the antecedent airmass is even deeper arctic origin. I hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Gfs cooked something up for the 21stYup right after all the winter is over posts...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 5 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Gfs cooked something up for the 21st Using all of our latitude in that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 If models can't get a storm right in under 4days should we worry that it has the pattern right in 2-3weeks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 1 minute ago, Hazey said: Yup right after all the winter is over posts...lol. I always laugh at that...I don't like the look either around Xmas, but it's not as bad as something like 2011 or 2015. I treat it as opposite of a good pattern....good patterns don't guarantee success and bad patterns don't guarantee failure...they just make certain outcomes more or less likely. We can get snowstorms in ugly patterns...esp at our latitude and over the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I always laugh at that...I don't like the look either around Xmas, but it's not as bad as something like 2011 or 2015. I treat it as opposite of a good pattern....good patterns don't guarantee success and bad patterns don't guarantee failure...they just make certain outcomes more or less likely. We can get snowstorms in ugly patterns...esp at our latitude and over the interior. Oh so very true!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Active with cold air masses near by, comes down to timing. you cant throw your hands up so quickly, you'll choke on sour grapes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 12z GFS even gives the boot to the grinch on the 24th, Then a SWFE on the 27th..........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 I don't know how saying the look around Christmas isn't good, gets tied into winter is over posts. The look around Christmas on the EPS is not good...but how does that have a say for winter? You guys need to be careful of interpretation. Hopefully the GEFS are more correct as I mentioned earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 The op run rebuilt the -EPO, but the op run past day 10 is about as stable as Donald Trump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I don't know how saying the look around Christmas isn't good, gets tied into winter is over posts. The look around Christmas on the EPS is not good...but how does that have a say for winter? You guys need to be careful of interpretation. Hopefully the GEFS are more correct as I mentioned earlier. If the ensembles are right and the AO really does tank back towards zero or below, that change won't be lasting long anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don't know how saying the look around Christmas isn't good, gets tied into winter is over posts. The look around Christmas on the EPS is not good...but how does that have a say for winter? You guys need to be careful of interpretation. Hopefully the GEFS are more correct as I mentioned earlier. White Christmas is serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The op run rebuilt the -EPO, but the op run past day 10 is about as stable as Donald Trump. Make winter great again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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