Typhoon Tip Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 4 minutes ago, SnowlieSnowstormson said: I mean lets say hypothetically it hits the carolinas as a cat 3, or cat 4, I would imagine it still has enough gas to be a tropical storm by the time it hits us. I mean, look at what Irene was able to do. sure ... could even be more than that ... by a little. we're not talking absolutes here... we're probably flirting with futility getting this deep into a D6 prog re a TC - in fact... lets say we are actually dipping our toes into the time waste lake. but, seeing as we don't have much else to talk about that's worth distracting us from our day jobs (heheh) ... we're just talking in concept how interaction with land down there would parlay - not well for those that want'ed more of purer freight train tropical load. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 14 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: yup - can't do both, folks. it's like, the only way people get Matthew ...or, what's left of it we should say ... is if it hit NC first ? if it doesn't, the modeling theme has been to curve it too much. we just don't really have a solution here (yet) that has this thing rocketing due N like the love joys in the annuls. Annals. You annul a marriage. Sorry, pet peeve. Anywho, NC would certainly do a number on it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 GFS is bringing "feet" of rain...ugh. Drought buster and then some Hyperbole but some high rates and decent totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 24 minutes ago, JC-CT said: It could also miss west lol Like the navgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 9 minutes ago, Hoth said: Annals. You annul a marriage. Sorry, pet peeve. Anywho, NC would certainly do a number on it... Anals. You look into the annals of history. Sorry, pet peeve of mine too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 The Canadian takes this through the N shore...Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 NAVGEM look GEM ish... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 JMA looks tasty.....I think consensus is mounting for NC impact... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 HWRF just east of NJ at 123hr.. 126hr heading nne 962mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: JMA looks tasty.....I think consensus is mounting for NC impact... For sh*ts and giggles you should check out the latest GFDL down there. 920 landfall and 160kt wind lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 NAVGEM is way inland into FL and then through GA LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NAVGEM is way inland into FL and then through GA LOL. I saw 06z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 yeah, well, ... you're both anul! ...heh, typo ... i don't proof read these near enough - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Fook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Euro trucking a bit westward too thru 12z Thur. Just SE of Nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 EURO much faster... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NAVGEM is way inland into FL and then through GA LOL. oh, ..i'm fully, privately expecting this thread to go down in the annuls, anals, or annals as the greatest number of pages attributed to a none-event in the history of internet - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Euro trucking a bit westward too thru 12z Thur. Just SE of Nassau. 947mb about ~80-110 mi E of Melbourne, FL @ 12z Fri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: oh, ..i'm fully, privately expecting this thread to go down in the annuls, anals, or annals as the greatest number of pages attributed to a none-event in the history of internet - This is ALL for James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 It'll probably slam into the Carolinas with this look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Aggressively intensifying... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Miller A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: It'll probably slam into the Carolinas with this look. ...prediction: T-minus 1 hr and 34 minutes and 24 seconds away from the first post about how the models are finally latching on ...but are 'overcompensating' (which of course dances around 'hope' still for a direct impact -) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Not to distract from the Euro discussion, but M seems to be on a slight NE heading now. If he keeps it up, he'll clip western Haiti and pass through the straight between Cuba. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Trough in Midwest is sharper. Don't think it will be like the GFS, but a step towards it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Euros on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euros on board. But models are now overcompensating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Will be fish storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euros on board. It's OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Yup-missed at the last minute but a correction on all guidance for 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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