Powerball Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 dmc76 has been awfully quiet, considering he's going to get buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 The NAM is showing impressive mid-level lapse rates (7-9* C/KM). That's hard to achieve even during severe weather events around here. Combined with the progged wind field, things could get quite real tomorrow under the snow squalls / bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Nws calling for 6-12" between the two systems in wny. Wwa in effect for the first system already. Crazy start to April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 dmc76 has been awfully quiet, considering he's going to get buried. He probably in a state of shock. Rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 The thing tomorrow, I will believe accumulation when I see it on my lawn. As for Sunday night, that is getting more intriguing, first off it comes at night but also the temperature profile is getting better. Still skeptical but if anything is going to produce it would be the Sunday night thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 The thing tomorrow, I will believe accumulation when I see it on my lawn. As for Sunday night, that is getting more intriguing, first off it comes at night but also the temperature profile is getting better. Still skeptical but if anything is going to produce it would be the Sunday night thing. I'm still a little skeptical as to whether Toronto will get much on Sunday night. Maybe an inch at most? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 The NAM is showing impressive mid-level lapse rates (7-9* C/KM). That's hard to achieve even during severe weather events around here. Combined with the progged wind field, things could get quite real tomorrow under the snow squalls / bands. The thing tomorrow, I will believe accumulation when I see it on my lawn. As for Sunday night, that is getting more intriguing, first off it comes at night but also the temperature profile is getting better. Still skeptical but if anything is going to produce it would be the Sunday night thing.As far as late-season unwanted snows go... Tomorrow might be tolerable. Convective/thunder potential, but wet grounds are gonna keep accumulation minimal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 As far as late-season unwanted snows go... Tomorrow might be tolerable. Convective/thunder potential, but wet grounds are gonna keep accumulation minimal. Yeah, I can appreciate convective snows, those are fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Looks like some thunder snow here, going to chase the bands to see if I can get some good video of it. biggest question is track of vort max on Saturday night. 12km NAM/UK/GEMG look best near the thruway, while the 4km nam/00z euro/12z gfs we're a bit further south into the southern tier of ny. There is definitely potential for greater than 6" amounts in this thing..snow should be squally and heavy for a few hours near midnight...soundings are very convective with tts in the mid 50s and lots of mid level lift through the sgz..and this is the synoptic stuff...not the lake enhancement, yet. Any potential with thunder snow with the mid level trowel tomorrow night into Sunday am? Yes. Its almost a given to me. Not sure exactly where it will occur, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 interesting note: ten years ago, 4/2/06, there were 872 preliminary storm reports, and 66 confirmed tornadoes as per Wikipedia. About 35 tornadoes in Illinois. 5 days later, 4/7/06 had a mere 871 prelim. storm reports!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 System 1 System 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 I'll never forget April fool's day 2002. We picked up about 3-4" of snow from a clipper that way overachieved. We were only forecast to get a bit of snow in the morning, and then warm up to near 50 in the afternoon. We became stuck under an intense band of snow for several hours, and even had some claps of thunder for a time right before it quit in the afternoon. Talk about a busted forecast. The cool thing about that day though was the tremendous contrast in weather and conditions across Iowa. We had the snow in eastern IA, but temps in southwest Iowa broke 80 that day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 I'll never forget April fool's day 2002. We picked up about 3-4" of snow from a clipper that way overachieved. We were only forecast to get a bit of snow in the morning, and then warm up to near 50 in the afternoon. We became stuck under an intense band of snow for several hours, and even had some claps of thunder for a time right before it quit in the afternoon. Talk about a busted forecast. The cool thing about that day though was the tremendous contrast in weather and conditions across Iowa. We had the snow in eastern IA, but temps in southwest Iowa broke 80 that day! Don't remember it well, but I noted 2.7" of snow that day. GFS trying to push that 3" line into Detroit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 I'll never forget April fool's day 2002. We picked up about 3-4" of snow from a clipper that way overachieved. We were only forecast to get a bit of snow in the morning, and then warm up to near 50 in the afternoon. We became stuck under an intense band of snow for several hours, and even had some claps of thunder for a time right before it quit in the afternoon. Talk about a busted forecast. The cool thing about that day though was the tremendous contrast in weather and conditions across Iowa. We had the snow in eastern IA, but temps in southwest Iowa broke 80 that day! I remember that one. Temp started off a bit mild but then dropped quite a bit after precip onset. Not a lot of snow but was under a nice death band for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Hi-Res models are pretty consistent with showing a potential death band tomorrow. It's just uncertainty with the marginal temp profiles and, to a lesser extent, location. To be frank though, it's not often that you get MUCAPE values of 100 J/KG to 500 J/KG overlapping a profile cold enough for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Grass is covered right now, somehow a little band of snow managed to set up right over Hillsdale County. For when everyone wake's up, here is proof I'm not BSing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Emmett Brown Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Legit moderate snow band coating everything here in SE WI. Streets wet at first, but coated now as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Legit moderate snow band coating everything here in SE WI. Streets wet at first, but coated now as well. Same deal here. Legit shot of accumulating snow just now starting to stick to paved surfaces. Goes to show that accumulation is no problem even in April if rates are good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Heavy snow even by UP standards this morning. 4" in 1.5 hours. some pics and a vid of when it started this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Woke up at about 2:30am and it was snowing heavily. The yard looked like Tuanis's. Snow has since mostly melted but still occasional huge flakes falling. April snow....gotta love it. Edit: Bo, looks like mid January! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Latest Hi-Res models are now pivoting this afternoon's death band overhead this afternoon. If we can get some thunder, should be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 The wind is really howling over here this morning. There are many reports of 50+ across northeast Iowa, with one 60 mph gust. That's some real pretty snow up in the UP, but you guys in the lakes can have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 BTW, it's snowing here currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Sipping on Coffee, MOD snow falling on a Saturday AM in April is what we snow addicts dream of. I pity those who don't get to live the Cheese head/Upper MW climate and suffer the miserable weather seasons down south. Enjoy your weekend folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Latest Hi-Res models are now pivoting this afternoon's death band overhead this afternoon. If we can get some thunder, should be fun. T-snow is fun no matter the day of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 BTW, it's snowing here currently. I'm in Novi right now and it was ripping between Howell and here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Sipping on Coffee, MOD snow falling on a Saturday AM in April is what we snow addicts dream of. I pity those who don't get to live the Cheese head/Upper MW climate and suffer the miserable weather seasons down south. Enjoy your weekend folks. Another short vid taken from inside.... 6" since 6:30 this morning. def snow addict here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Another short vid taken from inside.... 6" since 6:30 this morning. def snow addict here Awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Great stuff WxBo! Its early April, we snow most yr after yr in April, Us addicts enjoy and don't cry bring on spring until May. Today's weather outside of the wind later beats cold April rain every day of the YR.. Because spending time outdoors with your dog in chilly rain is so much fun for both of us. Ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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