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NCSNOW

Valentine's Day Storm Obs

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Oh, yeah, definitely.  Looks like we will hit freezing around midnight and hang around the low 30s a couple hours afterwards, then it's a race to 50 degrees.  The HRRR increases our temperature by eight degrees in one hour at one point.

 

I am surprised RDU is still holding on to 32/31 as of 9 PM.

 

The wind map is pretty cool right now: http://hint.fm/wind/

 Prob before than. Yall could hit 50 by 8am easily. 

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I'm shocked that Greenville SC is still 29. Makes me wonder how I go to rain here.

 

Yeah, I am surprised GSP is colder than here.  Must've been the latent heat release from all the freezing rain we've gotten over the last few hours (four-tenths and counting of liquid, unsure on how much has accreted).

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Just to clarify, Euro was horrendous with this event as well as the GFS. Canadian, RGEM, and NAM were spot on. File this away for the next CAD event.

Frenchie did well, too. Euro and GFS were awful. But some folks just flat out dismissed every model but the Euro. Even certain mets.

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Meanwhile, in Cape Hatteras, it's 60 degrees with 23 MPH southerly winds gusting to 33 MPH.

 

Between here and just east of Washington NC there is a 15-20 degree difference, or about a degree a mile.

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Frenchie did well, too. Euro and GFS were awful. But some folks just flat out dismissed every model but the Euro. Even certain mets.

Agreed. For the life of me I couldn't understand why some red taggers hugged the euro so hard. Maybe they weren't familiar with CAD and how poorly the euro does in CAD and how poorly Euro has done in general lately.

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Heavy rain here 28.7  What's your temp?  I don't think there will be anymore sleet with this storm!

 

My thermometer says 26 and you are probably right. It's so heavy its running off.

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Agreed. For the life of me I couldn't understand why some red taggers hugged the euro so hard. Maybe they weren't familiar with CAD and how poorly the euro does in CAD and how poorly Euro has done in general lately.

I'd say the Euro did a good job with the placement of the main features but a pretty poor job with sensible weather.

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Just to clarify, Euro was horrendous with this event as well as the GFS. Canadian, RGEM, and NAM were spot on. File this away for the next CAD event.

 

I think you got it backwards lmao. The last few were way overdone showing 1-2 feet plus on their snow maps in the mountains. GFS and EURO did really well with added human input like the WPC did. They said a few degrees colder and longer to erode and picked the GFS. It verified spot on with the thump of snow and now the ice. 

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I think you got it backwards lmao. The last few were way overdone showing 1-2 feet plus on their snow maps in the mountains. GFS and EURO did really well with added human input like the WPC did. They said a few degrees colder and longer to erode and picked the GFS. It verified spot on with the thump of snow and now the ice.

GFS had upstate in mid 40s at this point lol. It wasn't even close

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Right at 32 in pea soup fog.  Radar has really quieted down in these parts.  Best of luck to those along the escarpment and the upstate of SC.  It looks like a rough night for you folks.  Be safe.

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We're getting moderate to heavy freezing rain here south of Gainesville....our temp here is 31 and yes, we did just have some semblance of a thunderstorm roll through here about 10 minutes ago....decent lightning but looks like accrual will be to a minimum here as well......the band of precip is running through pretty quickly.

- Buck

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Pay attention then to now...    A couple to few hours from now. Wait till that rain sets in up it will go.

My thermometer says 26 and you are probably right. It's so heavy its running off.

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