40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 This is solely a stat-padder exercise to me...hoping for a miracle double digit event out of this and avoiding rain will be tough. But I'll take a stat padder over nothing. Believe me, as the ticking of the seasonal clock begins growing ever more audible, I am taking a vested interest in events that I would normally pi$$ on. As much as I hate math, I need stats for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I didn't see the map. I'm at work...images blocked. Ah. Strict office ey?Well, let's hope 12z throws us a little bone. Better high, better track. Can't expect huge changes but small ticks keeps us alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Ah. Strict office ey? Well, let's hope 12z throws us a little bone. Better high, better track. Can't expect huge changes but small ticks keeps us alive. Yea, the feds are strange like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Believe me, as the ticking of the seasonal clock begins growing ever more audible, I am taking a vested interest in events that I would normally pi$$ on. As much as I hate math, I need stats for once. As ugly as they are, we get a pretty good amount of "stat-padder" type events...transition events/front enders/inverted troughs/clipper-redevelopers/etc. If we didn't get them, we'd average like 2/3rds of what we average in reality. Nobody's forcing people to love the stat-padders, but if you make snowfall forecasts or are rooting for higher seasonal total, then you really need them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 That is the worst possible low track for us just inland from the coast and north once the cold gets eroded One of the best possible tracks for those to the NW of the track lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I REALLY need ORH, CON, BTV and ALB to get SMOKED. Portland to a lesser extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 One of the best possible tracks for those to the NW of the track lol. I hope you guys get like 3'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 One of the best possible tracks for those to the NW of the track lol. One mans trash is usually another's treasure, We are not exactly setting the world on fire here and seem to be able to find every way to miss out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 As ugly as they are, we get a pretty good amount of "stat-padder" type events...transition events/front enders/inverted troughs/clipper-redevelopers/etc. If we didn't get them, we'd average like 2/3rds of what we average in reality. Nobody's forcing people to love the stat-padders, but if you make snowfall forecasts or are rooting for higher seasonal total, then you really need them. Those are what we've been missing, along with synoptic storms. Though did get a little past two days. But if December at least involved some 3-6" front enders or backside upslope, that moves the winter into just below normal instead of bottom of the septic tank. I'm not putting much stock in this one until 48hrs out maybe. Too narrow of a thread the needle on the west side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 One mans trash is usually another's treasure, We are not exactly setting the world on fire here and seem to be able to find every way to miss out Haha I figured you were doing better as you haven't posted in the NNE thread in like a couple weeks while VT to Gene talks about toaster sales. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Haha I figured you were doing better as you haven't posted in the NNE thread in like a couple weeks while VT to Gene talks about toaster sales. I have sat back and just smh every time i see the models come out in a unfavorable position, Not much sense crowing about something we can't control, Does not mean i don't have some frustration, But i have kind have come to the conclusion that its not happening up here this winter for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Wound up and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Going to be a real ugly run on the GFS it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Hopefully it at least smokes KALB and KBTV? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Hopefully it at least smokes KALB and KBTV? It may, But it may not be white Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Nothing like deep sou'easterlies to lock in the cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 It may, But it may not be white No way...WTF I refuse to believe that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Breathe it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Nothing like deep sou'easterlies to lock in the cold air. Captain Obvious by day, Captain Meh by night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Gfs is ugly unless you like alot of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 We cut, We bleed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Captain Obvious by day, Captain Meh by night Tough for those who are wishing snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 That's ugly all the way back to VT on the front end, But looks like they flip on the backside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I'm sure Ginx will strip to the LLJ though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 That is such a hideous solution for ski country in NNE. It would turn a hideous winter into a hellish nightmare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I'm sure Ginx will strip to the LLJ though. SOS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Hopefully that shifts east a bit for ski country's sake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Tough for those who are wishing snow. When did you ever become such an antagonist? Wow. Anyway, I still think a light front ender is possible here, and nw NE will probably make out ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 There's Ryan's 50's to near 60!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Going to be a real ugly run on the GFS it seems Can it possibly be worse than 06z? If that were to verify... Do a search for 2/2/1976 and BGR. Or maybe Dec. 26-28, 1969, though the front end thump would be just a few inches instead of the 10-15" that time. One hopes the RA will stop at 2-3" rather than the 4-7" from the earlier one. Talk about trash/treasure: That 1969 event was BTV's biggest snowfall until the 2010 retro-bomb buried them, and the southern Greens were reporting 50"+ at elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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