ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Don't expect much for next week....but it's far enough out to check in every model run and see if it offers a surprise. But unless that high starts showing more signs of hanging back, it is an extremely hostile setup for a good snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 We are talking about the 1st storm on the Euro. Places like MPM, HIPPY. and Dave get a couple of sloppy inches at the beginning. Not sure if Westfield in the lower valley would even get that.I said run. That first storm turned in very weak sauce and set up a nice boundary for a more energetic MillerB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 If it threads the needle, then some place like ORH to Monads and Berks could do quite well....but I'd be extra pessimistic on the coast with that high setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 No but with the GFS correcting west the goalposts are narrowing. This is coming inland somewhere in SNE most likely, the best case scenario may give us an inch or two at the start and the rain. Perhaps areas like here avoid the real warmth and stay in the 30s but the temps aloft furnace. That's what I've been envisioning..Snow to ice and it ends as rain with temps staying in the 30's..Preserving pack. This nonsense of 50's cranking well into NE just seems far fetched Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I said run. That first storm turned in very weak sauce and set up a nice boundary for a more energetic MillerB. First storm has inches of QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Ukie says we still need to watch Fri nite/early Sat in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I am hopeful about next week. I figured by this time it would have trended way west, but it is still borderline even out to where I am. I think the odds still favor mostly wet precip, but if the high can get better then we perhaps can "Make February Great Again" TM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I am hopeful about next week. I figured by this time it would have trended way west, but it is still borderline even out to where I am. I think the odds still favor mostly wet precip, but if the high can get better then we perhaps can "Make February Great Again" TM there are a lot of people on this forum who need a storm like this to lift their weenie spirit. Let's hope the GFS and Euro runs do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 there are a lot of people on this forum who need a storm like this to lift their weenie spirit. Let's hope the GFS and Euro runs do that. The great equalizer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Ukie says we still need to watch Fri nite/early Sat in SNEUkie says watch today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Don't expect much for next week....but it's far enough out to check in every model run and see if it offers a surprise. But unless that high starts showing more signs of hanging back, it is an extremely hostile setup for a good snow event. High was starting to hang back a bit more last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 High was starting to hang back a bit more last night. Still has work to do if we're going to get more folks in SNE involved. Esp the coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Ukie says watch todayNot impressed with the look today. Hi res not exciting. Hit or miss SS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Nice rainer next week. Thrown some fertilizer down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Not impressed with the look today. Hi res not exciting. Hit or miss SSJust saying what it said. I didn't think it looked impressive for anyone but dryslot this weekend, and even he may have been on the southern fringe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 We might still be able to get a front end thump next week before flipping to pouring rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 We might still be able to get a front end thump next week before flipping to pouring rain Root for that high to trend a little more stubborn. We will need that. Otherwise it's one of those deals where it probably only snows an inch or two befor the flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Root for that high to trend a little more stubborn. We will need that. Otherwise it's one of those deals where it probably only snows an inch or two befor the flip.It just always seems that snow breaks out a bit earlier than modeled in these setups Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 If it's going to rain, I hope it torches...no use for a mid 30s rainer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Wow and that banana extension of that 1050 high is something to watch What the 00z giveth, the 06z taketh away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Still has work to do if we're going to get more folks in SNE involved. Esp the coastal plain. Oh, I agree. Just a start... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 If it's going to rain, I hope it torches...no use for a mid 30s rainer... Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Any similarity to the Feb 24(I think) 2010 event? Big thump followed by big rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 For whatever my 2 cents are worth, looking at the models this reminds me of a few systems in the early 90s where NYC to Boston 95 corridor receives 1 to 3 followed by heavy rain. At least gets us that much closer to a normal average snowfall winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 For whatever my 2 cents are worth, looking at the models this reminds me of a few systems in the early 90s where NYC to Boston 95 corridor receives 1 to 3 followed by heavy rain. At least gets us that much closer to a normal average snowfall winter. Very reminiscent of climo type systems growing up in cnj along 95. Where we see an inch or two then pouring rain while nw nj through newburgh nw ct berks into nne do very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Any similarity to the Feb 24(I think) 2010 event? Big thump followed by big rain That was a lot stronger and colder what this one is forecasted to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 For whatever my 2 cents are worth, looking at the models this reminds me of a few systems in the early 90s where NYC to Boston 95 corridor receives 1 to 3 followed by heavy rain. At least gets us that much closer to a normal average snowfall winter. That was the norm around here. Few inches of snow then rain with a coastal hugger. As of right now, it looks like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Well, this is probably it until March, so enjoy your inch or two then pouring rain because its all you've got for a couple of weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Very reminiscent of climo type systems growing up in cnj along 95. Where we see an inch or two then pouring rain while nw nj through newburgh nw ct berks into nne do very well. You are in a good spot for 3 to 5 then rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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