Cold Rain Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Really like the trends today in the LR. All Ops and ENS look good to me. The big pattern break-down is off the table, if you believe what you see today. I'd like to see a little bit more -NAO, but hey, that's apparently never going to happen for real. So, we'll take what we can get. Anyway, things are looking good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Yep, I just don't like the Pac waves entering the west so far north....harder to keep them suppressed that way....those are details that are likely to chg anyway though...not necessarily for the betterensembles have my interest, the control is a weenie run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 ensembles have my interest, the control is a weenie run! Yep, Euro Control run has big sfc high over Great Lakes with Miller A gulf low from FL panhandle - up the east coast. Big snow N Bama / N GA / SC Upstate / W 2/3 of NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Rest of members look limited....it was the Control run's day in the sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Rest of members look limited....it was the Control run's day in the sunI think that has room to come South. The confluence in the North Atlantic should help keep that high from blasting through. Maybe that wave can speed up.. You can watch it break off from the upper low in the gulf of Alaska. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Yep, Euro Control run has big sfc high over Great Lakes with Miller A gulf low from FL panhandle - up the east coast. Big snow N Bama / N GA / SC Upstate / W 2/3 of NC Looking like a NC 'sound runner'on my bolded part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Rest of members look limited....it was the Control run's day in the sun There are some with some nice solutions Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Yep, I just don't like the Pac waves entering the west so far north....harder to keep them suppressed that way....those are details that are likely to chg anyway though...not necessarily for the better There are some beastly highs among the members . Won't have a hard time staying south of those highs are out front Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I have to say i'm impressed with the level of moisture that will be associated with the deep upper trough next week. It's been quite a while actually since we've seen a trough this cold with this much moisture and weak disturbances in the northwest flow. Upslope areas of north carolina/tn should get hammered..especially considering the duration. For a little while there could even be a lake superior/michigan connection for the mountains. Moisture is fairly deep as There is even a period of high 700mb Rh from monday night through tuesday extending as far south as north ga. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see a few inches across northwest ga/northeast alabama. Gfs has it finally ending on wed but the jma keeps the snow showers going for upslope areas of eastern tn/nc even into thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 There are some beastly highs among the members . Won't have a hard time staying south of those highs are out front Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk I hear you, but I'm always going to 'protect' the too far north / too warm scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Yep, Euro Control run has big sfc high over Great Lakes with Miller A gulf low from FL panhandle - up the east coast. Big snow N Bama / N GA / SC Upstate / W 2/3 of NC Man I miss those...If we reel it in, either you or Matt East creates the thread. Edit: Nice to see the EPS flip to a colder pattern. Just something about mid-to late February the last few years where we cash in. I bet we get nice hit in the next week or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 https://twitter.com/antmasiello/status/695737967806128131 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Cms ensembles continue to fire up the ridge out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I'd would pay good money to see P0004 come to fruition... sub 510mb h5low spinning over Augusta, Ga. That's a "clipper" that might squeeze out something east of the mountains.. hehe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 @JimCantore 46s46 seconds ago Lots of complexities for next 200+ hours. Most interesting things to me are Monday on Cape Cod, mid-South snow chances and Florida Cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TiltedStorm Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Still love the latest runs next week. Nice snow storm Miller a! Next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Just one negative blip of the NAO since October Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Just one negative blip of the NAO since OctoberWe haven't had it the last two winters and Larry has some great examples of huge SE winter storms, with +NAO. Jan 88, is one and my favorite! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonysc Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 We haven't had it the last two winters and Larry has some great examples of huge SE winter storms, with +NAO. Jan 88, is one and my favorite! I'm beginning to feel that the Upstate will be hard pressed to ever match the Jan '88 snowstorm. I mean the depth of the snow and how cold a storm it was. Mid to upper teens across the Upstate at mid afternoon and very heavy snow. You just don't see that much in the South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I'm beginning to feel that the Upstate will be hard pressed to ever match the Jan '88 snowstorm. I mean the depth of the snow and how cold a storm it was. Mid to upper teens across the Upstate at mid afternoon and very heavy snow. You just don't see that much in the South. That one shut down the area for almost a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Still love the latest runs next week. Nice snow storm Miller a! Next weekend. still showing up and we're seven days away is pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathertree4u Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Am I just seeing things wrong here but it doesnt look cold enough for snow where I am north of Nashville next weekend much less south of here, what am I missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Am I just seeing things wrong here but it doesnt look cold enough for snow where I am north of Nashville next weekend much less south of here, what am I missing?Yes, you are missing the wedge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathertree4u Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Yes, you are missing the wedge Ahh, ok, so it is like a geographical thing akin to my location and the Highland Rim, that is, something that makes a pronounced difference in precip events in the Winter, gotcha, thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Morning VLOG from Brad P. Talks about tomorrow's event as well as what's coming Monday through Wednesday: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Brad is really digging the ATL snow late Monday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 12Z GFS has a potential overrunning event over NC in the day 7 time frame--something worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 12Z GFS has a potential overrunning event over NC in the day 7 time frame--something worth watching.That's good to see the continuation of this . It's been off and on for a few days, when it first showed up, about 10 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Lol wow at the 12z euro major SE winter storm 14-15 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Euro has a nice little winter system at day 9-10. Overall setup is there. Pac wave running into a 50/50 low and cold high. Comes down to timing of 50/50 low hanging in there while the Pac wave kicks out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.