weathertree4u
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Everything posted by weathertree4u
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Spring/Summer 2019 medium to long range discussion.
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I think, and someone that has more experience in this can chime in, but that bottoming out of the cycles length as we get enter a grand minimum -
Not liking, not that any of us would, the wet pattern that seems to be being telegraphed by long range modeling, not to mention the severe threats!
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Can tell a difference in the air mass this morning versus yesterday morning, most certainly feels like a late Spring morning, hope we can get a pass on this one too!
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TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yea it is not a good look on the models that is for sure. Do not know where we are going to put the couple inches we should get this weekend. No telling what would happen if we got that as modeled -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yea was over middle tn yesterday runs imagine will move around until get closer -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Not good, not good at all -
Well, there is always next year; cant wait for the early predictions to start coming out in the July/August time period; just hope that we can, as someone already stated, that we do not have the misfortune of having an early season tropical system.
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TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
CFS seems bring heavy rain back to region through March -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
That has been trend though -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Personally speaking, I do not think that the current time period will be the big issue. Heading into the Spring, I feel like we are in a bad place. North of Nashville we got close to 4" yesterday evening which, of course, as in the East TN area, flash flooding. We need a large scale pattern change, I mean large scale. I dont want a drought but seems like we are over due for one! -
Winter 'Tis the Season Banter Thread 2018-2019
weathertree4u replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
So, anyone want to take a stab at winter 2019/2020? Got to be better than this! -
Yea, won't take much blow allot timber down
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Winter 'Tis the Season Banter Thread 2018-2019
weathertree4u replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Or when there is weather spoken of in a weather forum! I agree though, strange, been several years since we have had a good snow in Middle TN! -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
That has been trend though -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Just do not honestly see how this has a good ending no matter how it plays out over the next week -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Something off the modeling this Winter or maybe it is just me or a little of both. -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Exactly! That is what I am concerned about. Personally moved from winter tracking a few days ago but knowing what I know about Spring in the TN Valley, we could be entering uncharted territory. For example, last Spring, the area just to the north of where I am got 5"- 6" of rain in a thunderstorm - May I believe - within a half hour, the large creek near me - Upper Station Camp, that flows into Old Hickory Lake - was out of its banks. Now, throw that same storm into the area this May and I honestly do not know what would happen! -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
I thought that I saw someone posting in here yesterday that they saw a pattern change in the extended. I am not seeing it, am I looking in the wrong place? By end of the week, I would think the region would be uniquely positioned to be experiencing flooding, not sure we are to 2010 levels yet but we have got to be getting close. -
Winter 'Tis the Season Banter Thread 2018-2019
weathertree4u replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ahh, that was the storm. We largely got missed by the big snow of that system. I can honestly say though, that was the only time I ever saw it snow in sheets for hours. I think we got three or four inches, nothing compared to you guys in East TN! -
Winter 'Tis the Season Banter Thread 2018-2019
weathertree4u replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Lots of fantasy maps this winter! Wish I had more time to jump in here, teaching two accounting courses online and working full time relegates me to mainly lurking now days! -
Hope that is wrong. Aren't we due for a dry pattern? Seems like we have had several wet years here!
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Well, I am sure there are snow lovers in Seattle that are enjoying the pattern
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Just out of curiosity and this may be posted in wrong place but was the snow in Seattle expected two weeks out?
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Nearly everyone in here has way more knowledge than I but have hopeful outlook for the next few weeks. Every model run is not going be blockbuster
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I don't think i said you did. I was making an observation.
