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About weathertree4u

  • Birthday 04/13/1971

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Cottontown, TN
  1. Winter Speculation 17/18 -December Thread

    That is great but if we have no moisture then we are back where we were in December/January
  2. Winter Speculation 17/18 -December Thread

    It is interesting i think to note that the lat 1800's were also low solar time periods
  3. Winter Speculation 17/18 -December Thread

    yea, feel pretty good about our chances. Looks like the southern stream is going to be really active and with cold lurking not too far away, I like our chances! Some years, we are still waiting this time of year for something to track and we have already done that for sure!
  4. Usually just lurk in your forum but cannot resist posting! We are the same way really in the TN Valley, though, we have gotten more snow this year than in the previous couple. Still, I am left wondering why it is so hard to get one or two of those "I-40" specials like I remember as a kid in the late 1970's and 1980's? The good ones that give everyone 5" or 6" and melt away in two days? We got 3" or so last Friday plus the 3" - 4" we just got. Snow is really becoming an issue for me since we have an inability to keep the side streets clear. I am fine with a snow that is gone in a couple of days, not so much snow that hangs around for close to a week!
  5. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    I know we have been extremely cold here in the TN Valley; almost burned all my wood up! Cannot imagine what it has been like in MI!
  6. Winter Banter 2017/18

    Most all of Middle TN has seen some amount this season.
  7. Winter Speculation 17/18 -December Thread

    We are nickle and dimeing our snowfall this year. With todays my back yard has had around 7" - 8"; the winter so far reminds me of 2003 - 2004 where we had several small snow systems. Still want at least one big snow like I remember as a kid, one that puts down at least 6"
  8. Winter Speculation 17/18 -December Thread

    Seeing the flooding rains showing up again in the long-range of the GFS as of its 06z run. Hope this is just an error of some sort but has shown up a few runs now....
  9. Winter Speculation 17/18 -December Thread

    So, if that were to occur, how soon are we talking in the lower 48?
  10. January 15-16 Arctic Boundary Event

    That is the way Nashville is or has been in the past. I believe recently they have gotten some younger blood in the office so they may be doing things different. If I were a forecaster, I would much rather take the heat of being wrong and letting people know what is possible then not saying anything because I do not think it is possible, only to have people's lives adversely affected.
  11. January 15-16 Arctic Boundary Event

    You are correct. Though I work in Nashville, I am managed from an office in Birmingham. My manager was talking last week about how the local weather had totally missed the first one this year, I believe sometime in December they got dumped on with 5" or 6" I believe that was almost totally unpredicted.
  12. January 15-16 Arctic Boundary Event

    My experience suggests that these arctic fronts are almost always over producers. I have seen them put down 4" - 5" powdery inches with no problem.
  13. January 15-16 Arctic Boundary Event

    I believe, could be wrong, that the criteria for Winter Storm Watch is different for different parts of the country. For example, where I live north of Nashville, a Winter Storm Watch would have been issued if they expected greater than 4" but because less than that is expected, they went with a Winter Weather Advisory. For Birmingham, the Winter Storm Watch criteria may be 2" or less instead of 4" like it is around here.
  14. Winter Speculation 17/18 -December Thread

    For example, not sure how the CFS is for reliability, but it is not really indicating any major warmups with some very cold air lurking near the TN Valley though mid Feb.
  15. Winter Speculation 17/18 -December Thread

    Yea will have to see if that holds. Hopefully that stays all rain. That much moisture as ice or snow would not be good in the South.