Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 Bob, do you believe the snow map total maps? lol 8" in Central VA, skips over Fredericksburg to PHL, then expands again to the NE I'm seeing 1/22 paybacks I honestly don't believe the solution as a whole. But it's close to something big here for sure. Handoff from the MW low a little quicker and/or start the entire process 50-75 miles further south and boom. The mini deform and convoluted precip pattern looks like it's caused by the continuous interaction with the MW low. Dirty for lack of a better term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2016020212/east/ecmwf_z500_vort_east_stamp.php first time youve ever been nice to me. You must of just gotten a HECS. Thanks. I pulled the trigger and bought February for weatherbell. Was tired of being hours behind on information:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 You have to admit this would be pretty funny in a really sad kind of way if it went down like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Interesting look for early next week on the GFS and Euro for accumulating snow showers. New England may get the most from any coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 You have to admit this would be pretty funny in a really sad kind of way if it went down like this. lolzilolz.JPG i remember a few years ago the euro models had a big bowling ball dive south of us and give DC/Balt a foot. I think Brian Lovern posted about it lol in a terrible winter ya..that didnt pan out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 first time youve ever been nice to me. You must of just gotten a HECS. Thanks. I pulled the trigger and bought February for weatherbell. Was tired of being hours behind on information:) Dude, I but your chops because you can take it and have a sense of humor to appreciate it. Didn't you know that's the highest form of a compliment? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 NE does....classic Miller B that almost gets us we always score with miller Bs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 we always score with miller Bs. We're due Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 You have to admit this would be pretty funny in a really sad kind of way if it went down like this. lolzilolz.JPG fortunately, we know we won't be looking at that for 14 more runs (famous last words?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 we always score with miller Bs. you have to admit, in light of what falls in Central VA, this was a completely new way for one to screw us but, if that's what it means to put Chill in bankruptcy, so be it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 We're due Ah yes, the ole WD index Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 We're due so was Kim Kardashian.....I just hope we don't have to watch and wait for 9 months like we had to do with her Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 what a weird analogy to use... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 what a weird analogy to use... anytime we can some how fit KK into the conversation, it always gets RR excited, so I thought I'd throw him a bone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 anytime we can some how fit KK into the conversation, it always gets RR excited, so I thought I'd throw him a bone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 anytime we can some how fit KK into the conversation, it always gets RR excited, so I thought I'd throw him a boneYou did throw me a bone, er you got me excited about this storm now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 central VA getting creamed it appears, but such a small area.....will it come NE and expand? That never happens.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 Ji's favorite model is on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 you have to admit, in light of what falls in Central VA, this was a completely new way for one to screw us but, if that's what it means to put Chill in bankruptcy, so be it I believe you guys got snow on the Wed before the blizzard while the rest of us to the west got nothing. Right? Take it like a man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Ji's favorite model is on board I was just going to post the JMA lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 This is all pretty crazy IMO. All the differences in the models, the swings. Who knows? Could work out in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 waiting on the Accuwx maps to see how much qpf the JMA drops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 This is all pretty crazy IMO. All the differences in the models, the swings. Who knows? Could work out in the end. You asked earlier about the speed of the southern wave. It could very easily trend back to a slower solution. And of course speed up as well. The timing of that wave should be fairly well figured out by the 0z runs tomorrow night. I'm not sure what I would like to see. It appears that if the southern wave escapes we have a better shot at a colder solution with the MW energy digging down. If it phases then it's pretty much a one and done show. It's a very complicated and tightly spaced pattern. Personally, I think I'd prefer something along the lines of what the euro and jma are spitting out. I like explosive stuff. Even with the inherent risks (especially at our latitude) they are fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 we always score with miller Bs. Obviously the name Miller B stands for Miller Boston'd... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 I believe you guys got snow on the Wed before the blizzard while the rest of us to the west got nothing. Right? Take it like a man. a dusting that caused more traffic problems than the 24" snow? pffft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 waiting on the Accuwx maps to see how much qpf the JMA drops Looks like somewhere in the neighborhood of .5 - .75" from the tidbits panels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 You asked earlier about the speed of the southern wave. It could very easily trend back to a slower solution. And of course speed up as well. The timing of that wave should be fairly well figured out by the 0z runs tomorrow night. I'm not sure what I would like to see. It appears that if the southern wave escapes we have a better shot at a colder solution with the MW energy digging down. If it phases then it's pretty much a one and done show. It's a very complicated and tightly spaced pattern. Personally, I think I'd prefer something along the lines of what the euro and jma are spitting out. I like explosive stuff. Even with the inherent risks (especially at our latitude) they are fun. comparing the total qpf panels on the JMA, which is all that's available until the Accuwx maps update, looks like maybe .5-.75" qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Looks like somewhere in the neighborhood of .5 - .75" from the tidbits panels. ninja'd for the 2nd time today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 ninja'd for the 2nd time today I blame Kim K Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 This is all pretty crazy IMO. All the differences in the models, the swings. Who knows? Could work out in the end. We may be backing into something special. Dead serious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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