HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Same here. Weather tap radar blossoming overhead. I hope I get a few inches before the pingers. It would be humorous to go from virga to pingers although I'm not sure I've ever seen that happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 32/15 MEH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 SleetING now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 SleetING now Let the peltfest begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 25/13 and a little pixie dust... Dews keep dropping down from 20 to 13 in 4 hours....stiff winds bitting through ms now too, feels like it should out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 All sleet here at 1600' in NE PA, about 40 miles to the northeast of Scranton in a lake-carved valley on the Pocono/Endless Mountain plateau. Was expecting to start as snow but didn't see any, though I was driving in from the southeast. Just heavy sleet. Doesn't appear to be too much melting with a low of 25F expected, though that should rise towards morning. Almost never seen a SWFE start as all sleet. Usually we get a thump of snow, then a much more brief period of sleet before rain and freezing rain. I generally find sleet to be the p-type of shortest duration in these, which makes tonight interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Up to 30.4 from 29.2 a couple hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 All sleet here at 1600' in NE PA, about 40 miles to the northeast of Scranton in a lake-carved valley on the Pocono/Endless Mountain plateau. Was expecting to start as snow but didn't see any, though I was driving in from the southeast. Just heavy sleet. Doesn't appear to be too much melting with a low of 25F expected, though that should rise towards morning. Almost never seen a SWFE start as all sleet. Usually we get a thump of snow, then a much more brief period of sleet before rain and freezing rain. I generally find sleet to be the p-type of shortest duration in these, which makes tonight interesting. Throw an extra sock on the fire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 All sleet here at 1600' in NE PA, about 40 miles to the northeast of Scranton in a lake-carved valley on the Pocono/Endless Mountain plateau. Was expecting to start as snow but didn't see any, though I was driving in from the southeast. Just heavy sleet. Doesn't appear to be too much melting with a low of 25F expected, though that should rise towards morning. Almost never seen a SWFE start as all sleet. Usually we get a thump of snow, then a much more brief period of sleet before rain and freezing rain. I generally find sleet to be the p-type of shortest duration in these, which makes tonight interesting. Yeah, generally at least a burst of snow to start. Enjoy, accumulating sleet is pretty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 18.8F/7F up here. Temp should temporarily drop with low dews. No liquid up here but will we change over to sleet or not? Should add up quickly with fluff factor. I'll go with 5-8". Just a bit more and snowmobile trails could open! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 25.9/12. Continues falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 18.8F/7F up here. Temp should temporarily drop with low dews. No liquid up here but will we change over to sleet or not? Should add up quickly with fluff factor. I'll go with 5-8". Just a bit more and snowmobile trails could open! You're area is a solid 6-7" in our forecast, but I'm guessing you probably flirt with taint as the dry slot nears. 13-15z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Can someone post the 850mb temp map from SPC mesoanalysis? I can't get that site to work well on mobile... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Wow my 850s are near -4 and almost all sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 What does surface temp map look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 What does surface temp map look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 That looks about right, probably 28-29F here, supposed to tick down a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 You're area is a solid 6-7" in our forecast, but I'm guessing you probably flirt with taint as the dry slot nears. 13-15z?Same for Raymond area? Don't like pingers when its 20f. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Same for Raymond area? Don't like pingers when its 20f. Pretty much, my last update actually increased snow for ME especially for coastal zones. Could argue for a warning in those areas now. I don't really have taint into ME until the dry slot is on the doorstep. Now whether I'm right or not... But I think my reasoning and production of the grids was fairly solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Pretty much, my last update actually increased snow for ME especially for coastal zones. Could argue for a warning in those areas now. I don't really have taint into ME until the dry slot is on the doorstep. Now whether I'm right or not... But I think my reasoning and production of the grids was fairly solid. Nice, thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Believe it or not its snowing here right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 That's impressive Believe it or not its snowing here right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Believe it or not its snowing here right now. Actually not that hard to believe based on the 00z OKX sounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Believe it or not its snowing here right now. Congrats. You guys were IP a couple hours ago so you must have been able to briefly cool the colum. Enjoy it while it lasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Yeah first flakes of the season here but i know the dream will end pretty quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 23/7. SN shower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Was explaining this to Kevin earlier, but based on the significant dry air on the OKX sounding at 00z precip initially could have started as sleet but had the potential to change to snow before WAA overcame. As the column saturates the temp and dewpoint traces will move towards each other. Given no other outside influences they would meet at the blue line (wet bulb) which was a snow sounding at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Looks like warnings are up in the north country, I'm thinking my uncle in Vienna In far NW Kennebec County Maine at 700 ft. drops a 6 or 7 spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Was explaining this to Kevin earlier, but based on the significant dry air on the OKX sounding at 00z precip initially could have started as sleet but had the potential to change to snow before WAA overcame. OKX.gif As the column saturates the temp and dewpoint traces will move towards each other. Given no other outside influences they would meet at the blue line (wet bulb) which was a snow sounding at 00z. Nice. Thanks for the explanation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Column saturating and intensity picking up..quick dusting down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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