Damage In Tolland Posted August 11, 2015 Author Share Posted August 11, 2015 .85 of heaven to the lawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 lolz I'm fairly certain someone put up a tent over the ASOS, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 So--is this going to be it once this goes through or will there be more this afternoon? .81" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 I'm fairly certain someone put up a tent over the ASOS, lol. It's accumulating now... Slowly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 So--is this going to be it once this goes through or will there be more this afternoon? .81" HRR says more action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 11, 2015 Author Share Posted August 11, 2015 HRRR says bang the gong later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 .85 of heaven to the lawnwould be appropriate for apologies to those who said synoptic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Looks like the break in the action might be the time to make the dump run. The down-side of Tuesdays. 64.7/64 .85" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH-NORTHERN BRISTOL-EASTERN ESSEX-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX-EASTERN NORFOLK-SOUTHERN BRISTOL-WESTERN PLYMOUTH-SUFFOLK-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY-EASTERN PLYMOUTH-WESTERN NORFOLK-BRISTOL-NEWPORT- 1139 AM EDT TUE AUG 11 2015 A BAND OF HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. THIS BAND OF RAIN HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING STREET AND URBAN FLOODING. UNDERPASSES AND TYPICALLY PRONE LOCATIONS MAY SEE STANDING WATER UNTIL THE DRAINAGE IS ABLE TO KEEP UP. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... BOSTON...CAMBRIDGE...NEW BEDFORD...BROCKTON...QUINCY...LYNN...FALL RIVER...NEWTON...SOMERVILLE...FRAMINGHAM...WALTHAM...MALDEN... BROOKLINE...PLYMOUTH...MEDFORD...TAUNTON...WEYMOUTH...REVERE... ARLINGTON AND EVERETT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WAS OCCURRING MINOR URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 looks like southeast has the rain/wind threat. the northwest gets the storms to cap it off, in the middle like NE MA it's kinda meh. Working out pretty much as it was forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 best dynamics exit stage right with this main band really. secondary forcing with the front coming through later. the shear values are lower by that time and the LLJ is long gone. Run of the mill out west probably with them dissipating before they reach ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 looks like southeast has the rain/wind threat. the northwest gets the storms to cap it off, in the middle like NE MA it's kinda meh. Working out pretty much as it was forecasted. SREF severe parameters definitely had a better look to them around NYC this morning than with time as this LLJ moved east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 SREF severe parameters definitely had a better look to them around NYC this morning than with time as this LLJ moved east. Not to be an ar$e but hasn't the SREF's only gotten progressively worse with time? I know last winter it made me gag anytime they were brought up. I imagine they are slightly more useful within severe forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Not to be an ar$e but hasn't the SREF's only gotten progressively worse with time? I know last winter it made me gag anytime they were brought up. I imagine they are slightly more useful within severe forecasting The problem is probably because they have been so geared towards convective forecasting, that they are suspect in the winter now. I still find them very useful for warm season forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 .85 of heaven to the lawn Only 0.64" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 1.47" here. Could reach 2" if we get some storms/showers later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 The problem is probably because they have been so geared towards convective forecasting, that they are suspect in the winter now. I still find them very useful for warm season forecasting. They've been atrocious for several winters now. I haven't looked at them much in the warm season, as quite frankly I'm not as interested in weather events. But I'm sure you guys that do it daily for a living find some usefulness for them, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 SREF severe parameters definitely had a better look to them around NYC this morning than with time as this LLJ moved east. Once the LLJ core slides east any potential is pretty much cooked. With no capping and tons of lift around, any instability generated will quickly allow for showers to develop. Going to be tough to get any good cores. If the LLJ was hanging around there would be a better chance of something utilizing that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Around 0.7" here now eyeballing the gauge out in the lawn. Pouring. Mountain sites in this area are taking the jackpot so far (shockingly haha). 3,600ft Sterling Mountain...1.08" and counting. 2,100ft Bolton Valley...1.03" and counting. 1,500ft Stowe/Mansfield...0.89" and counting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 They've been atrocious for several winters now. I haven't looked at them much in the warm season, as quite frankly I'm not as interested in weather events. But I'm sure you guys that do it daily for a living find some usefulness for them, haha. You can imagine if they are fine tuned for convection, that in the winter they get a little convection happy at times and produce unrealistic scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 You can imagine if they are fine tuned for convection, that in the winter they get a little convection happy at times and produce unrealistic scenarios. Yeah definitely. I think the glory years for them and winter weather was back in like 05-08. I remember those were getting posted quite a bit on these forums (and taken seriously) in the SWFE 2007-2008 winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Yeah definitely. I think the glory years for them and winter weather was back in like 05-08. I remember those were getting posted quite a bit on these forums (and taken seriously) in the SWFE 2007-2008 winter. Obviously that was back in the RSM/ETA member days. They've been downhill synoptically since then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 11, 2015 Author Share Posted August 11, 2015 Only 0.64" here. Tolland WxStem with .88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Glorious rain. Glorious grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 11, 2015 Author Share Posted August 11, 2015 Glorious rain. Glorious grass. You guys gonna get croaked out there AWT..Looks like well over 1 inch..Radar looks solid out that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Parents are in Falmouth at the Seacrest. They are having a great beach day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 0.12". Radar not that impressive. 0.5-1" seems doubtful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Making a late-run for the one inch mark... nearing 0.90" with a quick 1/4" in the past 30 minutes as some moderate to heavy rain trains over RT 108. MVL (which is where the marker is on the radar) is up to 0.12" now, lol. For every tenth that falls, it registers around a hundreth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 HRRR has everything falling apart once it reaches central areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Sprinkles about 10:30, steady rain in AUG noon on, mainly light, perhaps 0.1". Some nice 30-40 dbz echoes upstream, should add half an inch or more if they hold together. Looks like the back edge goes thru about 5 PM unless things slow down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.