J Paul Gordon Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 -20C/-4F Windchill: -30C/-23F........ and getting colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Words don't capture the awe. We've long passed the unthinkable. Almost feels surreal that we are experiencing this. Hallowed ground indeed. Coastal & Jerry, enjoyed your posts on spouses. Takes a special person to tolerate this addicted fascination we have. Some photos from Jerry's hood, Brookline. . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Can't really go by that with snow. I'll admit I'm not sure how dual pol handles it, but I'm guessing you're not using dual pol. I'm not sure if BOX has updated theirs yet, but if they use the default a dry snow tag would take the rain rate (based off dBZ) and use a multiplier of 2.8 times that to get estimated precip totals. Legacy would use the standard rain rate. Either way, when you have 40 dBZ snowfall, that's naturally going to inflate the precip estimation. That would easily be moderate rain in the warm season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 More photos from Jerry's hood, Brookline: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 More post-storm photos from Jerry's hood, Brookline: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Anyone know the most 12"+ events Boston has had in a season? Never been more than 2 that I can see. Again I can only search by calendar day, so there might be a season with 3 in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 This takes the cake..I mean..think about this Eric Fisher @ericfisher 9m 9 minutes ago So that stat I mentioned last night rings true. Boston with more snow in 3 weeks than Chicago has ever seen in an entire winter. Madness. I love these stats being thrown around. So? ORD averages like 35" per year versus around 45" for BOS to begin with. BOS just has so much more potential because of the Atlantic being in the backyard. BOS actually averages nearly double the number of advisory (3.3 to 2) and warnings (1.7 to 0.8) events per day each season (for whatever reason I can't search by 2 day snowfall to get a more accurate sense of "storm" events). BOS has nearly 5 times the 20" snowstorms that LOT does. Honestly, if any climate site was going to blitz snow for 3 weeks it would probably be BOS or a station very nearby. As far as I'm concerned you might as well be comparing apples to cold cuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Aint that the truth. Strengthening mid-levels rarely ever fail to deliver. If you think about it though, what do models do best? They do best with placement of upper level features (and filters down to mid-levels)...what they the worst at? Probably surface features with an emphasis on QPF and low level temperature boundaries/advection. So when you have the rare times where the two are at great odds with eachother...which are you more likely to go with? The variable the models do best at or the variable they perform the worst at? I think that was a giant red flag up this way. If I handed you a 700 mb standard map from NCEP, even just heights, would you ever have placed the heavy snowfall all the way along the ME coast? Probably not, the mid levels looked great for a lot of SNE. Great track right along the south coast. Honestly it was the little mesolow feature that saved our bacon up here, without it we might have busted every warning we had up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 It was like 4-5 runs in a row just pounding almost the entire length of the Maine coast...that is not a small area. It's different than us down here saying "well it was great for ORH to BOS but was awful in HFD"...that kind of thing...this was a pretty large scale bust in that area. I don;t think I've seen it choke that bad that close to an event...this is including the NYC blizzard bust too where it was kind of over-blown because it busted by like 30-40 miles, but it was just a metro center with 20 million people. I thought the Euro was getting its mojo back after the storm last weekend and sniffing out the lack of an event on Thursday last week....but it took another monster dump in this event...its worst of the season. Ray is right...it has been a winter to forget for the Euro to this point. Confidence is truly shaken in that model. The long term blend of choice always seemed to be 70/30 Euro. But now? Might as well take 40/30/30 Euro, GGEM, GFS. It was an all time misfire up here. I know we've casually brought it up between a few forecasters today, but I think a local review might be a real good thing here. Can't always look at the successful forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Yeah. The euro is best at H5 and for identifying threats in that d4-5 range, but my god has it struggled with cyclogenesis this winter. Maybe it's a clipper/miller B issue or it too is just too hires for its own good. It's tough out there right now. Will probably still has it buried somewhere, but I can remember when his class would teach mine how they go about forecasting and being handed a list of biases (AVN, NGM and ETA since who was going to pay for college kids to have access to the ECMWF). Back when the resolution sucked, you had very predictable biases that you could compensate for. Now we have some anecdotal ones, but really the way some models jump from run to run you really have very little feel for how they perform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Front walk. steps.jpg When you're exhausted from digging deep snow, who can you call? Jeb!!!!!!!!!! Oh Wait! I might have my own snow to dig out of lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 55 mph gust at cabin. I think this is the biggest gust recorded on the Davis in more than a year. -11.2/-17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Ended up with 10" storm total. I was right on the Ra/Sn line. North of my location had 16-22" and south of me in the city had 4-6" and 1" of rain. Here is a pic of what just 1" of rain can do on a large snowpack. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 That's a disaster. I bet it flash froze too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Ended up with 10" storm total. I was right on the Ra/Sn line. North of my location had 16-22" and south of me in the city had 4-6" and 1" of rain. Here is a pic of what just 1" of rain can do on a large snowpack. Sent from my iPhone Nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Ended up with 10" storm total. I was right on the Ra/Sn line. North of my location had 16-22" and south of me in the city had 4-6" and 1" of rain. Here is a pic of what just 1" of rain can do on a large snowpack. Sent from my iPhone This is in our future... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 This is in our future... hey man was wondering where you were, pics? How much did you get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Never been more than 2 that I can see. Again I can only search by calendar day, so there might be a season with 3 in there. My best guess would be 60-61, as NYC only missed the trifecta by 0.1". All two-day events, though. NYC snow: 12/12-13...15.2" 1/19-20....9.9" 2/3-4.....17.4" And all subfreezing temps between the latter two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Quabbin had an arctic feel yesterday. Beautiful and solitary, winds going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Holy shizz. Taking a weenie ride in Boston area now. Incredible scenes. Frigid out here too. Ocean is frozen over in my hood! Gonna take a weenie ride toward Hull down 3a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Castle Island/Boston Harbour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 do you shovel roofs JEBMAN? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 000NOUS41 KBOX 161558 PNSBOX CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-162000- PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1058 AM EST MON FEB 16 2015 ...VALENTINES DAY WEEKEND BLIZZARD... BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WERE REACHED AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS DURING THE STORM ON FEBRUARY 14 AND 15. THIS STORM PRODUCED WIND GUSTS OF 65 MPH ON NANTUCKET AND 45 TO 55 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. SNOWFALL TOTALS OF AT LEAST A FOOT WERE COMMON ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AS WELL AS RHODE ISLAND WITH SOME AREAS REACHING NEARLY 2 FEET ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS COASTS. SNOW TOTALS WERE UNDER A FOOT FOR MUCH OF WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHERN CONNECTICUT. THE DEFINITION OF A BLIZZARD IS THAT FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW REDUCES VISIBILITY TO BELOW 1/4 MILE ALONG WITH WINDS THAT FREQUENTLY GUST TO 35 MPH OR MORE...AND THAT THESE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE THE PREDOMINANT REPORTED CONDITION FOR AT LEAST 3 CONSECUTIVE HOURS. WHEN REVIEWING WHETHER A PARTICULAR OBSERVATION LOCATION HAD BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...WE CONSIDERED VISIBILITIES EQUAL TO 1/4 MILE BECAUSE THAT IS QUITE LOW FOR AN AUTOMATED SENSOR TO BE ABLE TO DETECT IN SNOW OR BLOWING SNOW. IN A FEW INSTANCES...THE AUTOMATED SENSORS DID REPORT ZERO VISIBILITIES FOR SHORT PERIODS OF TIME. HOWEVER...IN OUR BEST JUDGMENT...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING WITH AUTOMATED SENSOR VISIBILITIES SUSTAINED AT 1/4 MILE WITH HEAVY SNOW OR BLOWING SNOW BEING REPORTED AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 MPH OR MORE. THE FOLLOWING OBSERVATION SITES HAD BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ON FEBRUARY 15TH. DURATIONS SHOWN ARE FOR CONSECUTIVE HOURS OF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. TIMES ARE APPROXIMATE TO WITHIN A FEW MINUTES... NANTUCKET MA...4.5 HOURS FROM 840 AM TO 110 PM HYANNIS MA...4 HOURS FROM 845 AM TO 100 PM CHATHAM MA...4.5 HOURS FROM 830 AM TO 100 PM MARSHFIELD MA...3.3 HOURS FROM 755 AM TO 1115 AM FALMOUTH MA...4 HOURS FROM 855 AM TO 1255 PM IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE FOLLOWING SITES HAD NEAR-BLIZZARD CONDITIONS... MARTHAS VINEYARD MA...HAD BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR JUST UNDER 2.5 HOURS BETWEEN 735 AM AND 1000 AM. NEWPORT RI...EXPERIENCED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DISCONTINUOUSLY FOR 3 HOURS BETWEEN 655 AM AND 955 AM. PLYMOUTH MA...EXPERIENCED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DISCONTINUOUSLY FOR 3.5 HOURS BETWEEN 730 AM AND 1100 AM. $ FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT @NWSBOSTON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Coastal Quincy is buried in a sick way. Almost to Hull now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Coastal Quincy is buried in a sick way. Almost to Hull now. Say hi through Weymouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Say hi through Weymouth.I'm on 3a in Weymouth now. You're def a local jack.Saw a nude man streaking was it you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Here's the 2 day CoCoRaHs totals for snow amounts of 10" or more. I'm pretty sure they're required to measure once every 24hrs at some point in the morning so these would probably be higher with clearing every 6hrs. It made a difference of about 3" between me and the other 2 Northfield stations, but obviously this event was an extreme. Town Snow/Water Equiv/Ratio ME Washington Pembroke 5.4 SSE 18.0"/1.15"/16:1 Eastport 1.5 SE 25.2"/1.26"/20:1 York Kittery Point 0.8 WSW 17.0"/1.15"/15:1 Kennebunk 1.8 WNW 15.0"/----/--- Biddeford 1.5 NNE 13.0"/0.63"/21:1 Acton 2.7 NW 12.6"/0.60"/21:1 York 5.2 N 15.0"/0.94"/16:1 NH Belknap Tilton Northfield 3.3 NE 10.0"/0.55"/18:1 Hillsborough Greenville 1.1 ENE 10.0"/0.71"/14:1 Mont Vernon 1.3 SSW 11.0"/0.72"/15:1 New Boston 2.4 S 9.9"/0.64"/15:1 Merrimack Bow 1.6 NW 10.9"/0.61"/18:1 Danbury 2.2 ESE 9.9"/0.61"/16:1 South Sutton 2.5 SSE 13.0"/0.56"/23:1 Newbury 4.0 SE 13.0"/0.63"/21:1 Bow 1.5 N 12.0"/0.60"/20:1 Northfield 2.8 E 10.0"/0.77"/13:1 Rockingham Portsmouth 1.5 NE 15.0"/0.60"/ Exeter 1.5 E 14.0"/0.92"/ Stratham 1.9 ESE 12.8"/0.73"/ Salem 1.7 NNE 10.8"/0.74"/ MA Essex Salisbury 3.7 NW 12.8"/0.61" /21:1 Boxford 2.4 S 12.6"/0.80"/16:1 Middlesex Winchester 0.7 SE 10.3"/0.80"/13:1 Acton 1.3 SW 16.6"/0.86"/19:1 Somerville 0.8 SSE 15.5"/0.69"/22:1 Medford 1.2 W 21.0"/0.75"/28:1 Norfolk Norwood 1.3 NW 14.5"/0.86"/17:1 Weymouth 0.5 NW 14.5"/0.84"/17:1 Millis 2.0 SW 13.5"/0.84"/16:1 Suffolk Winthrop 0.2 N 16.2"/0.72"/23:1 Brighton 0.5 W 13.0"/0.58"/22:1 Worcester Fitchburg 1.6 SSW 11.0"/0.44"/25:1 Bristol Norton 1.8 NNE 13.1"/0.64"/20:1 Dighton 1.1 WSW 13.0"/0.65"/20:1 Plymouth Kingston 3.3 WNW 16.5"/1.12"/15:1 East Bridgewater 1.7 WNW 21.0"/0.67"/31:1 Abington 1.2 NNE 12.3"/0.99"/12:1 Barnstable East Falmouth 1.4 ESE 12.0"/1.29"/9:1 Dukes Vineyard Haven 0.8 WSW 13.0"/1.51"/9:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Entire roads still blocked in Hull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 A platoon of NY State plow trucks just passed me heading toward Hull as I depart for home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 000 NOUS41 KBOX 161558 PNSBOX CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-162000- PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1058 AM EST MON FEB 16 2015 ...VALENTINES DAY WEEKEND BLIZZARD... BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WERE REACHED AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS DURING THE STORM ON FEBRUARY 14 AND 15. THIS STORM PRODUCED WIND GUSTS OF 65 MPH ON NANTUCKET AND 45 TO 55 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. SNOWFALL TOTALS OF AT LEAST A FOOT WERE COMMON ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AS WELL AS RHODE ISLAND WITH SOME AREAS REACHING NEARLY 2 FEET ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS COASTS. SNOW TOTALS WERE UNDER A FOOT FOR MUCH OF WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHERN CONNECTICUT. THE DEFINITION OF A BLIZZARD IS THAT FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW REDUCES VISIBILITY TO BELOW 1/4 MILE ALONG WITH WINDS THAT FREQUENTLY GUST TO 35 MPH OR MORE...AND THAT THESE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE THE PREDOMINANT REPORTED CONDITION FOR AT LEAST 3 CONSECUTIVE HOURS. WHEN REVIEWING WHETHER A PARTICULAR OBSERVATION LOCATION HAD BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...WE CONSIDERED VISIBILITIES EQUAL TO 1/4 MILE BECAUSE THAT IS QUITE LOW FOR AN AUTOMATED SENSOR TO BE ABLE TO DETECT IN SNOW OR BLOWING SNOW. IN A FEW INSTANCES...THE AUTOMATED SENSORS DID REPORT ZERO VISIBILITIES FOR SHORT PERIODS OF TIME. HOWEVER...IN OUR BEST JUDGMENT...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING WITH AUTOMATED SENSOR VISIBILITIES SUSTAINED AT 1/4 MILE WITH HEAVY SNOW OR BLOWING SNOW BEING REPORTED AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 MPH OR MORE. THE FOLLOWING OBSERVATION SITES HAD BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ON FEBRUARY 15TH. DURATIONS SHOWN ARE FOR CONSECUTIVE HOURS OF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. TIMES ARE APPROXIMATE TO WITHIN A FEW MINUTES... NANTUCKET MA...4.5 HOURS FROM 840 AM TO 110 PM HYANNIS MA...4 HOURS FROM 845 AM TO 100 PM CHATHAM MA...4.5 HOURS FROM 830 AM TO 100 PM MARSHFIELD MA...3.3 HOURS FROM 755 AM TO 1115 AM FALMOUTH MA...4 HOURS FROM 855 AM TO 1255 PM IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE FOLLOWING SITES HAD NEAR-BLIZZARD CONDITIONS... MARTHAS VINEYARD MA...HAD BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR JUST UNDER 2.5 HOURS BETWEEN 735 AM AND 1000 AM. NEWPORT RI...EXPERIENCED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DISCONTINUOUSLY FOR 3 HOURS BETWEEN 655 AM AND 955 AM. PLYMOUTH MA...EXPERIENCED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DISCONTINUOUSLY FOR 3.5 HOURS BETWEEN 730 AM AND 1100 AM. $ FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT @NWSBOSTON Davis weather station Clinch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.