NCSNOW Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Pure white sleet here now. First time since the opening bell that lasted all of 10 mins this afternoon. Coming down pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 So would that make it into a Miller A/B? You are right about the transfer point being much further south which will mean more moisture for all of us.The low is moving about 150 some miles further south. So colder and wetter for NC and SC, basically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderwolf Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Just read from RAH Facebook page that light ice accural is being reported via Automatic reporting stations in central NC. While that may be true in this instance, don't trust ASOS at all for reporting p-types. Its algorithms are terrible. In these mixed p events, you see a lot of UP (unknown precip) which isn't helpful at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 RAH update says the worst freeing rain should be south of 64 and it could be really bad there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 The low is moving about 150 some miles further south. So colder and wetter for NC and SC, basically. Gosh, the models were terrible with this system. I might as well watch the animals to see what they're doing from now on to get my forecast instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 The strength of the cold wedge is trending stronger and therefore push that transfer farther south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 So we were right in saying this Low would not go into the Cad. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 While that may be true in this instance, don't trust ASOS at all for reporting p-types. Its algorithms are terrible. In these mixed p events, you see a lot of UP (unknown precip) which isn't helpful at all.They probably did report it in the lulls. But it's not likely to be the predominant p-type it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 So we were right in saying this Low would not go into the Cad. Interesting. Yes. Thus the "heart-shaped" isobars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 The low is moving about 150 some miles further south. So colder and wetter for NC and SC, basically. That's a big difference. Seems the north trend was overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Light zr and ip mix in SE Wake. Are there any appreciable implications to the secondary low forming farther south than the models were indicating? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 That's a big difference. Seems the north trend was overdone. Admittedly, I was worried about that continuing when the models started trending in that direction. Just speaks to the strength of this anomalous air mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Be nice if that low forming off SC can pull some deeper cold into NC and change me over to all sleet so I don't get .50"+ of ice, its really icing up quickly out there.....steady ZR with temp of 24..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 The back edge is slowly closing in on me. Heavy sleet now 17.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Light zr and ip mix in SE Wake. Are there any appreciable implications to the secondary low forming farther south than the models were indicating? I think that's what we've been seeing with the late model adjustments and the initial band that pushed out of Virginia this afternoon. Also look at the radar, we're definitely in the hart of the precipitation whereas yesterday that was suppose to be up in Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Reports of ZR down in Pembroke and Lumberton in Robeson Co. Those are in areas that were to be marginal temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Zr is piling up here in Se nc temp is 28 and wind is out if the ne at about 8mph it was suppose to be ese.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Heavy sleet. I mean very heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Heavy sleet. I mean very heavy. Yeah, here too. Might end up with that 2-4" after all.. but all in sleet! Glad to have avoided most of the freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Yeah, here too. Might end up with that 2-4" after all.. but all in sleet! Glad to have avoided most of the freezing rain. Oh yeah. The radar is looking good to the west. We're right at 3 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 NWS plans to upgrade several counties in central NC to WSW levels at the next announcement. Increased ZR above warning criteria expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Light zr and ip mix in SE Wake. Are there any appreciable implications to the secondary low forming farther south than the models were indicating? Probably not much, but there is a chance. Could be an enhanced effect if the low can deepen quick enough. Be nice if that low forming off SC can pull some deeper cold into NC and change me over to all sleet so I don't get .50"+ of ice, its really icing up quickly out there.....steady ZR with temp of 24..... That would be wonderful wouldn't it? We aren't quite there yet with the coastal though. Just the pressure falls aren't enough, we will have to see where the low pops. Indications though that its going to be further south than modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 well rates are insane and I have 80% sleet now and the roads went solid ice in no time...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 The south trend has robbed our friends in the MA. They will end up 3 to 4, exception western VA. Frosty even beat them. The coastal isn't gonna make it for them. It'll be to far south to make that kind of left turn imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 If we chg to zr in ral it will prob happen around 12 per soundings mod sleet here currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marino13882 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 If we chg to zr in ral it will prob happen around 12 per soundings mod sleet here currently The later the better. I do not want to lose power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 If we chg to zr in ral it will prob happen around 12 per soundings mod sleet here currently Man I can't imagine freezing rain falling into these temps. I'm currently at 17.1 degrees with moderate sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 If we chg to zr in ral it will prob happen around 12 per soundings mod sleet here currently You looking at the RAP? I really hope we get to 1 AM before the changeover since that would reduce ice accrual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 With the low developing much further south wouldn't that mean our winds will continue to be NNE to NE? Here in Jville we were supposed to be ESE and our temp to rise in the mid 40's but we've been dropping, currently 29.1; MHX recently put out a update like a hour ago saying they still expect our temp to rise but I don't see that happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 You looking at the RAP? I really hope we get to 1 AM before the changeover since that would reduce ice accrual. NAM bufkit, but given how cold it is at the sfc and the obs southwest, it may stay sleet. hard to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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