Cold Miser Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 No one at this latitude should sniff 50" in a week like we have, so sooner rather than later, threats need to fail. Got it. Well maybe if we wait a week we can sniff 50"? Would that make the climo gods feel better? lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 GFS still not buying what the EURO is selling EURO caves at 0z or it's game on for a fast flow coastal redeveloper. My money going EURO but can't wait up for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 No one at this latitude should sniff 50" in a week like we have, so sooner rather than later, threats need to fail.no one at any lattitude that isn't at elevation should sniff this. I'm waiting for the other shoe to drop... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 You sorta get the feeling it's too good to be true and when will it end? Nature always has its way of balancing itself out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 You sorta get the feeling it's too good to be true and when will it end? Nature always has its way of balancing itself out. Yeah... We are on borrowed time already... At least down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 I know Ray is waiting for the invisible forcefield of climo to prevent his snow depth from reaching 40"+. It's a tough mark, but it's going to take one more big storm...or a couple moderate ones. Thursday is really not very impressive outside the Euro/Ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Yea, I'm a no-go on that one....I think the EURO is amp happy. Either that, or it rains....but prob east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Harv is up in the air....says needs more assessment, but should at least be SOME accums. from the front. Could be "very significant" if the storm develops quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 GFS is a miss on first system but has a nice 4-8/6-10 event Sunday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Only looked at nam init but if it's right way out west with the pac energy I can't see it digging enough. Pretty big reversal. Be interested to see what the euro shows. Tips data rule Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Where's Phil with his input on data ingest? He usually has a comment with respect to that before a big storm. He must not be as gung-ho as the two previous events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Yeah... We are on borrowed time already... At least down here.Allelujia. We r a diff climo than Boston or even PVD. We need a S cst special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Harv is up in the air....says needs more assessment, but should at least be SOME accums. from the front. Could be "very significant" if the storm develops quickly IOW, he's waiting to see if the EURO keeps digging. If it does at 0z, I wouldn't be so quick to dismiss this threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 It's right. Don't think the NAM will whiff initit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 New 00z Canadian is buying the trend the Euro was selling. Big shift west from 12z as the trough digs, still has a way to come but in this case the trend is your friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zwDvF0NtgdU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 GGEM is a low end warning for eastern half of SNE up into Maine...soldi advisory for rest of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Wow, them Canadians keep getting it. I guess this is the year of the GGEM/RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Ukie is similar to the GGEM...maybe a bit less impressive as it shoves the coastal east pretty quick as it develops...but still looks like a solid advisory event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 GGEM is a low end warning for eastern half of SNE up into Maine...soldi advisory for rest of SNE.I'd take that and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 So what is this again... America against the world? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 GGEM looks like a quick mover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 UKMET through 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 If we could just get the trough to dig further south and west it would turn into something much bigger. Unfortunately, not much time left for this to trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 0z Euro should be telling. I'm exhausted after last nights storm, not sure if I can make it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 In lieu of a storm, the GFS has double digit negative temps Friday morning across most of New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 In lieu of a storm, the GFS has double digit negative temps Friday morning across most of New England This entire 0z GFS run was wicked cold...850s get down to <-20C Friday morning, and then get to -30C a couple times in the longer-range as the AK block continues to build. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Euro looks like advisory from about I91 east and warning from about 495 east judging off the individual panels, will confirm when total precip pops out. Edit: Total QPF in SNE is .1" to the NY border, .25" east of a line from HVN to TOL, .5" east of a line from GON to the MA/RI/CT tripoint, and ~.75" east of a line from BOS-PVD. In C/NNE(north of the MA/VT/NH border), good QPF is more widespread from the initial arctic wave, with .3" back into NY, .4-.6 for all of NH except the extreme SW corner, and .5-1" for most of maine which gets hit hard with the coastal. Ratios for all would also likely be enhanced from the standard 10:1 at least for the second half of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Euro with a nice hit for eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Looks more like the 12z ensembles now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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