CarlislePaWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I see Allweather checking in....nice to see you back! What are your thoughts regarding accumulations and the WSW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Advisory for the UNV-IPT corridor now calling for 3-5. Great last minute trends! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 i'm not good at the temps. How will we be with temperature? 29ish? will we be ok, or where there be some issues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Looks like more mixing issues for me. I still might sneak a warning out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS looks pretty sad for the clipper...looks like much of the area struggles to break .25" QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 i'm not good at the temps. How will we be with temperature? 29ish? will we be ok, or where there be some issues? 12z NAM has MDT between 0 and -1 C at 850mb while 12z GFS between 0 and 1C. Both also have surface temp at 34F at 1pm... already 32F at 11am with full sunshine... I am expecting mixing issues around here and still do think AOO-UNV region is going to cash in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Yea yesterday we were kinda joking about how far south it could track...ehh NC?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 It's only 20 here and we're socked under full clouds - should allow the snow to accumulate straight away later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Yea yesterday we were kinda joking about how far south it could track...ehh NC?? Ugh... One storm at a time Debbie ! You know better or should by now. Plenty of time good or bad. Nut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I do lol I'm enjoying our possible advisory snow. Just glad to get a base for snowmobiling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 It's 35 degrees. I'm going on a limb and say don't come close to sniffing 3" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I do lol I'm enjoying our possible advisory snow. Just glad to get a base for snowmobiling. Headed up tonight to pack that base down for ya. Wait too long and it'll be over. Too far south to worry about building a base imo. Nut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 It's 35 degrees. I'm going on a limb and say don't come close to sniffing 3" of snow. Dewpoint is 21...wet bulbing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Yikes lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 UKMET is further NW and amped. .4" (10mm) line extends pretty deep into the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Everything falling into place for a pretty significant event MDT on north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 This is definitely a tricky one for those SE of I-81/I-78. The front-end thump in the SE will have the most accumulation from the storm (perhaps more on the back-end?). Farther NW, light/mod snow will continue through the day, so higher amounts should be just N&W of Harrisburg. To be honest, this has been tough to forecast. I BELIEVE IN THE THUMP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I want in the fun too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I want in the fun too... Yea dude, we're kinda riding the edge on this one and pretty far off from the clipper now. Hopefully we make up again later, as these things seem to balance themselves out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Hope you guys up north either get a surprise from this storm, or the clipper comes back north for ya. But even if not, there will be plenty more opportunities to score this winter, I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Being honest, we have a youth basketball game I'm coaching tmrw that I really don't want to cancel, so if we could avoid 3 plus it would be great(Anything 5 plus is impossible to be upset about) However, we usually seem to get what I don't want right on the nose so we'll get 2.5ish and have to cancel lol. It's a game we need for a local tourney invite, and we don't do make-ups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Turned out to be a nice day outside with the sun coming out for once. I quickly learned why they call Penn State "stratocu-U" my first winter here haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Hope you guys up north either get a surprise from this storm, or the clipper comes back north for ya. But even if not, there will be plenty more opportunities to score this winter, I'm sure. Mallow have 15.6" for the season "not bad" workin my way towards the season average a couple inches at a time :-) Just as long as someone in the forum is getting snow I'm happy.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Turned out to be a nice day outside with the sun coming out for once. I quickly learned why they call Penn State "stratocu-U" my first winter here haha. Some of the nicest winter days are those right before a winter storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 NWS updated their map and expanded their 6-8" area... top older/bottom new Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 NWS updated their map and expanded their 6-8" area... top older/bottom new StormTotalSnow.png StormTotalSnow_2.png I'm happy with our map....Pretty good agreement there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Can anyone help me with the start time for tonight's snow? Traveling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I'm good with BGM's thoughts here - 2-5". I'll give the potential for 6"+ in the Poconos and/or pending on better banding. Can anyone help me with the start time for tonight's snow? Traveling It's a South-North deal. You'll probably see it around 8-9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Nice map AllWeather. I'll take a 3" - 5"...you expecting mix into Spring Grove - New Salem area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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