DaveTinNY Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I like your optimism, JGNYK03. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Dude , this is not missing you in the least . You miss Northern branch features on arctic waves . This southern branch feature will scorch everyone . Ignore the GFS . Its the typical bias . look at the UKMET 500MB , no one gona miss The UKMET taken verbatim would deliver widespread prolific snowfall rates and totals to a wide area for the first time since 03' if im correct in interpreting its outcome paul Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I hate my location for most true miller A's. This is one of those storms that will shaft a lot of people. Pulled this from the Mid Atlantic too . If this is right its a great snowstorm , no one left fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 Looks like a huge hit on the Canadian..not only do we get the initial slug of precipitation but the surface low goes inside the benchmark and the CCB hangs overhead for 12 hours afterward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Pulled this from the Mid Atlantic too . If this is right its a great snowstorm , no one left fringed Dude, that just looks sick. There is no way to get the next frame, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Through hr 30 the southern stream 500mb vorticy looks stronger than the NAM and GFS on the 12z GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Looks like a huge hit on the Canadian..not only do we get the initial slug of precipitation but the surface low goes inside the benchmark and the CCB hangs overhead for 12 hours afterward. Wow. I'm trying to hold back the excitement but it's becoming hard to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Can someone please post the UKMET that has it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Warning Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Dude , this is not missing you in the least . You miss Northern branch features on arctic waves . This southern branch feature will scorch everyone . Ignore the GFS . Its the typical bias . look at the UKMET 500MB , no one gona miss I agree. Miller A's bomb us. Hopefully we can watch the wall of precip come east to west here in the HV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 The Canadian may be briefly borderline at 850 at 78 hours...but the dynamic cooling leaves me certain that this would still be a major snowstorm for everybody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Dude, that just looks sick. There is no way to get the next frame, correct? I dont , looking forward to seeing the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Looks like mt holly posted a map of a general 4-6" snowfall with 6-8 to the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU4Real Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 They'd probably wait until tomorrow afternoon. It is possible if all holds serve at 0z and 6z that we'd see a watch go up as early as tomorrow morning. Mt. Holly's discussion this morning set the stage for waiting until tomorrow's 0Z models before taking action, based on the assumption that the PacNW energy will be onshore by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The models now have this storm coming in Thursday into Friday. Really messy evening commute on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Wishing a storm where everyone enjoys the goods, including us interior folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Looks like mt holly posted a map of a general 4-6" snowfall with 6-8 to the SW. Already? That was quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The Canadian may be briefly borderline at 850 at 78 hours...but the dynamic cooling leaves me certain that this would still be a major snowstorm for everybody. Joe Sobel used to say , you have to smell the rain , if u want the best snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Keep in mind too ATL, DFW are both seeing winter precip the next day or two, that means Delta, AA, and Southwest are all gonna be hurting, there may be flights cancelled between two cities not even impacted by the weather.I'm connecting to a flight at ATL midday on Friday (my flight from LGA is supposed to leave first thing Fri morning at 6am). Looks like they clear out by late Wednesday leaving approx two days to get it together. 40s/50s on Thurs/Fri should help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Looks like mt holly posted a map of a general 4-6" snowfall with 6-8 to the SW. That's only through 7am Thursday...not a storm total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Looks like mt holly posted a map of a general 4-6" snowfall with 6-8 to the SW. by 7am Thursday, before the brunt of the storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Ggem is pretty much what you need to get a major snowstorm in this setup. Amazing 12z suit today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Looks like a huge hit on the Canadian..not only do we get the initial slug of precipitation but the surface low goes inside the benchmark and the CCB hangs overhead for 12 hours afterward. If the GFS made your fingers tingle, does this get the toes going, too? Of course "anything" can happen, but do you foresee any of the models losing this for a run or two or are we well beyond that stage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Joe Sobel used to say , you have to smell the rain , if u want the best snows. All the big storms have the rain/snow line right near us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Mt. Holly's discussion this morning set the stage for waiting until tomorrow's 0Z models before taking action, based on the assumption that the PacNW energy will be onshore by then. If these trends continue through 6z or 12z tomorrow morning they'll at least put up the Winter Storm Watch some time tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 by 7am Thursday, before the brunt of the storm! Oh ok gotcha. Still apprehensive just because the Euro was so borderline so I hope it ticks east a bit today. I want these solutions to hold through tomorrow night before being certain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Mt. Holly's discussion this morning set the stage for waiting until tomorrow's 0Z models before taking action, based on the assumption that the PacNW energy will be onshore by then. That would be too late.. 24-36 hours before start time to take action is way too late.. I think Winter Storm Watches go up well before that time.. By tonight's 00z runs we will have a good idea, but by tomorrow's 12z runs we will know our fate.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 WOOF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 thats only until 7am thursday Looks like mt holly posted a map of a general 4-6" snowfall with 6-8 to the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Yeah the GGEM looks pretty sweet. Big phase over the deep south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU4Real Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 If these trends continue through 6z or 12z tomorrow morning they'll at least put up the Winter Storm Watch some time tomorrow. My bad - I meant to type "6Z". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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