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February 13-14 Potential Snowstorm II


earthlight

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The models last night seeming to combine into a consensus track SE of the area is a great sign, but we still need to wait for the effect the kicker has. That hasn't been resolved fully yet and can still shift things around. I doubt at this stage there are major changes but could still be notable particularly in far NW areas where some models have them near the edge of heavy snow. By 0z tonight we should have a good idea who gets what. As of now I'd say everyone gets at least 6-12" with maybe 15" along and west of I-287. Even the wrapped up models deliver a huge punch of snow for everyone.

As of Now , on average, most models seems to be honing in on 1-1.5 QPF but I Think this next run , when kicker effect sampled, slightly east trend continues which will help an all snow scenario & possibly expend QPF field west thereby increasing it to 1.25-1.75. I think models are underestimating the cold in place: Upton forcasting 14 this time tomorrow. Sit bk and enjoy the chase :)

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   000

NOUS42 KNHC 101620
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1120 AM EST MON 10 FEBRUARY 2014
SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z FEBRUARY 2014
WSPOD NUMBER.....13-073

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT 0NE -- TEAL 71--
A. A66/ DROP 9(28.2N 93.8W)/ 12/0000Z
B. AFXXX 05WSA TRACK66
C. 11/2000Z
D. 10 DROPS ON TRACK AS PUBLISHED
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 12/0200Z

 
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