gymengineer Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Sleet is 3:1 ratio... Not the worst thing in the world... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Didn't the Euro look really good with an entirely cold sounding by 12z? NAM is fine north of DCA. I guess maybe BWI is bad; I didn't look there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 925 sounding is almost identical to 850 at 7a per the Hires NAM, probably a smidge warmer as the line looks to be touching NW DC: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Pretty sure the 18z GFS looked good enough for DCA at 12z as well with a good enough sounding for wet snow as well yes for IAD and somewhat BWI, though surface was 33-34 Right...so remind me why people are abandoning ship before the life boats are lowered? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Yeah 18z gfs soundings weren't too bad marginal snow from 7am on for silver spring on twisterdata Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Right...so remind me why people are abandoning ship before the life boats are lowered? I have been on board since the Titanic began sinking a few days ago... I am still on board for the GFS at the very least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I have been on board since the Titanic began sinking a few days ago... I am still on board for the GFS at the very least We're always all in, right? Now if I was inside the DC beltway or below the Fall Line, I'd be scaling my expectations appropriately, but I still feel fairly bullish for MBY and points north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 We're always all in, right? Now if I was inside the DC beltway or below the Fall Line, I'd be scaling my expectations appropriately, but I still feel fairly bullish for MBY and points north. Well I am in Fairfax... I am going for 1-2 here at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Warm layer is at 750mb, about 1.5C. Check Twisterdata. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Warm layer is at 750mb, about 1.5C. Check Twisterdata. Thanks, the folks in DC needed a guy from PA to steer them straight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDsnowPRO Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 We're always all in, right? Now if I was inside the DC beltway or below the Fall Line, I'd be scaling my expectations appropriately, but I still feel fairly bullish for MBY and points north.From wunderground for Columbia...."Heavy snow during the morning will taper off to light snow during the afternoon. Temps nearly steady in the mid 30s. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph. 5 to 8 inches of snow expected." How likely is this?? I'd be thrilled with half of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 From wunderground... "Heavy snow during the morning will taper off to light snow during the afternoon. Temps nearly steady in the mid 30s. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph. 5 to 8 inches of snow expected." How likely is this?? I'd be thrilled with half of that. They give me 3-5 and I live in the beltway. Extremely bullish, but I'm rooting for it for both of us. Good luck up north! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Looking at the NAM on TwisterData site, looks like 2-3 inches for DC. Snow map is kinda hard to read but looks similar to Wx bell, just less accum everywhere. No 6" amounts until you get into PA or out in western MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 From wunderground for Columbia.... "Heavy snow during the morning will taper off to light snow during the afternoon. Temps nearly steady in the mid 30s. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph. 5 to 8 inches of snow expected." How likely is this?? I'd be thrilled with half of that. I think there's going to be a brutal gradient somewhere. I hope I'm north of it. I expect I'll be pretty close to it either way. If we're north of the gradient, yeah, 5-8" looks pretty solid. If we're on it or south of it, I'd say more like 1-2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDsnowPRO Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 They give me 3-5 and I live in the beltway. Extremely bullish, but I'm rooting for it for both of us. Good luck up north! Same to you. Spent a fair amount of time and money hooking up plows, spreaders and placing equipment on sites. I made the call this morning to mobilize and I'm praying its the correct one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 From wunderground for Columbia.... "Heavy snow during the morning will taper off to light snow during the afternoon. Temps nearly steady in the mid 30s. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph. 5 to 8 inches of snow expected." How likely is this?? I'd be thrilled with half of that. thats interesting, the nws doesn't have a wsw, its an advisory for3-5, on FIOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDsnowPRO Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I think there's going to be a brutal gradient somewhere. I hope I'm north of it. I expect I'll be pretty close to it either way. If we're north of the gradient, yeah, 5-8" looks pretty solid. If we're on it or south of it, I'd say more like 1-2". That seems to generally fall around the Columbia area. A lot of our snow removal sites are in laurel, while our office is in Clarksville. Often we have good accumulating snows in the Columbia/Clarksville area, while laurel and burtonsville has wet pavement or a slushy coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 wunderground gives me 6-11", including 1-3 overnight. Honestly I'd be thrilled to see the lower end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mosi76 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm out. Pure rain event at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I think there's going to be a brutal gradient somewhere. I hope I'm north of it. I expect I'll be pretty close to it either way. If we're north of the gradient, yeah, 5-8" looks pretty solid. If we're on it or south of it, I'd say more like 1-2". what part of columbia are you, I,m by the volunteer fd east of 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 That seems to generally fall around the Columbia area. A lot of our snow removal sites are in laurel, while our office is in Clarksville. Often we have good accumulating snows in the Columbia/Clarksville area, while laurel and burtonsville has wet pavement or a slushy coating. Because Columbia and Clarksville have 200ft+ of elevation on Laurel and Burtonsville. Fall line makes all the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 what part of columbia are you, I,m by the volunteer fd east of 29 East. So far in the 4 years I've been in Columbia, we've obviously had several of these really marginal temp situations. Except for the couple October snowfalls we had, we haven't been shutout on any of them, although obviously folks farther north like Mapgirl are going to get a lot more than us. I think someone pulls out double digits in northern MD/southern PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 East. So far in the 4 years I've been in Columbia, we've obviously had several of these really marginal temp situations. Except for the couple October snowfalls we had, we haven't been shutout on any of them, although obviously folks farther north like Mapgirl are going to get a lot more than us. I think someone pulls out double digits in northern MD/southern PA. your right we haven't been shut out at all, We get snow since were both above the fall line. Balto can get rain and we will get snow. I have lived here for 25 years. Its interesting the FIOS weatherscan has us with a advisory for 3-5 in. starting at 5 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDsnowPRO Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Because Columbia and Clarksville have 200ft+ of elevation on Laurel and Burtonsville. Fall line makes all the difference. Interesting to know. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover33 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Does Sterling issue anything for Fairfax or DC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Does Sterling issue anything for Fairfax or DC? They are both in the LWX CWA... but they have issued nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 FWIW, 02z RAP has 0C 850 line just SE of DC by 8/9am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 FWIW, 02z RAP has 0C 850 line just SE of DC by 8/9am Great news, glad to hear that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Great news, glad to hear that.Too bad it's the RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.