Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Off the 12z NAM for DPA showing equivalent potential temperature, omega and snow growth overlayed, looking for isothermal theta layers and you have a pretty good area of weaker static stability with the "trof" of theta with the potential for possible convection tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 LOT has gusts up to 30 mph in the lakeside counties. Not too bad but a paste job with those winds could at least cause a few power issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Euro has had its off moments this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Snowing decently here right now. Nice consolation prize, before the rains arrive tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Euro has had its off moments this winter. to say the least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 A 100 mile shift south will make my job a lot easier. We have way to much snow in the ditches to accept any rain, considering the bottom sections of them are glacier snow and mostly ice from the last melt down. Interested in the next run to see if the trend continues or just a tease. I noticed you changed that from 10 to 100 miles. 100 miles will be WAY too much, but 25-50 miles would wonders. This thing could still pull a surprise or two, but I've not holding my breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Point and click has 4-7 here in extreme nw Wayne county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 NAM probably coming south/drier/lamer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 18z NAM looks a little slower with onset of the good stuff tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wegoweather Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 15Z SREF Mean 7" at ORD. Big cluster of 12 above the mean from 7.5 to 9.5. Still showing a very slight chance of mixing. 5-11 in my P&C 7.8 in my hourly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Baby steps back south on the NAM. At 0z tomorrow it looks like it's over Essex Co, ON/Lake St. Clair vs. Pt Huron on the 12z run and the thumb of MI at on the 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2014 Author Share Posted January 31, 2014 NAM probably coming south/drier/lamerYep...Drier and a bit south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 That PNT to IKK to VPZ corridor in the LOT cwa continues to look interesting in terms of ice. Would not be surprised if someone in there or close by gets .3 or .4 inches of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chances14 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 nam puts me in the jackpot zone again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 BaM! That should keep me all snow, or at least keep IP/ZR down to very little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 NAM probably coming south/drier/lamer Buries Chicago to Lansing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Buries Chicago to Lansing. it's a fine hit but it was south/drier/lamer than the previous run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 LOT calling for up to .4" ice...updated product was sent out at the same time I made my post lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chances14 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Buries Chicago to Lansing. heavy snowfall line looks very similar to the jan 5 storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 P&C down for 1-3 & 4-8 I think DAB & 5 sounds right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 it's a fine hit but it was south/drier/lamer than the previous run But HIGHER ratios!!! Actually, I'm not a big ratios guy... Most storms hover around 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 NAM another tick cooler here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Based on Point and Click DTX is going with European model...the increased my Snow amnts...?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 But HIGHER ratios!!! Actually, I'm not a big ratios guy... Most storms hover around 10:1 we'll probably do a little better than 10:1 on average but not much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2014 Author Share Posted January 31, 2014 But HIGHER ratios!!! Actually, I'm not a big ratios guy... Most storms hover around 10:1 Not this season...But for this one yea. Probably slightly better as you head NW across the CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Pencil thin heavier band over LAF and upstream. Looks like we *could* be in it for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 weefsefsf.jpg zero room for error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 weefsefsf.jpg Close but no cigar here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 It's close, but I think verbatim, NAM would be 0.5"+ of ice here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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