January 21-22 maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!

[jamesnichols1989]

998mb low over inland NC, and offshore of VA Capes.

[Arnold214]

Absolutely possible if not likely

i think you're locked for 3-6".

[N. OF PIKE]

Everyone knows that. But some of us enjoy watching last minute trends in obs, radar, and *gasp* models to try to zero in on where the jackpots are likely to setup versus who gets relatively screwed. It's called nowcasting.

Honestly i watch a storm for 3 freaky days , i have little patience for anyone trying to discourage now casting discussion or make calm discussion into panic

This was a great event that trended nw at 48 hrs a great deal . The beauty of the banding imo is there will be have's /have nots and sharp cutoffs and awesome to nowcast and more so just watch unfold.

I wish more mets would comment on the now casting ..sorta like will has done a little -w some detail

[weathafella]

The band is climbing north now.

[Damage In Tolland]

i think you're locked for 3-6".

Certainly possible. i like how that hvy band though is already into S Toll County moving north. maybe it stops south of here

[wxsniss]

Non dare speak of changes or possibility of downward potential changes , it will be called panic , a debby downer, or other non critical thought statements or crafted in some negative tone, that being said we shall see lol.

Band centered hair north of PHL thru NYC and still expanding lifting a tad. Lets see how far NE good lift gets. Im bullish for se ct to ginxy-cold miser and very bearish for HFD

 

Already reports of 6-7" in Philly area / NW burbs into central NJ at 1pm... they will make 10-14" easy.

 

RAP brings some of that best lift into southern RI/southeast MA / Cape 23z-1z tnite, should be great reports from out there tonight

[Boston Bulldog]

That band looks good ,lets see how far north it gets.

[Zeus]

The band is climbing north now.

 

If that sucker can just nudge into Boston, it probably doesn't go anywhere for a while.

 

Fingers crossed.

[N. OF PIKE]

Everyone knows that. But some of us enjoy watching last minute trends in obs, radar, and *gasp* models to try to zero in on where the jackpots are likely to setup versus who gets relatively screwed. It's called nowcasting.

Honestly i watch a storm for 3 freaky days , i have little patience for anyone trying to discourage now casting discussion or make calm discussion into panic

This was a great event that trended nw at 48 hrs a great deal . The beauty of the banding imo is there will be have's /have nots and sharp cutoffs and awesome to nowcast and more so just watch unfold.

I wish more mets would comment on the now casting ..sorta like will has done a little -w some detail

Watching the band creep north and see how far ene it sets up, then it pivots and gets e mass /bos late for a bit

[Brian5671]

Bigger flakes here now, moderate snow 15/11

[N. OF PIKE]

Already reports of 6-7" in Philly area / NW burbs into central NJ at 1pm... they will make 10-14" easy.

RAP brings some of that best lift into southern RI/southeast MA / Cape 23z-1z tnite, should be great reports from out there tonight

Ya i was liking Philly area where band sets up for foot plus for a while, but my money right now is Long Island j pot. Very interested to see e ct in a hr or two

Looks like it makes a run for kev's weenie in a hr

[New Englander]

get that band up here.....

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Winds veering now at 200' per the smokestack. Low clouds streaming south. OE should commence soon.

[Arnold214]

Certainly possible. i like how that hvy band though is already into S Toll County moving north. maybe it stops south of here

it'll get to you. At least for a time.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

[New Englander]

i'm still in 8-10 but not confident with this.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

that map looks pretty good. im guessing they will probably keep that, maybe trim back a tad up north, but overall looks real good I think

[Damage In Tolland]

it'll get to you. At least for a time.

It's not far..Seems to be progressing north fairly quickly..let's pray the RAP has a clue..if it does..we rock old skool NWA/Public Enemy/Kool G Rap all night..if not we rap MC Lyte and Queen latifah

[Arnold214]

It's not far..Seems to be progressing north fairly quickly..let's pray the RAP has a clue..if it does..we rock old skool NWA/Public Enemy/Kool G Rap all night..if not we rap MC Lyte and Queen latifah

i could see you doing a naked run around tolland with a big boom box on your shoulders blasting Onyx's "Slam".

[Brian5671]

intense snow rates here, easily 1-2 an hr right now.

[Damage In Tolland]

i could see you doing a naked run around tolland with a big boom box on your shoulders blasting Onyx's "Slam".

LOL...LL Cool james..Radio..Biggger and deffer

[weathafella]

DC-NYC and in between all getting heavy snow now.

[40/70 Benchmark]

New map blows...reflects ne MA screwjob pretty well.

Page right out of 2010.

 

The Saturday night event may very well end up more  impressive here.....4.5" of cement vs powder.

[N. OF PIKE]

Nyc thread is like a nudist colony on bender

Get ready CT

I wonder if that band or some appendage of it goes ene over scooters house for a long duration pounding for s shore

[dendrite]

It's not far..Seems to be progressing north fairly quickly..let's pray the RAP has a clue..if it does..we rock old skool NWA/Public Enemy/Kool G Rap all night..if not we rap MC Lyte and Queen latifah

looks like you're good. Enjoy the heavies.

[N. OF PIKE]

Some spots in N-C NJ approaching 9 inches already

20 incoming for someone

[Mr. Windcredible!]

Honestly i watch a storm for 3 freaky days , i have little patience for anyone trying to discourage now casting discussion or make calm discussion into panic

This was a great event that trended nw at 48 hrs a great deal . The beauty of the banding imo is there will be have's /have nots and sharp cutoffs and awesome to nowcast and more so just watch unfold.

I wish more mets would comment on the now casting ..sorta like will has done a little -w some detail

 

nowcasting is honestly my favorite part of a storm…which is why probably 75% of my posts are usually obs posts as the storm is ongoing. I honestly don't feel there's much to add 4 days out from a storm where models will waffle a half dozen time before the storm even arrives. Unless there's big changes in a model run…there's no point in adding to the 20 posts commenting on the GFS run being 20 miles further N than the last run. 

 

In any case…looks like I have to admit I was wrong about decent banding making it W of coastal New London county. 

[SJonesWX]

looks like you're good. Enjoy the heavies.

while you are sniffing cirrus? lol 

i am not expecting much, even down here. the cold dry air has me worried

[dendrite]

Some spots in N-C NJ approaching 9 inches already

20 incoming for someone

this is like a feb 06 lite.

[Clinch Leatherwood]

looks like you're good. Enjoy the heavies.

 

It's pretty much right where the GFS/Euro had it....no changes.