dendrite Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 New SREFs came in decently warmer at the sfc and with the low level thicknesses...didn't really want to see that near go-time, but I won't sweat it yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 29, 2013 Author Share Posted December 29, 2013 New SREFs came in decently warmer at the sfc and with the low level thicknesses...didn't really want to see that near go-time, but I won't sweat it yet. booooooooo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 New SREFs came in decently warmer at the sfc and with the low level thicknesses...didn't really want to see that near go-time, but I won't sweat it yet. Temps are busting low here today at the surface, P&C had 35F as a high, We have been stuck at 32.5F for the last 1.5 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 BGM back over to rain...not the greatest sign either as the column should be cooling there. But it probably doesn't mean much yet. We'll see how the next 2-3 hours goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 New SREFs came in decently warmer at the sfc and with the low level thicknesses...didn't really want to see that near go-time, but I won't sweat it yet. There might only be a 15 mile wide swath that does well with it borderline on either side, literally where the best band sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Pretty robust precipitation E.NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Pretty robust precipitation E.NY Bright banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 18Z NAM is warmer, but we still pull an isothermal 0C snow thump after 22-23Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 There might only be a 15 mile wide swath that does well with it borderline on either side, literally where the best band sets up. I was speculating on that earlier...saying how it could be a narrow stripe of 6-8" and either side gets like 2-3" of slop. We'll have to see how it evolves over the next few hours...but the early signs aren't the greatest for widespread snows. The meat of the lift comes through around or just prior to 00z, so still some time yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 At 2k feet in the Catskills...Plattekill Ski Area, it snowing good. BGM back over to rain...not the greatest sign either as the column should be cooling there. But it probably doesn't mean much yet. We'll see how the next 2-3 hours goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Pretty pitiful for 12/29... What is this April 10th? lol I was speculating on that earlier...saying how it could be a narrow stripe of 6-8" and either side gets like 2-3" of slop. We'll have to see how it evolves over the next few hours...but the early signs aren't the greatest for widespread snows. The meat of the lift comes through around or just prior to 00z, so still some time yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 I was speculating on that earlier...saying how it could be a narrow stripe of 6-8" and either side gets like 2-3" of slop. We'll have to see how it evolves over the next few hours...but the early signs aren't the greatest for widespread snows. The meat of the lift comes through around 00z, so still some time yet. Yeah I don't have the best feeling for nrn ORH county, but I feel like Brian may still pull a pasty several inches or more. I think normally I would be bearish on this with temps that warm at 925mb, but with it being near 0C and what looks to be a great mid level look...I don't see how this is a deformation catpaw band for him. Now maybe it's 800' and above that do well....that is certainly possible...but I'm banking on the mid levels creating some 32F magic for him. It will be interesting to see if this works out. NAM has incredible lift by the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Pretty pitiful for 12/29... What is this April 10th? lol This radar looks like April 10th, lol...only a little blue and at the highest elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Also 950mb TWs are a couple cooler and advect SW into CNH during the event...another thing that helps even if it's borderline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Sitting at 32.7f. Maybe we'll start as snow? Radar is ugly for end of December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Just upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning. New GYX map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Just upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning. New GYX map:nice. In the pink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Hills to my SW becoming obscured with falling snow. 32.2F, precip should start shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kmcfarland99 Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Just upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning. New GYX map: That just keeps inching it way towards the Portland/Scarborough area. I may have a mess to clean up before heading out to work tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 That just keeps inching it way towards the Portland/Scarborough area. I may have a mess to clean up before heading out to work tomorrow morning. I'm loving it! Tomorrow starts week 2 of my vacation. Another system to track after this one. Couldn't have picked a better 2 weeks to be off work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Why are these so bullish big change from the last set http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20131229&RT=15&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=CEF&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=41.984674099176885&mLON=-71.78395562630271&mTYP=roadmap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Finally all wet snow here now and 32.7. It took this intense band to finally flip us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Box has dropped all advisories for MA and lowered snow probabilities to <1" anywhere but maybe a hilltop in Warwick or Ashburnham lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Box has dropped all advisories for MA and lowered snow probabilities to <1" anywhere but maybe a hilltop in Warwick or Ashburnham lol. BOX is ridiculous. About as consistent as the NAVGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Box has dropped all advisories for MA and lowered snow probabilities to <1" anywhere but maybe a hilltop in Warwick or Ashburnham lol.AIT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Box has dropped all advisories for MA and lowered snow probabilities to <1" anywhere but maybe a hilltop in Warwick or Ashburnham lol.The 2-5" advisories were weird and not many really expected that much in mass, anyway. Not sure why those were put out in the first place. Seems like if they stuck with their original forecast they would have been fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 BD went thru here about 2, temps near 32 (33-34 in Farmington) dropped to low twenties by 4. Lost about half the ice at my place (yay!) and 80% in Farmington, before the CF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 BOX is ridiculous. About as consistent as the NAVGEM. I didn't get why they had advisories in the first place. There wasn't much support for them....though admittedly there is bust potential in these types of storms. But usually you'd like to be confdent to issue those headlines I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 I didn't get why they had advisories in the first place. There wasn't much support for them....though admittedly there is bust potential in these types of storms. But usually you'd like to be confdent to issue those headlines I would think. They also had HWW on the cape for 30-40 G50mph. That's not even criteria. I don't understand why they sway from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 SPC MCD: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2118.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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