Brian5671 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 So the 15z SREF's are in and show a pretty dramatic shift to the southeast over previous runs. Ag3 chimes in and says it's actually not that bad but still worse than previous runs Some random poster with less than 100 posts chimes in and says that the SREF's are useless The 18z NAM comes out and also shifts dramatically southeast. NYC is now barely in the 0.25"+ contour. Snow88 will say that it's a good run because it gives Brooklyn 3-6" of snow. The 18z GFS will come out and will look just as bad if not worse than 12z. Snow88 will say it's a good run because it gives Brooklyn 2-4" of snow. SnoSki14 will chime in and say that he's been saying this would be suppressed for days The 18z GFS then shows a massive storm at day 7 again. 24"+ from DC to Boston. PB GFI will then try and begin a separate thread for this storm but Sickman will come and close it down in less than five minutes The 18z GEFS come in and it looks just as bad as the op if not worse Snow88 says that we still have time Forky chimes in and says you're all a bunch of idiots Now we wait and everyone says that the energy will finally be completely sampled so maybe something will change The 21z SREF's come out and they look even worse, NYC now barely in the 0.10"+. Doorman posts one of his hard to read OPC maps Someone posts the 500mb vorticy maps and the energy looks to be further east than what's modeled Forky reminds us that this one is over The 00z NAM begins to roll and it's ejecting the energy faster and more consolidated Everyone begins getting excited until they realize that it's not much better than 18z, but still shows a 3-6" event for NYC Forky reminds us that the PV is further southeast this run Some random poster chimes in asks how much for Trenton Earthlight then says that this run was worse BlueWave says that this run was another cave towards the globals The 4k NAM comes in and shows 40dbz echos anchored over NYC but absolutely zilch for CT People start throwing out 2/6/10 again as analog. Everyone says that the NAM is overdone The 00z GFS starts and people are still hoping and wishing Things do look better aloft. Someone says that it's baby steps Snow88 says that this is a good run because it gives Brooklyn 2-4" The day 7 storm now goes to Detroit Snow88 says that it needs to be watched The 00z GGEM comes in and it's way north. Everyone dismisses it as being an outlier, and rightly so DooshMagoosh asks how much for Trenton as he has to work on Monday Earthlight says that it's still holding back too much energy The 00z GFS comes in and it sends the storm to Florida Everyone says that it's probably way too far south The 00z GEFS come in and Snow88 says that it's way North. It brings the 0.25"+ contour over Brooklyn 1234ABC says that the Euro ensembles were actually north of the op The 00z GGEM ensemble mean is in and we have a huge spread The Euro comes out but nobody is awake for it to give the PBP Weenies are left in limbo as they wait for the slow E-Wall graphics to update The Euro looks identical to the 12z run Snow88 says that it was still a nice run The 03z SREF's come out and show a huge hit but very warm. The soundings point towards 6" of pure sleet in NYC The 06z NAM comes out and shows a huge hit for the whole area The board crashes... Forky gets back on and states that the entire storm is sleet on the NAM pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 pretty good Except he forgot: Yanksfan says 12z gfs looks much better through 24..edit oops it looked better initially but then ended up suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Unless the models dramatically shift back to a big snow event, this would be the third time in two weeks the models went to crap. Each threat a different model portrayed a HECS; the EURO, GFS, and now the Canadian. I'm absolutely shell shocked. For now on I will not believe any snowstorm scenario from any model unless we are within 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Except he forgot: Yanksfan says 12z gfs looks much better through 24..edit oops it looked better initially but then ended up suppressed. Clearly today's 12z GFS was not included. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Except he forgot: Yanksfan says 12z gfs looks much better through 24..edit oops it looked better initially but then ended up suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Clearly today's 12z GFS was not included. Lol replace 12 with 00..06..18 and gfs with nam euro or ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Nah... coming from a weather nut? ... Lol sorry, you squeezed your comment in while i was writing. I meant the climo and plant discussion. I mean, we all know weather nerds are normal compared to climo and plant nerds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Clearly today's 12z GFS was not included. And you forgot to add that you posted the WRONG sref precip total map and still did not delete it. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Seems rather bullish http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/StormTotalSnow/StormTotalSnowWebFcst.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 I've never in my life seen so many cry babies in one spot since I left Kindergarten. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 I've never in my life seen so many cry babies in one spot since I left Kindergarten. Jesus lighten up..we're just having fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 I've never in my life seen so many cry babies in one spot since I left Kindergarten. Says the guy who wanted to take his ball and go home lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Except he forgot: Yanksfan says 12z gfs looks much better through 24..edit oops it looked better initially but then ended up suppressed. Lol nice. All in good fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Unless the models dramatically shift back to a big snow event, this would be the third time in two weeks the models went to crap. Each threat a different model portrayed a HECS; the EURO, GFS, and now the Canadian. I'm absolutely shell shocked. For now on I will not believe any snowstorm scenario from any model unless we are within 48 hours. Boxing Day Blizzard should've showed a lot can happen in a small time frame. not all the time but models aren't perfect and mistakes can and will be made Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Seems rather bullish http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/StormTotalSnow/StormTotalSnowWebFcst.png Again seems a little early to put out a snowmap like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 14, 2014 Author Share Posted March 14, 2014 Boxing Day Blizzard should've showed a lot can happen in a small time frame. not all the time but models aren't perfect and mistakes can and will be made if you go back in this banter thread about 40 pages or so I posted the link to that thread to show how things can change - looks like I might have to dust that off and post it again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 14, 2014 Author Share Posted March 14, 2014 I've never in my life seen so many cry babies in one spot since I left Kindergarten. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Except he forgot: Yanksfan says 12z gfs looks much better through 24..edit oops it looked better initially but then ended up suppressed. I was thinking of doing the same thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 So the 15z SREF's are in and show a pretty dramatic shift to the southeast over previous runs. Ag3 chimes in and says it's actually not that bad but still worse than previous runs Some random poster with less than 100 posts chimes in and says that the SREF's are useless The 18z NAM comes out and also shifts dramatically southeast. NYC is now barely in the 0.25"+ contour. Snow88 will say that it's a good run because it gives Brooklyn 3-6" of snow. The 18z GFS will come out and will look just as bad if not worse than 12z. Snow88 will say it's a good run because it gives Brooklyn 2-4" of snow. SnoSki14 will chime in and say that he's been saying this would be suppressed for days The 18z GFS then shows a massive storm at day 7 again. 24"+ from DC to Boston. PB GFI will then try and begin a separate thread for this storm but Sickman will come and close it down in less than five minutes The 18z GEFS come in and it looks just as bad as the op if not worse Snow88 says that we still have time Forky chimes in and says you're all a bunch of idiots Now we wait and everyone says that the energy will finally be completely sampled so maybe something will change The 21z SREF's come out and they look even worse, NYC now barely in the 0.10"+. Doorman posts one of his hard to read OPC maps Someone posts the 500mb vorticy maps and the energy looks to be further east than what's modeled Forky reminds us that this one is over The 00z NAM begins to roll and it's ejecting the energy faster and more consolidated Everyone begins getting excited until they realize that it's not much better than 18z, but still shows a 3-6" event for NYC Forky reminds us that the PV is further southeast this run Some random poster chimes in asks how much for Trenton Earthlight then says that this run was worse BlueWave says that this run was another cave towards the globals The 4k NAM comes in and shows 40dbz echos anchored over NYC but absolutely zilch for CT People start throwing out 2/6/10 again as analog. Everyone says that the NAM is overdone The 00z GFS starts and people are still hoping and wishing Things do look better aloft. Someone says that it's baby steps Snow88 says that this is a good run because it gives Brooklyn 2-4" The day 7 storm now goes to Detroit Snow88 says that it needs to be watched The 00z GGEM comes in and it's way north. Everyone dismisses it as being an outlier, and rightly so DooshMagoosh asks how much for Trenton as he has to work on Monday Earthlight says that it's still holding back too much energy The 00z GFS comes in and it sends the storm to Florida Everyone says that it's probably way too far south The 00z GEFS come in and Snow88 says that it's way North. It brings the 0.25"+ contour over Brooklyn 1234ABC says that the Euro ensembles were actually north of the op The 00z GGEM ensemble mean is in and we have a huge spread The Euro comes out but nobody is awake for it to give the PBP Weenies are left in limbo as they wait for the slow E-Wall graphics to update The Euro looks identical to the 12z run Snow88 says that it was still a nice run The 03z SREF's come out and show a huge hit but very warm. The soundings point towards 6" of pure sleet in NYC The 06z NAM comes out and shows a huge hit for the whole area The board crashes... Forky gets back on and states that the entire storm is sleet on the NAM You're best work to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 5 post yanksfan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 5 post yanksfan Lol that's like your 10th call for that this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 14, 2014 Author Share Posted March 14, 2014 I think everyone should be 5 posted - that would really cut down on the banter/nonsense/one and two word posts and pissing contests Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 0-4 foe March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 14, 2014 Author Share Posted March 14, 2014 0-4 foe March if you guys want a snowstorm monday - store away your snowblowers drain the oil and gas out first - pack away all your shovels and winter clothes - that should increase our chances .......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 0-4 foe March Sounds like a new york mets 4 game set Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 if you guys want a snowstorm monday - store away your snowblowers drain the oil and gas out first - pack away all your shovels and winter clothes - that should increase our chances .......... I want my 60's and 70's! VW show season starts april 7th for dubs on defrost commence lake, CT. Have to detail my car before then and need NO SNOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Weirdest argument everI was just in an argument with a friend over shapes lol. If that's not weird I don't know what is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 if you guys want a snowstorm monday - store away your snowblowers drain the oil and gas out first - pack away all your shovels and winter clothes - that should increase our chances .......... When was the last time Mikehobbyst gassed up his snowblower? Maybe that would change things . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 5 post yanksfan hed commit suicide this is his life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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