Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 So 60 mph on CC, will be neat to see two 60 mph reports in a week, 1 NW 1 SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 So 60 mph on CC, will be neat to see two 60 mph reports in a week, 1 NW 1 SE Sometimes that happens on the same day...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 So 60 mph on CC, will be neat to see two 60 mph reports in a week, 1 NW 1 SEAnd typically SE winds cause far more tree damage due to tree lean and not the normal w direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 And typically SE winds cause far more tree damage due to tree lean and not the normal w direction See that here a lot with SSE winds here as well, Trees see a lot of WNW winds for the most part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 And typically SE winds cause far more tree damage due to tree lean and not the normal w directionWet ground too but really without leaves this is like today isolated at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Wet ground too but really without leaves this is like today isolated at best.Its usually the Spruce and White Pines that cause the damage this time of year. Those tall spruces love to come down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Dec 24 1994 , now that was a true screaming sou'easter, winds to 90 , region wide power issues. This is a strong wind storm but pretty standard fare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 BTV has a good discussion on the system... I see they are mentioning icing and I was wondering about that. A lot of the models have 2-m temps not getting above 34-35F for most of this area, and a good chunk of the heavy rain falls at 32-34F. If the track goes east of us, it keeps winds more N/NE and could help keep the low level cold in place. BTV also mentions power outages...channeling their inner Blizz. .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...AS OF 209 PM EST SUNDAY...INALLY SOME CONSENSUS IN ALL MAJORMODELS WITH THE 12Z GFS BEING THE LATECOMER TO THE PARTY FOR THISMID WEEK...HOLIDAY TRAVEL STORM.THE SHORT TERM DISCUSSION TOUCHES UPON ALOT OF THE EVOLVING SYSTEMBUT THE CURRENT WED FCST IS BASED ON A GFS/ECMWF/NAM TRACK OFNYC-ORH-CON. CNDN GEM IS MORE HUDSON/CHAMPLAIN VLY BUT ERRING TO ASLIGHTLY COLDER...MORE PROBLEMATIC SOLUTION.IN GENERAL...A SNOW/MIXED START WITH GRADUAL CHANGEOVER TOMIXED/RAIN IN VT AND CHMPL VLY NY WITH SOME POSSIBLE ACCUMULATINGSNOW AND A FLASH FREEZE MARCHING FROM WEST TO EAST AFT SFC LOWPASSAGE WED EVE/WED NGT. ADRNDKS/ST LWRNC VLY IN THE POTENTIALSWEET-SPOT FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL ALONG WITH SOME MIXING.QPF AMOUNTS OF 1-2 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE FA...LIGHTER SIDE ACRSST LWRNC VLY WHERE IT WILL STAY COLDEST. WPC WINTER WX GRAPHICPLACES 6-12 INCHES IN ADRNDKS/ST LWRNC VLY AND QUITE POSSIBLE. LLVLNNE JET ACRS ST LWRNV VLY WILL ADD PROBLEMS WITH CONSIDERABLEBLOWING SNOW.LLVL TEMP PROFILES AND SHARP GRADIENT LEADS TO CONCERNS OF ICING ININTERIOR VT AND CT RVR VLY DUE TO STG INVERSIONS. IN ADDITION...ANNE LLVL FLOW IN ST LWRNC VLY THAT MAY ADVECT LLVL COLD AIR TOWARDNRN CHAMPL VLY FOR A WINTRY MIX.AGAIN...LATE WED/WED NGT AS SFC LOW DEPARTS STG CAA AND WRAPARD PCPNCHANGING TO SNOW AND FALLING TMPS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A FLASHFREEZE SITUATION ON ROADS...TREES AND UTILITY LINES AND WITH NNWWINDS INCREASING TO 20-30KTS PSBLY BLOWING SNOW AND POWER OUTAGES.THANKSGIVING...BLUSTERY AND LEFTOVER MTN SNOW SHOWERS BUT COLDTHROUGHOUT THE DAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Dec 24 1994 , now that was a true screaming sou'easter, winds to 90 , region wide power issues. This is a strong wind storm but pretty standard fare. That storm was essentially sub-tropical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 That storm was essentially sub-tropical. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 24, 2013 Author Share Posted November 24, 2013 Dec 24 1994 , now that was a true screaming sou'easter, winds to 90 , region wide power issues. This is a strong wind storm but pretty standard fare. I remembered it as a noreaster with storm stalled to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 The original blizzard makes an appearance. Wonder if I can score some flakes being well west longitude wise... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 White Pines, Birch and Poplars are the weak link trees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 I remembered it as a noreaster with storm stalled to the south. It was..lol. That was a beast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 That guy Hanrahan has 44 for a high on Wednesday. What are we missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 I remembered it as a noreaster with storm stalled to the south. Yeah that was a beast storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 That storm had no snow anywhere either in New England..lol. But it was a powerhouse. I remember watching those bands of rain spiral in from CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 24, 2013 Author Share Posted November 24, 2013 That guy Hanrahan has 44 for a high on Wednesday. What are we missing? Euro Ens mean 2M max temp on Wednesday afternoon is 55F. Nice troll, though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 That storm had no snow anywhere either in New England..lol. But it was a powerhouse. I remember watching those bands of rain spiral in from CC. Look at the temps over the CONUS...that looks more like late April versus December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Euro Ens mean 2M max temp on Wednesday afternoon is near 60. Nice troll, though!Huh? That's what I was confused on. There's been 2m maps posted of 50's and 60's and talk of furnace ens members and a track up the Hudson River and then on air we see a cold rain and 44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 25, 2013 Author Share Posted November 25, 2013 Huh? That's what I was confused on. There's been 2m maps posted of 50's and 60's and talk of furnace ens members and a track up the Hudson River and then on air we see a cold rain and 44 I have 50 for HVN and 44 for BDL. If the front winds up over CT it's a chilly/wet day. Could certainly wind up near 60 but not going to go crazy about climo yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 I have 50 for HVN and 44 for BDL. If the front winds up over CT it's a chilly/wet day. Could certainly wind up near 60 but not going to go crazy about climo yet.Well that tells me you think it's still gonna trend east. For the record I hope it cuts way west for big winds , though I still think CC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 That storm was essentially sub-tropical. Could even argue that at one point it may have been a hurricane 250 miles south of Cape Cod but yep at landfall it was definitely Sub-Tropical with gusts to 100mph in some places so in no way is this possible storm going to be anything like that but it could be a nasty wind storm still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Look at the temps over the CONUS...that looks more like late April versus December. I heard NHC was reviewing that for tropical characteristics. It was warm core for a little while. Just a bizarre storm, but was a wind bag even in the interior of ern MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 BTV has a good discussion on the system... I see they are mentioning icing and I was wondering about that. A lot of the models have 2-m temps not getting above 34-35F for most of this area, and a good chunk of the heavy rain falls at 32-34F. If the track goes east of us, it keeps winds more N/NE and could help keep the low level cold in place. BTV also mentions power outages...channeling their inner Blizz. .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... AS OF 209 PM EST SUNDAY...INALLY SOME CONSENSUS IN ALL MAJOR MODELS WITH THE 12Z GFS BEING THE LATECOMER TO THE PARTY FOR THIS MID WEEK...HOLIDAY TRAVEL STORM. THE SHORT TERM DISCUSSION TOUCHES UPON ALOT OF THE EVOLVING SYSTEM BUT THE CURRENT WED FCST IS BASED ON A GFS/ECMWF/NAM TRACK OF NYC-ORH-CON. CNDN GEM IS MORE HUDSON/CHAMPLAIN VLY BUT ERRING TO A SLIGHTLY COLDER...MORE PROBLEMATIC SOLUTION. IN GENERAL...A SNOW/MIXED START WITH GRADUAL CHANGEOVER TO MIXED/RAIN IN VT AND CHMPL VLY NY WITH SOME POSSIBLE ACCUMULATING SNOW AND A FLASH FREEZE MARCHING FROM WEST TO EAST AFT SFC LOW PASSAGE WED EVE/WED NGT. ADRNDKS/ST LWRNC VLY IN THE POTENTIAL SWEET-SPOT FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL ALONG WITH SOME MIXING. QPF AMOUNTS OF 1-2 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE FA...LIGHTER SIDE ACRS ST LWRNC VLY WHERE IT WILL STAY COLDEST. WPC WINTER WX GRAPHIC PLACES 6-12 INCHES IN ADRNDKS/ST LWRNC VLY AND QUITE POSSIBLE. LLVL NNE JET ACRS ST LWRNV VLY WILL ADD PROBLEMS WITH CONSIDERABLE BLOWING SNOW. LLVL TEMP PROFILES AND SHARP GRADIENT LEADS TO CONCERNS OF ICING IN INTERIOR VT AND CT RVR VLY DUE TO STG INVERSIONS. IN ADDITION...A NNE LLVL FLOW IN ST LWRNC VLY THAT MAY ADVECT LLVL COLD AIR TOWARD NRN CHAMPL VLY FOR A WINTRY MIX. AGAIN...LATE WED/WED NGT AS SFC LOW DEPARTS STG CAA AND WRAPARD PCPN CHANGING TO SNOW AND FALLING TMPS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A FLASH FREEZE SITUATION ON ROADS...TREES AND UTILITY LINES AND WITH NNW WINDS INCREASING TO 20-30KTS PSBLY BLOWING SNOW AND POWER OUTAGES. THANKSGIVING...BLUSTERY AND LEFTOVER MTN SNOW SHOWERS BUT COLD THROUGHOUT THE DAY. I really hope i see a good frozen event up there, prob is im takin a dartmouth coach bus from bos to Lebanon w my friends , then his parents are pickin us up at 4pm. Roads nw of Lebanon could be "interesting" by 4-5pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Interesting comment from met in Pa thread wrt to northern stream disturbance being in an area that is notorious for poor sampling. I guess it means models may bounce from C.C to Montreal even at this stage. There is still a huge amount of uncertainty with this system, as expressed looking at the 18z GFS ensembles (below, which are typically under dispersive). The spread in primary low tracks range from Cape Cod, MA to Montreal, Canada. Moreover, the shortwave digging into the great lakes by 60-72 hours is originating from a large region of shear vorticity which is often very poorly modeled when the feature is strung out over a longwave ridge. Expect a few more substantial shifts before the models lock on to an optimal solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 I don't think we'll see much of a bounce. Track is close to be narrowed down. Maybe it goes from BDL to TAN or something, but I would be surprised at a big bounce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 That storm was essentially sub-tropical.reanalysis might change it to a tropical system which a lot of us have claimed for years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 25, 2013 Author Share Posted November 25, 2013 The RPM - which the weenies know and love - has all the precip out of here by Wednesday morning. Very fast arrival. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 FYI SE winds in 94,The original low passed along the south shore of Long Island, and made landfall near New York City on December 24.Subsequently, it moved over southeastern New York State Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.