Deck Pic Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 5-8" for places like Bethesda and north/west in the new TWC graphics on TV. What's making them increase snow totals so much? nobody cares about TWC and you shouldnt either unless you just started following weather 3 days ago and you are 12 years old Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 18z the 5H is overhead we may be able to squeeze out some sort of surprise/bonus with that cold pool http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=nam&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&cycle=18ℑ=nam%2F18%2Fnam_namer_024_500_vort_ht.gif maybe tho with that lead vort rounding the base you prob get the best lift just to its northwest which also lines up with the 850 low http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/nam/18/nam_namer_024_850_temp_ht.gif i'd be relatively shocked if i get any snow accum during the day tomorrow.. probably spitting crap or light rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Getting raked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmac Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 why do people care what TWC or accuweather forecasts....lol.....they dont know DC at all...their forecasts have no value....they are absolute garbage exactly... but it does beg the larger question of "if their forecasting is colloquially understoofd to be so poor, why do most people get their weather from them?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 One might call it a cowards forecast. you like 12? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravenmaniac Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Warning in Philly, not even advisory here. Wonder how much flack they got from the feds for that whole closing for drizzle thing on the 6th? Wonder if they are going overly conservative to avoid drawing the ire of the feds again? Mt Holly goes WWA on eastern shore and warnings around Philly. Usually they have solid coordination with Sterling, so it's quite likely that advisory is expanded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 One might call it a cowards forecast. what is the point in being deterministic? What they are saying is that they don't have the skill to make a precise forecast....it is actually courage and not cowardice....anyone who makes a detailed precise forecast is a complete fraud Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Getting raked. jealous.. but awesome. boo to sw va. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 the warning in the philly area would have a lot more basis than expanding things around here, arguably with considerable bust potential on the low end if that vv ball doesnt destroy them. tho given this can impact rush im guessing lwx will fire off advisories at least to 95 soon--unless they take road temps into strong consideration at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Linden cam is showing snow now it'll be at IAD before you know it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Getting raked. Great pics, enjoy it. I hope I get lucky and get that up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 One might call it a cowards forecast. what is the point in being deterministic? What they are saying is that they don't have the skill to make a precise forecast....it is actually courage and not cowardice....anyone who makes a detailed precise forecast is a complete fraud Ill make a forecast for tomorrow cwg style: It will be something between rain, snow, or nothing. Temps will be be between 25-45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Getting raked. Nice pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Ill make a forecast for tomorrow cwg style: It will be something between rain, snow, or nothing. Temps will be be between 25-45. huh?...they dont have that range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Light snow has started N/W of Winchester. 35 degrees. DP 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeedaSnowday Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Great pics, enjoy it. I hope I get lucky and get that up here. ditto.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 My forecast on TWC website has me ripping snow from 1am-3pm. I think the 5-8 comes from assuming it all will stick which is unlikely IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowchill Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Moderate toHeavy snow in RIC, started 20 min ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 what is the point in being deterministic? What they are saying is that they don't have the skill to make a precise forecast....it is actually courage and not cowardice....anyone who makes a detailed precise forecast is a complete fraud More likely they are an entertainment venue terrified of negative public opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 4p wet bulbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 if it can get here intact there is an absolute wall headed for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Not snowing heavily in Chantilly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 what is the point in being deterministic? What they are saying is that they don't have the skill to make a precise forecast....it is actually courage and not cowardice....anyone who makes a detailed precise forecast is a complete fraud Point well taken. A potential problem (with the public at large) would be if this system busts positive. One approach for the NWS would be to invite the public to check in every six hours for potential updates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Snowing heavily in Roanoke. Huge Dendrites. Roads completely snow covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Not snowing heavily in Chantilly Ok, so was that a typo or sarcasm?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 My forecast on TWC website has me ripping snow from 1am-3pm. I think the 5-8 comes from assuming it all will stick which is unlikely IMO. Thanks for the worthless post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 4p wet bulbs Untitled-19.gif 34 and 35 degree wet bulbs haven't stopped RIC from snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 if it can get here intact there is an absolute wall headed for DC Yea, I'm a little nervous/paranoid about the heavy rates in rnk and also along the va/nc border. HIgh res radar looks really good so far. Doesn't look like the shield to the N is getting robbed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 about to get an attack from the east and west! http://www.marylandwx.com/radar/lwx/flashklwxmetrobr.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 That band was crazy. Had purple showing up in it on GRAE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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