PhineasC Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Not anymore. Now they have less than an inch for most of Montgomery County and to the south/east. I'm not sure what caused them to scale it back. A WWA means there has to be 2-4" of snow, which the NWS doesn't think will happen. Yeah, they just changed it. Let's hope it is just another in a long line of LWX busts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 might be a hair warmer at the sfc around dc region.. 32 lines up basically along the BR at 12z.. not much change tho rates will dictate temps i would guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 might be a hair warmer at the sfc around dc region.. 32 lines up basically along the BR at 12z.. not much change tho Only real change is start times? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 keeps the heavy precip with the low offshore again... general .5"+ across the region.. not that exciting during the day anywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Deep Creek lake calling for 12-18".... I need to hurry up and retire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 still paints basically everyone in the subforum with 4-8 on the snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueapple Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 keeps the heavy precip with the low offshore again... general .5"+ across the region.. not that exciting during the day anywhere Not exciting as in nothing falling or rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Only real change is start times? yeah mostly. not sure any 6 hr period has the rates of last run. 6-12z definitely doesnt. low is a bit weaker/east.. ne md/de/s nj might catch some of it but sfc is mild either way unless you get into that vv ball which seems to stay just offshore based on the maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 still paints basically everyone in the subforum with 4-8 on the snow map I guess it doesn't believe its own text output Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 still paints basically everyone in the subforum with 4-8 on the snow map Divide it by 75% and lock it up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Are the NWS' forecast of less than 1/2 inch of snow tonight (eastern suburbs) and less than 1/2 in of snow tomorrow morning from an objective algorithm, or are they simply throwing out the model solutions and going with climatology/sun angle FTL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Not exciting as in nothing falling or rain? potomac and ne gets .1"+ from 12-18z. de/se pa/s nj gets .25"+ in that panel. 18-0z sucks for everyone unless maybe you're on a boat just offshore. not sure on precip type.. only have a few types of maps. i'd guess mix or rain or non accum snow just about everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 seems like 1-3" inside both beltways looks good and 2-4" w/elevation outside and a couple lolis of 6" in usual favored locations w/highest elevation and/or luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Divide it by 75% and lock it up! I think you mean multiply it .75 because dividing .75 will increase totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimmosk Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Divide it by 75% and lock it up! I don't think you're doing arithmetic right. x / 75% = x * 1.333 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 seems like 1-3" inside both beltways looks good and 2-4" w/elevation outside and a couple lolis of 6" in usual favored locations w/highest elevation and/or luck we're going to need a great band to get anywhere near 3 inside the beltway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 i hate the european model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 we're going to need a great band to get anywhere near 3 inside the beltway that's why they made range snow forecasting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skinsdomination09 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Divide it by 75% and lock it up! 5-11 inches it is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 i hate the european model doesn't really sound like it is that drier than NAM 12z, maybe by a .25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 that's why they made range snow forecasting 1" is my current go big goal imby. outside chance of higher but i couldn't go there yet so i'd probably go with like .25-1.5" inside the beltway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Divide it by 75% and lock it up! I don't think you're doing arithmetic right. x / 75% = x * 1.333 Math was never my strong suit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 we're going to need a great band to get anywhere near 3 inside the beltway Euro gives DC .37 of good snow with temps near 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Divide it by 75% and lock it up! 5-11 inches it is! In my dreams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 i hate the european model Good thing the GGEM is just as good as the Euro now that it has been upgraded. I have a sneaky suspicion that in a few years we will be praising the GGEM as the worlds best model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 the banding in NC and south central/sw VA is inspiring to this weenie http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Euro gives DC .37 of good snow with temps near 0 how does it break down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Math was never my strong suit as long as you get math right when there's a "$" in front of the numbers, you'll do fine in life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Euro gives my yard .37 between 0-12z with temps within a degree of freezing. I'm happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 how does it break down? SUN 12Z 24-MAR 1.0 -2.2 1015 64 10 0.00 553 541 SUN 18Z 24-MAR 6.0 -0.8 1009 47 49 0.00 550 543 MON 00Z 25-MAR 1.5 -4.6 1007 92 99 0.10 545 539 MON 06Z 25-MAR 0.8 -4.3 1003 95 91 0.13 541 538 MON 12Z 25-MAR 0.6 -4.5 1001 96 97 0.24 532 532 MON 18Z 25-MAR 2.8 -5.4 1000 83 97 0.14 528 528 TUE 00Z 26-MAR 1.6 -5.9 1004 96 97 0.06 530 527 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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