Qaanaaq

I know this should be on banter but: Anything is possible: I was 9, living in Marshall, VA for the Ash Wednesday Storm of 1962. ~ 24-30 inches of snow with tremendous drifts. We were walking over fences.https://glenallenweather.com/alink/01articles/greatestsnow.htm

Ground covered, starting to stick on asphalt drive; Just west of the 250 By-Pass Charlottesville

I really enjoy your analysis and it is clear that you have an understanding of the models, variables, their weaknesses and limitations. I 'do" science but not in this field. As a scientist I'd rather have it "served up cold" that does not include wishful thinking, otherwise, it's get's infected and influenced by an pre-ordained desire of an outcome and, frankly, not "science". I think you do a great job of reporting how you think it may go, while at the same time separating your desire to see 36 inches of snow and winds of 50 mph from the NE !! Keep it up !

Right On !

A long-time lurker here (and old timer)- thanks everyone !- growing up in VA I recall a number of times of rain to snow in the 60's and early 70's (hasn't happened all that much recently). Specifically, I recall a Nov 1968 12 inch rain to snow in Sperryville, VA and a February 1972 rain to snow event dropping significant snow (about 15 in) in the Warrenton to Washington, VA region- we had to stop at the "Esso" station in Gainesville and buy chains for our Ford while heading west from Arlington.

Gotcha. It seems that I read somewhere that drought/dry conditions can have an effect (albeit, minor) on atmospheric pressure- dryness driving the pressures up - I thought that was interesting and often wonder if minor rain or snow events might slowly lower them, thus breaking the drought. Cause and effect - chicken and the egg - anyway, cheers! Here's to the breaking of the snow drought !

It is not mundane to those it affects directly : if you live in a rural area reliant on groundwater, or you are a farmer, or your reservoir has stopped overflowing

Duly noted : abnormally dry - thanks

I am glad you started this thread; we are and have been in a serious drought - the last events might start alleviating things because drought begets drought and rain begets rain/moisture and, we hope, snow. It is a moderate drought - severe in some sections of Virginia: http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?Southeast