ravensrule Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 looks like accu is going west http://meteorologicalmusings.blogspot.com/2013/03/a-heads-up-from-accuweather.html?spref=tw Which in essence means we are getting a snowstorm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Hmm, Euro isn't as bad as I thought. I mean, it's no superstorm, but still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 So funny reading the notes from you all on here abou the Euro and then seeing DT's feed on facebook. I'm beginning to think folks here are so desperate that if DT promises snow, they are all about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 All the indices will still be in our favor in 5-7 days. I still don't buy the EURO not going up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 ensemble mean still goes up the coast tho it's moved toward having an OV low as well. decent event 95 and NW as is. edit: i guess it had the ov low last night too.. didnt look till now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 ensemble mean still goes up the coast tho it's moved toward having an OV low as well. decent event 95 and NW as is. edit: i guess it had the ov low last night too.. didnt look till now. yea, last nights euro looked just like the best case ohv gfs scenario from a few runs back. Still a zillion miles to go but I do take some comfort in the euro taking it back below us. The weenie side of me wants to believe the goal posts have been set by the euro....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Looking at the 12Z suite, it looks like the GFS is on its own with a strong primary driving fairly far north and very late re-development. Most of the other guidance shows re-development off of the mid-atlantic coast. Unfortunately for the DC crew, the mid-atlantic re-development is a little too far SE. We are still 5-6 days away, so there is plenty of time for more teasing and heartache (except for those that have already bailed ) MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 looks like accu is going west http://meteorologicalmusings.blogspot.com/2013/03/a-heads-up-from-accuweather.html?spref=tw Good news! Looking better for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Strange winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 You weenies are insane sun angle has already finished this storm: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/grad/solcalc/azel.html Solar Declination at #noquestration -4.95!!!! Solar Declation for next "storm" +2.95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 19, 2013 Author Share Posted March 19, 2013 Hmm, Euro isn't as bad as I thought. I mean, it's no superstorm, but still thats the problem. On march 26, we need a superstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 thats the problem. On march 26, we need a superstorm lol wouldn't 2"+ qualify as one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 lol wouldn't 2"+ qualify as one? More like 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 You weenies are insane sun angle has already finished this storm: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/grad/solcalc/azel.html Solar Declination at #noquestration -4.95!!!! Solar Declation for next "storm" +2.95. Flakes will be catching on fire as they fly through the sky. If it comes at night and sticks be sure to put on spf 15 in the am when you shovel, or just wait 20 minutes for it to burn off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 yea, last nights euro looked just like the best case ohv gfs scenario from a few runs back. Still a zillion miles to go but I do take some comfort in the euro taking it back below us. The weenie side of me wants to believe the goal posts have been set by the euro....lol Since the EURO has been right the past few "events" here... I am going to ride the EURO nice and tight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Re: 18z gfs. How this can cut west is beyond me but I bet it will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Re: 18z gfs. How this can cut west is beyond me but I bet it will. It did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 18z gfs just said block is strong and don't know what to do so I'll spit out all kinds of crazy lows. Love the first transfer. It's like giving birth to a baby. And then the second one is another offspring while the primary wobbles around. I'll take the euro but enjoy the gfs' attempts at figure out what to do with relatively slow flow underneath a nasty block and a slow rolling bowling ball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 18z gfs just said block is strong and don't know what to do so I'll spit out all kinds of crazy lows. Love the first transfer. It's like giving birth to a baby. And then the second one is another offspring while the primary wobbles around. I'll take the euro but enjoy the gfs' attempts at figure out what to do with relatively slow flow underneath a nasty block and a slow rolling bowling ball. The gfs is your drunk uncle during thanksgiving. What a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 The gfs is your drunk uncle during thanksgiving. What a mess. The gfs is the drunk me late tday night while my uncle snores, drools, and farts on the couch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 The gfs is the drunk me late tday night while my uncle snores, drools, and farts on the couch. Glad I'm staying up for the Euro at my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 You can go ahead and book this storm right now. I have a flight leaving for the Caribbean on 3/26 at 7:50 AM....Guaranteed to freeze my balls off and get stuck here when I should be on a warm beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 19, 2013 Author Share Posted March 19, 2013 usually the euro and euro control are close but the euro control still shows a 12z HECS like its ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 April Fools looks huge...but I think it could be anytime in the April 1-3 period..then I think the pattern relaxes for 1-3 days with 70s and maybe 80 and then we reload for 4-6-4/9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 April Fools looks huge...but I think it could be anytime in the April 1-3 period..then I think the pattern relaxes for 1-3 days with 70s and maybe 80 and then we reload for 4-6-4/9 I can't tell if your serious so I'll just assume you are and go all in well in advance. ALL IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 I can't tell if your serious so I'll just assume you are and go all in well in advance. ALL IN If he is serious, he has many more issues than you have . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 I can't tell if your serious so I'll just assume you are and go all in well in advance. ALL IN why not?....this has happened before...there will be tappable cold air and 4/5-4/9 had been a productive period for the far exburbs and mountains.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 why not?....this has happened before...there will be tappable cold air and 4/5-4/9 had been a productive period for the far exburbs and mountains.... I love you dearly but how the hell can you know 17 days in advance that there will be tappable cold air?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 why not?....this has happened before...there will be tappable cold air and 4/5-4/9 had been a productive period for the far exburbs and mountains.... What did you think of the superclipper/mauler feature on the euro @ 192-204? It's a nasty n stream vort that's a closed tennis ball as it approaches wva and passes perfectly underneath us. It's another unusually cold late march system. What a wacky month. Snow or no snow. It's not boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 I love you dearly but how the hell can you know 17 days in advance that there will be tappable cold air?. Euro d10 has sub-freezing lows in n GA and AL and teens down the apps. Looks like single digits near hudson bay. I'd tap that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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