CarlislePaWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Well, if one looks at the mosaic radar of the east I would think it's looking like the southern system is going to pass well east of our area with its influence. I thought we were supposed to come at least partially under the influence of the coastal storm? Looks like only the northern stream system is going to deliver precip to our area. I realize they are going to merge, but this definitely doesn't have the look of what I was expecting to see earlier. Also, someone in the phl forum posted an hrrr radar image for later today and it shows the coastal storm well east of the NJ coastline. Disco out of CTP says period of heavy snow possible between 4pm and 7pm, so maybe that's when we get most of our accums? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Yea Im confused so I will shut up lol, but the look and feel of it isnt good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Friend of mine told me that WTAJ's storm tracker is showing a band of snow between 4:00 - 7:00 for the central counties that showed some pretty dark bands within it. I'm guessing that is where the central counties pick up their snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Yea Im confused so I will shut up lol, but the look and feel of it isnt good. We still have our warning. Lets just see what plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 snow has picked up in intensity here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Snow started just a little bit ago. Was just hammering down quarter sized flakes there for a few minutes but has settled down for now. Admittedly I slept in a good bit, and I saw that radar and then saw CTP's snowmap before it just updated and was like heh.. it better be the storm of the century in the amount of time that band looks to spend over my head to get 3-4. The new map def looks like what is going to play out, the radar should slowly consolidate as the axis of the backedge slows and pivots and the northeastern areas should be fine. Looks like the southern part of my snowmap (esp in the far south central and probably Philly area) is going to bust high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Chris...earlier this morning you posted a forecast for tonight that called for 3 to 5 of snow. Where was that forecast for? I initially thought it was for you / Harrisburg, but that isn't what they are calling for. Did I miss something? http://i.wund.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?brand=iphone&query=40.27534472,-76.89713788 Mobile site, but it should load. It's set for KMDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 MagIs the phase later than what was predicted on the models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 http://i.wund.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?brand=iphone&query=40.27534472,-76.89713788 Mobile site, but it should load. It's set for KMDT. That's using wunderground's bestforecast, not the official NWS forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I think ur onto something pawatch huge gap in precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 5 of 11 GEFS members on the Ewall site show a significant snow event through the area for Wed night. That's the best signal we have seen so far I believe. Ice is still a concern Monday morning for NE areas of the region. For UNV, both the NAM and GFS print out >0.25 inches of rain in a 3 hour period with a temperature of 32.4 and 32.3 respectively Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I think ur onto something pawatch huge gap in precip. Actually I think the gap is closer than you think looking at the water vapour. http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecwv.html Edit: Also pressure is down to 990 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=16&parm=pmsl&underlay=1 Also looking at that water vapour it looks like towards the end it is moving straight north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I thought there was supposed to be a lull in precip between the morning pregame and the main event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Looking at radar thinking it bombed in time for ENY filling in there, but not so much east central pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Mag Is the phase later than what was predicted on the models? actually GFS is looking the best in terms of timing of phasing to me... not what I was expecting yesterday at all... when it does phase I imagine NWS is waiting to see how far west the precip shield expands before cancelling any warnings... Northeast PA should still see decent snowfall just a matter of how far west does... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 CTP backing off per the latest map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Warnings cancelled...getting very bright here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 ECM is still way out to sea with the VD threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Mag Is the phase later than what was predicted on the models? it just seems like the whole thing is ending up moving more quickly. The last completed HRRR just trucks the back edge right on through PA and doesn't really start setting up a backlash until far NE PA and beyond. I feel like CTP might need to take the rest of its warnings out, oh wait they just did haha. BGM might need to drop em to advisories for AVP area. Here's total snow for that last HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 Doesn't even look like NYC gets to 10" now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Will say that it is snowing pretty darn hard in this area of snow pushing through PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Will say that it is snowing pretty darn hard in this area of snow pushing through PA. yep same here...its really coming down out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 lol guess ill take the inch or two,and like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Holy sh1t this is awesome, a map showing real-time plowing in Boston. http://maps.cityofboston.gov/Publicsnowcop/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 boston forecast would love to see this for us one day This Afternoon Snow. High near 32. Breezy, with a east wind around 21 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Tonight Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 22. Windy, with a northeast wind 22 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 14 to 20 inches possible. Saturday Snow, mainly before 4pm. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 24. Windy, with a north wind 22 to 31 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 That's using wunderground's bestforecast, not the official NWS forecast. Damnit, why does it keep reverting yet show MDT info above the forecast? Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Holy sh1t this is awesome, a map showing real-time plowing in Boston. http://maps.cityofboston.gov/Publicsnowcop/ all i see is a big blank map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Well so much for the 1-3 inches I was looking so forward to, phase complete or not it is not happening. Hope I'm wrong but I'm not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 all i see is a big blank map? I don't think they're plowing yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 No, and this gets to exactly my point. You guys are trying too hard sometimes to be the emotions police when sometimes it's not warranted. The original post was "the gfs is a rinse and repeat of this storm. you have got to be kidding me" in a tone that was negative or implied that we're being screwed somehow, to which my response was basically "all is right with the world". I don't see how you guys are seeing that as anything other than jest? I really didn't say anything other than the truth, really. The models are all over the place. I don't take you as a whiner nor weenie. Really, my goal is to prevent this from being a spineless ***** fest like the other subforums. Which we've managed to do. I like everyone here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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