Atomixwx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 lol what a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'm guessing NYC still has a large bust potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 12z GFS does bring a low back up the coast again next wed/thurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Just wondering how much this phase is going to blowup. As 15714 said timing is huge. Joe good post! Just wanted to throw my 2 cents in here. Based off satellite, upper air / surface obs and radar everything appears to be going as planned. Those worrying about dramatic shifts and crazy temperature profiles, etc. should take a step away from the computer for a moment and realize three things: Central PA was never in the bulls eye for this storm, any snow we get is bonus. Radar shows precipitation starting to build in Central PA. While it's light, this is the first signal of the two storm combining. The real business doesn't get going until after 3:00pm today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 12z GFS is a rinse and repeat of this storm...you've got to be kidding me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'm guessing NYC still has a large bust potential? I think NYC will still get a foot of snow. I would guess more 10-14ish, but I could be wrong. The gradient of snow accumulations will be insane on the SW and W side of the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Anyone know why the SREF plume viewer has 2 models displayed twice, with different amounts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Well, for some, the early part of the winter has been nice. lol. Looks like we're back to normal around here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 And I hate to say it, because he's a nice kid, but Zack coming back? All of this is his fault* * if this turns out to be a colossal bust. even for our low expectations going in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Well, for some, the early part of the winter has been nice. lol. Looks like we're back to normal around here... ??? How can you say this before the storm is over ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Question I was watching the radar....it seems the radar has intensified....has this storm phased yet? http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/full_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 And I hate to say it, because he's a nice kid, but Zack coming back? All of this is his fault* * if this turns out to be a colossal bust. even for our low expectations going in Not getting a 2-4 storm isn't really a colossal bust. Now, if NYC gets shafted, that's a colossal bust with your choice of two sides of WTF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 ??? How can you say this before the storm is over ??? That had nothing to do with this storm. I know some of you guys like to smack down negativity but maybe you should save yourself the strain and take into thought that this post you're "smacking down" was in regards to the post about next week's storm being a "rinse and repeat of this storm". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Question I was watching the radar....it seems the radar has intensified....has this storm phased yet? http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/full_loop.php Not yet. The precipitation near JST is the leading edge of the energy that will phase. The coastal is deepening on its own very nicely. Down to 992mb just east of Norfolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 Not getting a 2-4 storm isn't really a colossal bust. Now, if NYC gets shafted, that's a colossal bust with your choice of two sides of WTF. Those who stuck with insane 16+ forecasts are probably going to feel that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Not yet. The precipitation near JST is the leading edge of the energy that will phase. The coastal is deepening on its own very nicely. Down to 992mb just east of Norfolk. Thanks!! You taught me something. Edit: this shows it better http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=16&parm=pmsl&underlay=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 That had nothing to do with this storm. I know some of you guys like to smack down negativity but maybe you should save yourself the strain and take into thought that this post you're "smacking down" was in regards to the post about next week's storm being a "rinse and repeat of this storm". Not really. Not a giant bomb for New England, just a bit south. Models are all over the place with it. But there's pretty good across-the-board agreement for the following storm. One other thing to all here....there's plenty of evidence that this winter is far from over. As HM posted in the other subforum, having some control over one's emotions and not freaking out is key to not looking like a douche. Remember, we're not six-year-olds being told the Barnie show has been cancelled at the local theater, we're supposed to be, you know, adults and stuff. To our credit, even our negative dudes are about 100 times better than a certain other subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Those who stuck with insane 16+ forecasts are probably going to feel that... Perfect example of not blowing up your expectations too high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Not yet. The precipitation near JST is the leading edge of the energy that will phase. The coastal is deepening on its own very nicely. Down to 992mb just east of Norfolk. http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=3p&inv=0&t=cur pressure falling about 2mb/hr over the past several hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Models are all over the place with it. One other thing to all here....there's plenty of evidence that this winter is far from over. As HM posted in the other subforum, having some control over one's emotions and not freaking out is key to not looking like a douche. Remember, we're not six-year-olds being told the Barnie show has been cancelled at the local theater, we're supposed to be, you know, adults and stuff. To our credit, even our negative dudes are about 100 times better than a certain other subforum. As they usually are with longer range storms. GFS saying it's going to be a repeat of this storm (when we don't even know how this storm is going to play out) means absolutely nothing, and is not a reason to say this winter is over, that it's back to normal, that it'll bust, or anything of the sort. There are a ton of people that throw temper tantrums when things don't go perfectly. it's ridiculous. If the weather plays that big of a role in your (not calling anyone out, just a general "you") life to where you're emotionally distraught over not getting snow, or wind, or whatever, perhaps you need to take a step back and reevaluate. You can't control it so don't stress about it. Enjoy what comes, forget what doesn't, and try to learn a bit along the way. But yes Jamie, CPA weenies > MA weenies > NYC weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Not really. Not a giant bomb for New England, just a bit south. Models are all over the place with it. But there's pretty good across-the-board agreement for the following storm. One other thing to all here....there's plenty of evidence that this winter is far from over. As HM posted in the other subforum, having some control over one's emotions and not freaking out is key to not looking like a douche. Remember, we're not six-year-olds being told the Barnie show has been cancelled at the local theater, we're supposed to be, you know, adults and stuff. To our credit, even our negative dudes are about 100 times better than a certain other subforum. No, and this gets to exactly my point. You guys are trying too hard sometimes to be the emotions police when sometimes it's not warranted. The original post was "the gfs is a rinse and repeat of this storm. you have got to be kidding me" in a tone that was negative or implied that we're being screwed somehow, to which my response was basically "all is right with the world". I don't see how you guys are seeing that as anything other than jest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 On that note - Monday still has the chance for a light ice accumulation area wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On that note - Monday still has the chance for a light ice accumulation area wide. MAG's been feeling this for a while, actually. Going to be an active two-three weeks, regardless what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 No, and this gets to exactly my point. You guys are trying too hard sometimes to be the emotions police when sometimes it's not warranted. The original post was "the gfs is a rinse and repeat of this storm. you have got to be kidding me" in a tone that was negative or implied that we're being screwed somehow, to which my response was basically "all is right with the world". I don't see how you guys are seeing that as anything other than jest? You never quoted the post you were referring to. As a standalone post, it comes across weenie-ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Maybe it's just my eyes (Bloodshot. Stayed up late. ugh) but the radar makes it seem as if Eastern PA could get screwed royally here. Phasing happening late? Yeah it's been a concern of mine too, but I'm only expecting 1-3 so maybe that is still on target? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 MAG's been feeling this for a while, actually. Going to be an active two-three weeks, regardless what happens. Chris...earlier this morning you posted a forecast for tonight that called for 3 to 5 of snow. Where was that forecast for? I initially thought it was for you / Harrisburg, but that isn't what they are calling for. Did I miss something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Wind gusts are starting to increase in NJ/NY/Mass... gusts starting to climb over 35 mph http://www.wxrisk.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/LAST.jpg DT's last call... cant remember if this was already posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Started snowing here. Were getting closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ill probably hear it for this but we are all thinking it....radar looks disastrous haha. I know it wasnt our storm...but heck we did have a warning. Tgif or this wouldve got me down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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