djr5001 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 18z GFS continues to have a nice hit for east central PA Ryan Maue just tweeted this image - https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BCiQfnCCQAA2zbQ.png:large Edit: yes failed to mention this is for middle of next week, not event tomorrow. sorry!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 CTP fwiw has taken out verbiage of freezing rain and sleet for my forecast. It's about time, Euro has had this pegged thermally for awhile now and the NAM today has finally cooled down to having pretty much all snow with whatever falls with the main event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 18z GFS continues to have a nice hit for east central PA Ryan Maue just tweeted this image - https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BCiQfnCCQAA2zbQ.png:large Ugh I got excited until I saw the timestamp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 18z GFS continues to have a nice hit for east central PA Ryan Maue just tweeted this image - https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BCiQfnCCQAA2zbQ.png:large That's midway through the Valentine's Day storm, not the next one. Note the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Ugh I got excited until I saw the timestamp. sorry I accidentally closed the tab before posting first attempt meant to clarify a nice hit for middle of next week after tomorrow's event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 sorry I accidentally closed the tab before posting first attempt meant to clarify a nice hit for middle of next week after tomorrow's event Yeah...it's not done yet at that time either. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Hoping for 2 to 5 tmrw...time will tell though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 MAG - any early thoughts on next week? Anyone - What did the 12z ECM have for said event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 MAG - any early thoughts on next week? Anyone - What did the 12z ECM have for said event? Last nights and todays Euro had the wave way suppressed and seemed like a really progressive solution. Not an event for anybody except for some rain on the Gulf coast basically. At this range that's nothing i'd be overly concerned about as I'd continue to watch that period for another storm as we will have another southern stream system coming out of the southwest in some fashion. Additionally I'd keep an eye on our system that cuts and perhaps sets up this late next week system in interior central PA cuz it has been looking like an icing threat on the front end like the last cutter we had. We'll handle these things more in earnest once we boot out the ridiculous storm at hand early this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 Aye...usually when the GFS is on its own, expect no storm...damn it. Thanks anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Mag what precip did euro give us for tmrws event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Mag what precip did euro give us for tmrws event. Euro was just shy of a half inch QPF for IPT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 solid 3 to 6 looking good here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 solid 3 to 6 looking good here? I have you pretty much on the 5 inch line with my map on the previous page, so yea I'd say so. That's what most models generally suggest for you. You could def do better if you hang in the backlash of the storm longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 CTP moving more precip west: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hahaha perfect. Comedy central has the "Storm of the Century" episode of It's Always Sunny on right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hahaha perfect. Comedy central has the "Storm of the Century" episode of It's Always Sunny on right now. I wish Sunny didn't suck now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I wish Sunny didn't suck now. I dunno...CEO Frank was pretty awesome. I just love how he transfered Hahaha perfect. Comedy central has the "Storm of the Century" episode of It's Always Sunny on right now. Wmsptwx saw the cheese section. He went nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 NAM is great at IPT - .74 all snow through Sat 7 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Wow, LNS .95, about .7 of that or so snow. MDT .64, about .45 or so snow. UNV .42, think all of that is snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 They might extend the Winter Storm Warnings if this keeps up. PHL btw gets crushinated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 wow this thing is trending great later in game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Too bad it's the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Too bad it's the NAM. If the Euro supports it then that's fantastic, because the Euro/NAM combo is often a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 Too bad it's the NAM. This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Too bad it's the NAM. The NAM has been decent with this system so far, hasn't it? I mean, once it trended away from the "lulz" snow predictions for NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 If the Euro supports it then that's fantastic, because the Euro/NAM combo is often a lock.The NAM continually overestimates qpf, and isn't it really poor at handling phases? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 But it also trended a tad west, which is good for us. Nam always has high QPF....but still a good run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Srefs match it....headed the right way when we need it to. And were in the Nams range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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