JamieOber Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 My surprise snowstorm sense is tingling. Nice. What do you feel is triggering it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Ditto! Ditto 3 Looks like we could get some decent wrap around from this storm. Pretty awesome!! BOOM http://hp6.wright-weather.com/wrf_nmmeast-radar-loop_1hour.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Lol newest complaint is no blizzard warning for.nyc...hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Some of the new SREF plumes give York up to 10" of snow. The mean is 3" right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 Lol newest complaint is no blizzard warning for.nyc...hahaha Lol will they just take their 9-12+ and shut up...I will gladly trade with them otherwise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Some of the new SREF plumes give York up to 10" of snow. The mean is 3" right now. no chit? then probably be a sharp cut off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 no chit? then probably be a sharp cut off? Mean snow for HBG is 4" as is the same for LNS. Millersville going 1" - 4" so that's a good call. Storm is really starting to get it's act together so we shall see what happens this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Some of the new SREF plumes give York up to 10" of snow. The mean is 3" right now. hmm....not bad here either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Mean snow for HBG is 4" as is the same for LNS. Millersville going 1" - 4" so that's a good call. Storm is really starting to get it's act together so we shall see what happens this evening. interesting. Thanks for the info Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 **12z EURO** Snowfall / precipitation output shows over 6" of snow for Philly/Lebanon/Schurlkill counties. Philly approaches 10". EDIT: For the first time this year a winter storm has my interest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Some of the new SREF plumes give York up to 10" of snow. The mean is 3" right now. I saw that too, although I was trying to avoid feeding the weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 If you look at the GOM, it's pumping moisture. That's a plus. IIRC every step the radar has outperformed the model expectancy. That said, this is the type of system that will absolutely screw someone while 20 miles east/west they get plowable snows. Especially true in those deform bands along the coast - what a challenging forecast for the mets. Don't envy them. As always, if I get 2" snow I'm fairly content. If I get 4"+ I'm extremely happy. If I get 8"+ I'm beyond thrilled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Upgraded us to a warning now. http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=PAZ046&warncounty=PAC081&firewxzone=PAZ046&local_place1=&product1=Winter+Storm+Warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 If you look at the GOM, it's pumping moisture. That's a plus. IIRC every step the radar has outperformed the model expectancy. That said, this is the type of system that will absolutely screw someone while 20 miles east/west they get plowable snows. Especially true in those deform bands along the coast - what a challenging forecast for the mets. Don't envy them. As always, if I get 2" snow I'm fairly content. If I get 4"+ I'm extremely happy. If I get 8"+ I'm beyond thrilled. Yeah this isn't "our" storm, so a 2-4" here (which the SREFs/models seem to indicate) would be great. More excited to watch the NYC-BOS corridor get destroyed, they've had a pretty crappy couple of winters, worse than here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Be interested to see off more wrap around gets in on tonight 0z run like srefs show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 http://www.erh.noaa.gov/pbz/wcm/WindAnomaliesEastCoastStorms.pdf this is a must read for those who have never seen it... http://eyewall.met.psu.edu/ensembles/index.html unfortunately this site does not get fully updated anymore... I used to use it all the time to look up PWAT, wind, and pressure anomalies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Be interested to see off more wrap around gets in on tonight 0z run like srefs show Looking at radar, I'd be hard-pressed to say it doesn't. Wouldn't you? It's quite impressive already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Looking at radar, I'd be hard-pressed to say it doesn't. Wouldn't you? It's quite impressive already. http://hp6.wright-weather.com/wrf_nmmeast-radar-loop_1hour.gif Mass traffic cams. http://www1.eot.state.ma.us/ Edit: could be fun watching Sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 http://hp6.wright-weather.com/wrf_nmmeast-radar-loop_1hour.gif Mass traffic cams. http://www1.eot.state.ma.us/ Edit: could be fun watching Sat. any good quality cams like the penn state cams in that area?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Allentown's in a Winter Storm Warning for 6-12. Edit: NAM gives MDT 2-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAM hi res weenie map... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GFS still not on board for the historic stuff in NE nor anything much down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Gfs wetter in these parts than 12z....odd looking though...not sure Im buying what its selling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GFS still not on board for the historic stuff in NE nor anything much down here. It's been behind the eight-ball the whole system, it seems, trying to play catch up each run. It's more like the Euro than the 12z run for sure. Odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Screw going to Boston, let's jump on Keystone tomorrow for NYC. Hot damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Just driving 81S around Carlisle when driving in the other direction was a line 12 deep of power company trucks headed north. Yeah it's on up that way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 My first official take on this system: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 My first official take on this system: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=88180'>Slide1.gif Looks like a pretty solid map Mag. How much do you think wrap around is going to effect us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 My first official take on this system: Slide1.gif Pretty solid and mirrors my thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 CTP fwiw has taken out verbiage of freezing rain and sleet for my forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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