free_man Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 All of this bickering for a lousy snow flurry. Can we go back to arguing temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Highly relevant to white xmas prospects in sne. Tell me more if Whiteface is going to get 16" vs 22". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Tell me more if Whiteface is going to get 16" vs 22". Send Kev up to measure...make it 30". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Nothing says Christmas like plants that are barely dead and winter moths flying around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Tell me more if Whiteface is going to get 16" vs 22". Snow... In the mountains!? It's a Christmas miracle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Euro getting closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 the same block that's giving you days and days of snow? not adding much value lately, you need to step up your game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2012 Author Share Posted December 18, 2012 not adding much value lately, you need to step up your game. Lately? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Euro still meh on snow for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 It's a little better, but verbatim, it needs to be more south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Euro still meh on snow for SNE. the ULL looks weaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 If we do get enough snow for even a coating would it at least be cold enough to hold on to it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 About 2/3rds of the GFS ensembles look pretty good for snow with the ULL in SNE. If other guidance can keep ticking south, then perhaps we have a shot. I'd think an equally low probability shot for snow could come closer to late Christmas Eve or Christmas morning. Some models have a shortwave approaching from the west that could produce a light snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 I am certain this must have been covered but just in case ... It may not be ideal but the 00z, and continuing on this 12z Euro run, both suggest wrap around snow chances on Saturday - something similar was suggested on Euro runs 2 days ago, too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Its a pretty safe bet when no storm is progged in the area at day 6....as far as ULL queefs, and inverted trough nonsense, I'd bet against that on day 1, never mind day 6. A white xmas is unlikely, not impossible...all anyone said. you should waited 5 mins lol, my post was directed at those who said 0 chance. I am hoping for a covering, thinking it will bring cheer to all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 About 2/3rds of the GFS ensembles look pretty good for snow with the ULL in SNE. If other guidance can keep ticking south, then perhaps we have a shot. I'd think an equally low probability shot for snow could come closer to late Christmas Eve or Christmas morning. Some models have a shortwave approaching from the west that could produce a light snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 About 2/3rds of the GFS ensembles look pretty good for snow with the ULL in SNE. If other guidance can keep ticking south, then perhaps we have a shot. I'd think an equally low probability shot for snow could come closer to late Christmas Eve or Christmas morning. Some models have a shortwave approaching from the west that could produce a light snow event. Yeah euro has it too. Even yesterday the GFS op showed a weak feature IIRC. I'd rather pin my odds on that, but it sort of gets grinded in NW flow. Still..even a weak weenie WAA band in the mid levels would be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Send Kev up to measure...make it 30". LOL, this made me laugh. Nothing says Christmas like plants that are barely dead and winter moths flying around. Winter moths and snow globes are as close as I've gotten to white stuff falling from the sky these last few weeks. Impressive pattern change. From dry and mild, to wet and mild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Yeah euro has it too. Even yesterday the GFS op showed a weak feature IIRC. I'd rather pin my odds on that, but it sort of gets grinded in NW flow. Still..even a weak weenie WAA band in the mid levels would be great. I just posted the chart showing that nicely, ...but as usual, I have this odd proclivity of having my posts end up being the last one on the previous page and they are routinely missed and/or ignored that way - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 LOL, this made me laugh. Winter moths and snow globes are as close as I've gotten to white stuff falling from the sky these last few weeks. Impressive pattern change. From dry and mild, to wet and mild. I know you are just being real but I have to ask you a question. Does being a Debbie all the time, whether it's lamenting the failure of ski areas or consistently reminding us that the pattern has sucked actually make you happy? I know you punted all of December, if it snows and gets cold will you be miserable? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 I just posted the chart showing that nicely, ...but as usual, I have this odd proclivity of having my posts end up being the last one on the previous page and they are routinely missed and/or ignored that way - I saw it. Good stuff. The s/w we were talking about was right behind this though, coming from the nrn Plains, but it gets pulverized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 You're beginning to have some fun here, nice...lol. BTW, he (It's always sunny) just joined WSI and hopefully will be getting into forecasting soon. He's a good guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 You're beginning to have some fun here, nice...lol. BTW, he (It's always sunny) just joined WSI and hopefully will be getting into my draws soon. He's a good guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Ellen Ferrara deleted her account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Haha thanks Scott. I'll most likely be a reg on this board now that I don't have to worry about school anymore. Just one more grad class in the spring and that's all she wrote. Gonna miss you here the next couple months (so I've been told at least). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 I saw it. Good stuff. The s/w we were talking about was right behind this though, coming from the nrn Plains, but it gets pulverized. it almost looks like we don't really warm sector there - there's a clear triple point suggestion on the barographic evolution of the thing that argue the warm sector passes S. Also, one thing that all runs are doing that is fascinating is they rocket the dynamics across the country in 48 to 60 hours, then train wreck it over NE on a dime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Haha thanks Scott. I'll most likely be a reg on this board now that I don't have to worry about school anymore. Just one more grad class in the spring and that's all she wrote. Gonna miss you here the next couple months (so I've been told at least). Back Jan 5th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 euro post xmas just looks like a repeat of the other day with ice in the same zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2012 Author Share Posted December 18, 2012 Scooter taking 3 months off from work? Wow. Must be loaded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 it almost looks like we don't really warm sector there - there's a clear triple point suggestion on the barographic evolution of the thing that argue the warm sector passes S. Also, one thing that all runs are doing that is fascinating is they rocket the dynamics across the country in 48 to 60 hours, then train wreck it over NE on a dime. It's almost an erly gale, but one that may bring in warmer air from an unusual direction because it's so wrapped up? Then, CAA from the sw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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