Ian Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 12 is almost here. Tornado time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 http://www.nynjpawea...s-torcon-index/ http://www.weather.c...is-torcon-17193 So it's pretty subjective and is pulling numbers out of his nether region. He's pretty good so they are probably fairly well correlated. I think Ian and Mark should start the MIANCON ranking system. with a Meh and the low end of the scale and a holy cow we need to chase on the high end. I'm not sure what the middle numbers would be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Will be interesting to see what kind of winds come with the mod showers moving through nova. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Usually the SREFs are pretty good at nailing the severe threat in conjunction with SPC forecasts. It looks a little borderline for DC, but perhaps the LLJ is getting respect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Sitting at my daughters school volunteering. Have been told it has gotten nasty out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 pouring in merrifield/fairfax. not much wind as of yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Just some heavy rain with that second warned storm here. Anxious to go home and look at my gauge. Quite a bit of rain has fallen today. Hope my sump pump is working Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Usually the SREFs are pretty good at nailing the severe threat in conjunction with SPC forecasts. It looks a little borderline for DC, but perhaps the LLJ is getting respect. The lack of sun may be a problem though the low level winds are really whipping at least in mby. The strength of the low level jet should lead to some strong winds being transported to the surface with the stronger cells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 So it's pretty subjective and is pulling numbers out of his nether region. He's pretty good so they are probably fairly well correlated. I think Ian and Mark should start the MIANCON ranking system. with a Meh and the low end of the scale and a holy cow we need to chase on the high end. I'm not sure what the middle numbers would be. Meh time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Meh time? lol, too early for that yet though all the cloudiness isn't making it a clear cut case but the winds are already impressive without any storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Sun is coming out here maybe that will help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Sun is coming out here maybe that will help. are you at home? Its dumping in harrisburg! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 are you at home? Its dumping in harrisburg! Yup but might go chasing soon. New watch up now for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Couple of 35mph pulses (estimated) came through with the mod rain. Plenty of leaf debris in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Fun fact: IAD has yet to crack 1" of precip on the month. Hopefully they can double or triple today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Large mod risk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Um ok lol.. surprisingly far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Water stacking up here on the western shore...high tide two hours ago and has risen substantially since...piers being overtopped by waves. Windy, not much rain yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 woohoo.. us >nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Ok just got home and would like to find out what kind of winds we had up here. I was at my girls school but upon getting home my neighbors potted plants were tossed over and one of my mini flag poles was almost ripped out of the ground. My garden is close to being flattened and it looks like I have round two coming in as I just got an alert for a new warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 That is one large mod risk... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 I'm on my 4th STwarning of the day and have seen only light winds, no thunder, no lighting. rainfall now up 1.97". Trees down east of Winchester, multiple reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Winds gusting to 30 mph at home in Severna Park. In Millersville, I saw a old lady sitting in the hallway and when I asked her why she was sitting in a busy hallway she said that she heard on the radio that a Tornado Warning was issued. I told her it was a tornado watch and she was fine but to keep listening to the radio for a tornado warning, with lots of beeps and tones. She looked relieved as all could be and hugged me and thanked me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Down to 59 in garret co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Cell in E VA has got rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 This first batch kinda sucks. The next one looks better tho not sure how much the front will push east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Huzzah http://kamala.cod.edu/SPC/latest.wous40.KWNS.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 FFW Frederick/Washington/Carroll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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