Predict the first widespread snow and/or ice event for the southeast

[tnweathernut]

Post your guesses here as to when you think the first widespread snow/ice event will occur for us here in the southeast. Be as specific or as vague as you like in your prediction. Just thought this would be fun. Besides, what else do we have to do while we wait on the pattern to flip? I will go first.

December 10-12th. General 3-6 inch snow event from north Alabama/Georgia, southeast Tennessee and into North Carolina. Will give DCA a few flurries before scooting out to sea. haha

[tom23]

December 12-16, heavy snowstorm hits the SE (N. AL/N. GA/W.SC/W.NC/E.TN) with about 12-15 inches of snow. That would paralyze us for a month lol

[WidreMann]

December 18th....2012 .

[burgertime]

Dec. 27th - 29th 2 -4 inches.

[packbacker]

Jan 11, 2012 - repeat of Jan. 2002 storm!

[POWERSTROKE]

December 5-6th with 6-8 inches of snow

[DopplerWx]

December 31st. New Years Eve storm. sweet spot in the foothills of NC with 6-8" while the eastern carolinas get 2-4".

[Organizing Low]

ask katodog

[dsaur]

From dusk Dec. 29 'til mid day of the 30'th, if Ga. and Ala. are involved. Auburn/Macon line northward. .

[triadwx]

Sometime in December between the 6th and the 9th. I think Western Carolina will see it's first widespread snow during Thanksgiving week.

[Tacoma]

Dec. 17, N. Ga. N. Al. all of E. Tenn. and W. North and South Carolina major snow storm. Will snow for 2 days with 5 to 8 inches in the N. Ga and Ala. area with E. Tenn and the Western Carolinas receiving from 10 to 15 inches. and then again on New Years Eve and day.

[FallsLake]

For a wide-area event three of more states: *Climatology would say late January is our coldest averages. Most say this will be a front loaded winter, so I'll say January 3-5 will be the first major winter storm. I do think there could be some smaller winter events in December. Northern NC saw a couple of inches of snow in early December last year and I don't see why something like that can't happen again (but it would not be wide-spread).

[Amos83]

Once/if we get the patter to flip in our favor towad the end of the month I think the first widespread snow will be around Dec. 2nd +/- 2 days. When I say widespread snow I mean a general 2" or more.

[CAD_Wedge_NC]

Dec 16th and 17th first "winter storm warning" for NC (non-mountain counties)

[valkhorn]

In for a penny, in for a pound. If I'm going to be wrong, I might as well be very wrong.

South of the TN border, I'm going with Jan 15th through 25th. If at all. For the TN border north, I'm going with Dec. 15th. The latter should include areas like Nashville and Knoxville.

[tnweathernut]

I'd like to make this an annual thing. Something fun to get us from latter October and early November to the first snow of the season. Thanks for all the guesses so far. Now to make it a little more interesting................. I am going to provide a 20.00 gift card of some sort to the winner (I will give a few options to the winner after the contest). If two or more people have the same date right, the winner will be determined by the participant with the closest specifics. If that still won't decide it, yours truly will use the tried and true method (picking a number between 1 and 50 and the closest wins)

For those who have already given guesses in jest (i.e. Widre) feel free to change your guess at this point. The acceptable time ranges for guesses are from November 15th, 2011 to March15th, 2012.

ONLY those who are from, or are regular visitors/posters in the southeast forum will be eligible. If anyone has questions, feel free to let me know.

Oh and one more thing.........this thread may be so buried by the time to crown the winner, feel free to help me out by letting me know if your guess was right. haha

[Isopycnic]

December 9th;

[buckeyefan1]

December 19th

EDIT: The 17th was taken...lol

[BIG FROSTY]

Nov 29- 30

[Tyler Penland]

December 18th....2012 .

Oh come on! Give the Mayans some credit! December 21, 2012: Massive world-ending snowstorm.

But on a more serious note:

December 15 general 2-4" from a B'ham-ATL line north with more in the mountains.

[FallsLake]

How about a few rules:

1) Has to effect three or more states in the southeast. ---Not starting in NC and running up the coast.

2) Has to affect (at least some) areas below 2000 feet in each state. ---Sorry mountain people but you guys get snow with almost ever system starting in Dec.

3) There has to be a general consensus that this is a major event. ---Maybe winter storm warnings in the three or more states, below 2000 feet.

.

What do you guys think?

[WidreMann]

Everyone's just posting mid-December for their area. This thread is garbage.

[Marion_NC_WX]

Showed this thread to my father and he immediately said Dec 5th, 2-4 inches here along the escarpment...let's see if his gut feeling is correct.

[burgertime]

Everyone's just posting mid-December for their area. This thread is garbage.

Ok...ok....I'm guessing Dec. - Feb. into 2012 1-2 inches.

[chapelhillwx]

Everyone's just posting mid-December for their area. This thread is garbage.

All the steam you blow off that stems from your resentment of various perceived slights must melt snow as it falls on your house. That would certainly explain the 3" you got during the Christmas storm.

[tnweathernut]

Everyone's just posting mid-December for their area. This thread is garbage.

I agree, some peoples posts are garbage, but in a strange way, I still like your imput anyway.

[tom23]

Dec. 17, N. Ga. N. Al. all of E. Tenn. and W. North and South Carolina major snow storm. Will snow for 2 days with 5 to 8 inches in the N. Ga and Ala. area with E. Tenn and the Western Carolinas receiving from 10 to 15 inches. and then again on New Years Eve and day.

I like the thinking!

[BullCityWx]

January 21st: along and north of 85 in NC/SC/GA, 2-3" changing to sleet or freezing rain.

[Cold Rain]

The first widespread Winter event of the SE will be from a southern tracking SW, spawning a surface low over northern MS. HP will be wedging down from east of the Apps. The surface low will track East, weaken, and transfer energy to a coastal, just off the northern SC coast. Light snow will break out in northern MS, AL, and most of TN, eventually extending into northern GA (north of Atlanta), where more of a wintry mix will be seen. It should be mainly snow or snow/sleet in the western NC Piedmont, with the Foothills and mountains perhaps in the snow jackpot area, picking up between 6-10". The upstate of SC north of GSP and Columbia will see a snow, sleet, zr combo, but central sections of the area as well as the central part of NC might see a relative min in precip (wintry mix) as the coastal takes over. Eastern NC might see a short period of IP/ZR, but the p-type will be predominately rain. All in all, this should prompt WSWs and WWAs across many areas and will be a nice early winter event. The 19th/20th of December seems the most likely time for this to occur. A few areas may pick up some minor winter activity before this time period, but this should be the first major event of the season. And it won't be the last.

[WidreMann]

All the steam you blow off that stems from your resentment of various perceived slights must melt snow as it falls on your house. That would certainly explain the 3" you got during the Christmas storm.

The trees are too warm or something.