Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 :lol: Dead serious..it is look for yoself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 im with you on this one! Heavy Heavy damage! congrats Nam looks like 12-24 for all of interior SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I can't believe I beat TT to a post. lol This looks great for most, I think. No bitching about qpf today. What is TT?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Can you explain this for the noobs. lots of wind. basically just one model's take on the low level wind field and what speeds are available aloft for transport downward. that's for CHH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Wow, the NAM is tucked in close @ 30h. Yeah, that solution gives Pete 18" + lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 man folks with some good elevation are going to get something special. that region from NW Jersey NE through NW CT into W/C MA could really get hammered too. 12-20" for pete's job site at 2k, lock it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 NAM has some insane VVs near NYC. They may flip because of that! Wow. This run destroys NW NJ, NE PA, up into western and nrn CT and GC through Will and Socks. Crushes them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 2-4"/hr rates in that band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 It's not that toasty. At 00z Logan could be rain while Jerry is S+..lol. If it's not done coming west. I think if it were a month from now you'd be right, I think in this case that low level warm air is going to get inland some..back to at least I95 unless the winds manage to run more north. Ideal track up here, Looks like we will be in the deformation band... Yes, looks great inland and in the hills. I think the NAM is way overdone on QPF again, just like it cut back at the last minute yesterday (18z). But that's par for the NAM course. Great storm, but less interesting to me by far in interior SE MA/brockton etc and IMO Boston if the NAM is to be believed. Instead it's a great storm for Will, Kev (providing no more NW movement) and all of the ski areas in the southern 1/2. Great base layer FTW. If you look at the 1000-850mb CT's...they push all the way back to I95/RI at the height on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 wow.. this thing is juicy.. just wow.. is all I can say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 wow.. this thing is juicy.. just wow.. is all I can say. If I had a nickle for every time that was said after a NAM run... But seriously, yeah it will be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 If it's not done coming west. I think if it were a month from now you'd be right, I think in this case that low level warm air is going to get inland some..back to at least I95 unless the winds manage to run more north. Yes, looks great inland and in the hills. I think the NAM is way overdone on QPF again, just like it cut back at the last minute yesterday (18z). But that's par for the NAM course. Great storm, but less interesting to me by far in interior SE MA/brockton etc and IMO Boston if the NAM is to be believed. Instead it's a great storm for Will, Kev (providing no more NW movement) and all of the ski areas in the southern 1/2. Great base layer FTW. If you look at the 1000-850mb CT's...they push all the way back to I95/RI at the height on this run. It's rain for a while at Logan no doubt, but would flip back between 03z and 06z. Deformation death band nw CT and Berks on this run. Jackpot there I think on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Ideal track up here, Looks like we will be in the deformation band... Yep, just about perfect across for the deformation band across NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I wish we could get H5 closed off a bit further southwest than what is shown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 If I had a nickle for every time that was said after a NAM run... But seriously, yeah it will be It's the NAM with QPF. I see what Scott is saying, there is definitely a transition period towards 42 hours where even the CP flips over. It's the NAM, it's early season. I think we see some more movement later today. Will/Kev/Pete, and the ski areas look good. That's where it "should" snow a lot if it's going too in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 What is TT?? Scott--with two T's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 984mb going right over the southern tip of Nova Scotia, Amazing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 even folks inside of 128 have many hours of good backside snows...perhaps a good chunk of the event actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 It's rain for a while at Logan no doubt, but would flip back between 03z and 06z. Deformation death band nw CT and Berks on this run. Jackpot there I think on this run. 10-16" at 1k and above? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 It's rain for a while at Logan no doubt, but would flip back between 03z and 06z. Deformation death band nw CT and Berks on this run. Jackpot there I think on this run. if that is the case, Logan could still get 2-4" out of this. which could mean 4-6" for my area.. it will be fun watching this on Saturday either way..:snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 It's rain for a while at Logan no doubt, but would flip back between 03z and 06z. Deformation death band nw CT and Berks on this run. Jackpot there I think on this run. Yeah totally agree. I think we won't have to worry too much, I doubt the changes are done. Be a great case for all of you technical mets/history buffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Yep, just about perfect across for the deformation band across NNE Some fun times staurday night Sam for a lot of folks.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 984mb going right over the southern tip of Nova Scotia, Amazing.. every run has been stronger, wondering if that trend keeps going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 700 low track is really good for Kevin and Will too. This is just nuts. The dynamics will be off the charts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I will be the first to say it..and yes i am serious Jackpot areas will get 2 feet. Not even in question anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Look at this swath! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Stupid question maybe......Does anyone start as snow on the NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Any thoughts how South Shore communities like Hingham will fare in this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Yeah totally agree. I think we won't have to worry too much, I doubt the changes are done. Be a great case for all of you technical mets/history buffs. 2011 has been a crazy year for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 For coastal folk wanting snow. Look at 950 mb if you can. There is flow from the ne off the Gulf of Maine. Despite the height above sea level at 950mb, this is somewhat of a marine flow. Gonna have to let those winds turn more NNE and dynamically cool too. So we might have to wait a bit once winds go north. Perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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