snowNH Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 But even NYC. We're talking maybe 40kt winds, heavy rain possibly going over to paste. All these guys in aviation are worried about stupid Rina and we're telling them that it's the least of their problems. Nobody has a clue. I'm not on terminal duty, but it's a nightmare. Talking to some people at work here.. they honestly have no idea what's coming.. some are saying 2-4" some are saying 1-3" lol.. wmur didn't even have accumulations this morning! All they said was heavier snow to the south Huge wake up call come tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 28, 2011 Author Share Posted October 28, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 The Nation of SW Maine approves. Haha, yes it certainly does. I still can't believe this is happening. I want to personally give the Euro an award on this, it had this storm a long time ago. I can't the believe the factors that go into this for the time of year it is. 1) Most of the heavy snow to fall at night =Check 2) Strong coastal low following along the coast with cold high above us=Check 3) Very cold nights and days prior to the event=Check Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Who can link me to the SREF 4"/8"/12" snow probabilities page? I'm looking for individual images not the 4 image block Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Well they are buried in snow today..so can't clear them..and tomorrow is too busy with soccer, 10 mile early am run and storm tracking...then neighborhood Halloweenie party starting at 3:00..so they'll sit there....however...it doesn't bother me..because I can't see them... Plus I figure I'll be out of power for some time..so it'll give me something to do next week when the snow melts You can't see them, Kevin. But, every minute of every day, they drive your soil's pH ever downward. Each blade of grass slowly agonizing. Trying to call through the snow--"Kevin, help us. We're dying. We're dying. We need you Kevin. Give us our Lesco. Please, Kevin. You're our only hope". (I'm trying to envision your lawn as the hologram of Princess Leia in Star Wars "Help us Obi Wan". 32.3/28--better get the snowblower out before things get muddy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Wow just looking at the Euro clown maps. Holy moley, if that were to play out what a historic event in SE interior MA. Easton/Bridgewater get crushed and even I get some light accumulations at the end. Hard to believe the euro could be wrong and the GFS right. I vote EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 28, 2011 Author Share Posted October 28, 2011 Who can link me to the SREF 4"/8"/12" snow probabilities page? I'm looking for individual images not the 4 image block http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ewallsref.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 What time is the 09z Srefs out, 9:30 am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 What an amazing weekend to have picked over a month ago to be going home. I seriously think I'm going to get over a foot in Harwinton. This is unbelievable. Ryan, Will everyone thanks for the great analysis. You guys rock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Wow just looking at the Euro clown maps. Holy moley, if that were to play out what a historic event in SE interior MA. Easton/Bridgewater get crushed and even I get some light accumulations at the end. Hard to believe the euro could be wrong and the GFS right. I vote EURO Yay raynham!!! The West Chesterfield of SE Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 What time is the 09z Srefs out, 9:30 am? 9:50 I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 9:50 I think. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Thanks Gonna be tough for us buddy haha...really thinking the gefs will slide ESE from 6z. Thanks for the analysis guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Who can link me to the SREF 4"/8"/12" snow probabilities page? I'm looking for individual images not the 4 image block This? http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/winter_wx.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Gonna be tough for us buddy haha...really thinking the gefs will slide ESE from 6z. Thanks for the analysis guys. I think that's what Albany's waiting on. They'll take their finger off the trigger if they do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 SREFs seemed to hold steady more or less. Maybe a tiny bit west by like 10 miles..but seemed to stabilize a bit. 850 temps look nearly the same...maybe the -4C contour is 5 miles west, but that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Thanks SORRY 9:40 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...CENTRAL AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...WHICH COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES. THE SNOW COULD ALSO MIX WITH RAIN AND CAUSE SLUSHY AND SLIPPERY CONDITIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW. * TIMING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...HEAVY WET SNOW...AND STRONG WINDS WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AS WELL AS WEIGH DOWN TREES CAUSING POTENTIALLY WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY IMPACT WITH THIS EARLY SEASON WINTER STORM IS POSSIBLE. HEAVY WET SNOW COULD CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AS WELL AS WIDE SPREAD POWER OUTAGES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 SORRY 9:40 lol No prob i had the page loaded and kept refreshing when they came out....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 SREFs seemed to hold steady more or less. Maybe a tiny bit west by like 10 miles..but seemed to stabilize a bit. 850 temps look nearly the same...maybe the -4C contour is 5 miles west, but that's about it. How far NW they are is kind of crazy considering the EURO and NAM..the GEFS and GFS are in line with the Srefs but man, this is a tough call forthe coast and well inland areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 SREFs seemed to hold steady more or less. Maybe a tiny bit west by like 10 miles..but seemed to stabilize a bit. 850 temps look nearly the same...maybe the -4C contour is 5 miles west, but that's about it. How far NW they are is kind of crazy considering the EURO and NAM..the GEFS and GFS are in line with the Srefs but man, this is a tough call forthe coast and well inland areas. So--is the impulse to discount them (regardless of steady of mnimally west)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 this could be pretty f-in cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 this could be pretty f-in cool. oh wait - storm mode. should qualify that with something. hvy hvy storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 How far NW they are is kind of crazy considering the EURO and NAM..the GEFS and GFS are in line with the Srefs but man, this is a tough call forthe coast and well inland areas. They aren't too far nw of the NAM and Euro. Still go over the BM or just inside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 oh wait - storm mode. should qualify that with something. hvy hvy storm. This will be one of the more dynamic storms we can remember...esp in terms of impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 oh wait - storm mode. should qualify that with something. hvy hvy storm. LOL, dec 9 2005 comes to mind Phil. Seriously not just throwing some stupid analogy out there either. Potential is off the hook with the air temps and water temps. White Hurricane for you on the North Flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 They aren't too far nw of the NAM and Euro. Still go over the BM or just inside. I'm looking at the mean qpf and the .5" line almost is back into BTV..are those because of a few skewed members? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 LOL, dec 9 2005 comes to mind Phil. Seriously not just throwing some stupid analogy out there either. Potential is off the hook with the air temps and water temps. White Hurricane for you on the North Flip. I was thinking that, too. The winds on the SE coast should be phenomenol. This is gonna fook some places up. We still have 75% oak leaves out at my house 1000 feet up. Add snow (maybe pasty 6-8"? Maybe more?) and decent wind... = trouble.... make that Trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Waking up and looking at the BOX snow map is a huge blow...wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I was thinking that, too. The winds on the SE coast should be phenomenol. This is gonna fook some places up. We still have 75% oak leaves out at my house 1000 feet up. Add snow (maybe pasty 6-8"? Maybe more?) and decent wind... = trouble.... make that Trouble it's going to be a wild scene come Sunday AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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