weatherwiz Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Who do you think wins!? My house or wherever you're going in svt? That's a good question. It's all going to depend on where the CCB ends up and how long it sits for. Whoever ends up in the CCB I wouldn't be shocked to see some 12-16'' totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Once this thing flips to accumulating snow in non marine air tainted areas (inland), I'd treat it like a winter storm in terms of accumulations. I don't even know that the snow will be all that wet with this kind of intensity and cold air supply. Also a sun angle equal to February 12th. Looking at the NAM bufkit here at BDL if we do start at rain it shouldn't last long at all so 99% of this will be snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I am having a hard time concentrating at work today...good thing I work from home. I am buying a generator today, decision made. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 snownado? Now that would be the most epic of all epicness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Wiz u going to create a separate maps thread or should we post here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 LOL the NAM has HVN flipping to snow by 21z hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 STORM UPDATE...WE WILL WAIT TO EVALUATE THE ENTIRE 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE SUITE BEFOREMAKING ANY CHANGES. HOWEVER...BASED ON PRELIMINARY EVALUATIONSTHERE IS A GOOD CHANCE THAT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS INTERIORSOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL NEED TO BE INCREASED WITH THE AFTERNOONPACKAGE. WIND AND COASTAL FLOOD HEADLINES MAY BE ISSUED IN THEAFTERNOON PACKAGE. MUCH MORE COMING THIS AFTERNOON AFTER ALL THEDATA IS EVALUATED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Yea was just looking at our DPs here at work in SECT, currently 28, impressive as it gets for a full sun Oct day, temp is 42 at noon, just wow. Yep even at BDL the normal 11AM temp/dew is 51/38. A 42 temp at 11 AM is in the 10th percentile with the dew point not far behind, so pretty unusual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 LOL the NAM has HVN flipping to snow by 21z hahaha And basically begins HFD as snow. Holy holy epic. 2-5! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Once this thing flips to accumulating snow in non marine air tainted areas (inland), I'd treat it like a winter storm in terms of accumulations. I don't even know that the snow will be all that wet with this kind of intensity and cold air supply. Also a sun angle equal to February 12th. Probably as you get closer to the coast and the warmer air the snow will tend to be a bit more wet in nature would be my guess. Probably will also depend on how deep the warmer layer is. 12z NAM came in fairly cold here, we actually dip below freezing at BDL so ratios increased to about 12:1 or so...maybe 13:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Wiz u going to create a separate maps thread or should we post here? I made one last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Tip, good post. Yes excellent and to all you Pros great job, now we need this message to get out as it seems it is slowly. Hopefully stinking CLP and my state are ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Correct me if I'm wrong, but the NAM precip type has this as a mostly snow event even in Boston... LOL the NAM has HVN flipping to snow by 21z hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 This may very well be the best looking storm of the winter...wow. You can go whole seasons without seeing something like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 This may very well be the best looking storm of the winter...wow. You can go whole seasons without seeing something like this. Hopefully not the only one..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Yesterday is an example here. The first 2 inches were traditional soppy wet snow, but we fell to 31 and the dendrites were sweet for the next 2 inches. I'm sure ratios were 12-1 or better in that..... So you don't need way below freezing to get some healthy ratios. Probably as you get closer to the coast and the warmer air the snow will tend to be a bit more wet in nature would be my guess. Probably will also depend on how deep the warmer layer is. 12z NAM came in fairly cold here, we actually dip below freezing at BDL so ratios increased to about 12:1 or so...maybe 13:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 8 at BDL! What does the 6 for BOS and 8 for BDL represent? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Just look at that omega...wow. Also look at the temperatures running through the snow growth zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 What does the 6 for BOS and 8 for BDL represent? Snowfall prob in inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Road trip back down to Delmar? LOL I think we got our first inch of the season here before Stowe Village yesterday, but not sure.... This may very well be the best looking storm of the winter...wow. You can go whole seasons without seeing something like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 That was a good post Tip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Yesterday is an example here. The first 2 inches were traditional soppy wet snow, but we fell to 31 and the dendrites were sweet for the next 2 inches. I'm sure ratios were 12-1 or better in that..... So you don't need way below freezing to get some healthy ratios. Oh nice! Imagine something like 15:1 ratios with this QPF...that would be epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 And basically begins HFD as snow. Holy holy epic. 2-5! Come to torrington for a live segment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 GFS is pretty toasty over the delmarva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Yesterday is an example here. The first 2 inches were traditional soppy wet snow, but we fell to 31 and the dendrites were sweet for the next 2 inches. I'm sure ratios were 12-1 or better in that..... So you don't need way below freezing to get some healthy ratios. My parents sent pics of 2" even at 250ft in the Hudson valley...that looked like pure slop though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Road trip back down to Delmar? LOL I think we got our first inch of the season here before Stowe Village yesterday, but not sure.... Ha we haven't had flakes in the village yet. Only snow has been above 3000ft so far. Delmar has had more than Mansfield this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 GFS is pretty toasty over the delmarva Yikes--sure is. Not sure how it was in the -00 and 06 runs, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Yikes--sure is. Not sure how it was earlier though. almost exactly the same as 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 GFS is pretty toasty over the delmarva Trough is already negatively tilted at 24 hr, this should probably hug the coast pretty tightly similar to 6z but I hate speculating based on early panels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Yikes--sure is. Not sure how it was earlier though. Without going back and look at 06z, That low is hugging the coast north of hatteras Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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