Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 14, 2011 Share Posted October 14, 2011 for several days the models have been showing another deep trough coming in, good signs for winter? 10/14 12z euro has all but the far south east corner of va in the 30s on saturday and sunday Hi's in the 50's 850T running a good 10-12c below nomal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 14, 2011 Share Posted October 14, 2011 Bring it on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 14, 2011 Share Posted October 14, 2011 12z GFS is darn chilly as well. Its still out in fantasy land, but has lows that weekend (22-23) in the 20s for the DC and Bmore burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 15, 2011 Author Share Posted October 15, 2011 0z euro continues to be chilly 0z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoCoSnowBo Posted October 15, 2011 Share Posted October 15, 2011 LOL anybody see the snow storm on the 12z GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 15, 2011 Share Posted October 15, 2011 LOL anybody see the snow storm on the 12z GFS? Maybe wet snow in the mts... east of there its probably rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted October 15, 2011 Share Posted October 15, 2011 LOL anybody see the snow storm on the 12z GFS? 'tis dead & gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoCoSnowBo Posted October 16, 2011 Share Posted October 16, 2011 'tis dead & gone yeah... but 'tis was a beautiful sight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted October 16, 2011 Share Posted October 16, 2011 'tis dead & gone Like your life as a bachelor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 16, 2011 Share Posted October 16, 2011 'tis dead & gone It's back. lol. It would be one awesome storm. but, ya not likely at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted October 16, 2011 Share Posted October 16, 2011 hope I haven't started a 384hr GFS fetish, sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoCoSnowBo Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 What website did you get this version of the GFS from? It's back. lol. It would be one awesome storm. but, ya not likely at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 What website did you get this version of the GFS from? That's from IPS MeteoStar. You can get text output, and if you click on the underlined values it gives the maps. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KBWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Euro big rain for us...Gfs nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Looking at the 00z GFS and Euro raw ensemble numbers for lows Sat 10/22 - Mon 10/24... DCA GFS, Euro 10/22: 38, 40 10/23: 37, 39 10/24: 38, 42 BWI GFS, Euro 10/22: 38, 41 10/23: 37, 40 10/24: 38, 43 IAD GFS, Euro 10/22: 36, 39 10/23: 34, 39 10/24: 36, 42 The "lowest low" out of the ensemble members for this period (all were on the GFS for Mon 10/24): DCA: 33 BWI: 33 IAD: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Euro big rain for us...Gfs nothing There would be much angst in about 3 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 There would me much angst in about 3 months. At least it will be windy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 There would be much angst in about 3 months. Snowanus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 There would be much angst in about 3 months. Where have I seen that before? It's on the tip of my tongue. Somewhere in the back of my mind I remember seeing a string of maps just like that but I just can't place it...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Euro big rain for us...Gfs nothing add today's 12Z NAM to the Euro camp http://mag.ncep.noaa...el=&imageSize=M although, we keep seeing that trough in the GL in the pattern that better change in 6 weeks or it's gonna' be a long, damp winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Where have I seen that before? It's on the tip of my tongue. Somewhere in the back of my mind I remember seeing a string of maps just like that but I just can't place it...... nah, not this year we'll get the qpf, but will it be wet or white? like I said in my post above, I'm getting a little anxious with that trough setting up shop in the GL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 nah, not this year we'll get the qpf, but will it be wet or white? like I said in my post above, I'm getting a little anxious with that trough setting up shop in the GL I'm with ya man. Last year was just a matter of inches in the grand scheme. There are really only 2 things I don't want to see this winter and I'm really not worried about either. Persistent SE ridge or the NS up in Canada as the Pac floods the lower 48 with mild air. I'm ready for some apps runners though. Maybe a little CAD ice/wet flakes with those. We are going to have opportunity with an amplified pattern from time to time. I'm pretty certain we enjoy a -AO/NAO for an extended period this winter. Maybe 6 weeks or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 21, 2011 Author Share Posted October 21, 2011 local mets are talking possible frost looks like the models did pretty well from a good ways out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 21, 2011 Author Share Posted October 21, 2011 anyone see the 0z EURO big snows in western half of va/ wva.. even central areas could see some flakes snowfall hr 180 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 anyone see the 0z EURO big snows in western half of va/ wva.. even central areas could see some flakes snowfall hr 180 lol 00z GFS has it as well. It's actually plausible with this system... not counting it out. I wouldn't be surprised to see some accumulation in the eastern Midwest and Appalachians. Accumulation (or any snow for that matter) east of the Apps would be really hard to get, but I wouldn't be surprised if we did see some snow on the back edge of this thing. That is one sexy 500mb vort on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Kevin is close to locking it in, so it will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 21, 2011 Author Share Posted October 21, 2011 Kevin is close to locking it in, so it will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Kevin is close to locking it in, so it will happen. not gonna' happen w/o the stutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 anyone see the 0z EURO big snows in western half of va/ wva.. even central areas could see some flakes snowfall hr 180 lol Chase! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 not gonna' happen w/o the stutter Well give him a break....he's just coming off the full torch summer mode. He may be a little rusty. Either way, there may be some sort of a coastal next week...but lets just take a step back before getting excited. If anything, it could usher in an airmass that will end the growing season for some. Perhaps some of the higher elevation folk might want to keep an eye out for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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