weathafella Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Uncle appears to be over ACK. 0 h85 line near Weymouth to PVD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Yeah, looks like we're dead in the water pending the Euro. I guess everyone down here should have saw it coming. We had the GFS 72 hours out bulls-eye kiss of death yesterday lol. I don't know, your house is like right on the 0C line on the GFS. 6z was a disaster with the 0C isotherm flying well north of CT, but this run holds it over Litchfield County. Could be a paste job up at Norfolk. I think everyone is freaking out a bit too much, we saw how the GFS was way too far north with the 3/24 storm, and it's already starting to trend south/colder. Let's see how this plays out, still plenty of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 As I type, we have a snowbelt going up on the southside of the house (already had one on the north) and having our annual slate work done. Great on the snowbelt. Perhpas a week premature on the slate repairs. Alas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 No matter what happens, this has huge bust potential on either side. What a nightmare to forecast based on soundings. totally, tough one for the mets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Ukie is kind of weak but colder. Keeps Ray all snow. But the weaker solution means less impressive qpf...much less so. At least it falls at night. with all due respect to the ukie, **** it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 with all due respect to the ukie, **** it Off to lunch/take down a couple trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 with all due respect to the ukie, **** it I'm tossing any model that does not show a huge snow bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 with all due respect to the ukie, **** it I'm not even worried about the changeover anymore.. I'm worried about a Nam type solution which is too far east and doesn't develop the low until later with light snows across NE.. Will, gun to your head.. where would you feel confident right now? Orh to rut to Portland to ports? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I'm tossing any model that does not show a huge snow bomb. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Thats why I mentioned Dec '96 redux...part 2 of that series anyway. It was about an 8-9 hour omega snow bomb. I'd take that in a second, I had 10" all snow before the dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I'm tossing any model that does not show a huge snow bomb. Naturally.. Gun to head, early guess for Winchendon, Gardner,mmmmmm Hubbardston? I think 8-11", better N and W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I don't know, your house is like right on the 0C line on the GFS. 6z was a disaster with the 0C isotherm flying well north of CT, but this run holds it over Litchfield County. Could be a paste job up at Norfolk. I think everyone is freaking out a bit too much, we saw how the GFS was way too far north with the 3/24 storm, and it's already starting to trend south/colder. Let's see how this plays out, still plenty of time. Very close, but I think ultimately I will be a little too far south based on what I've seen from storms that track in this fashion. (Xmas '02 comes to mind.) Then factor in how late it is in the season and I am in big trouble. Would definitely like to see a 25-50 mile tick east at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I'm tossing any model that does not show a huge snow bomb. still feelin alright for my location at 1k? With all these bridge jumpers itd be good to hear some optimism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Naturally.. Gun to head, early guess for Winchendon, Gardner,mmmmmm Hubbardston? I think 8-11", better N and W You'll do fine in this I think. Gardner looks really nice. I wouldn't mind being perched on that ridge at 1300 feet on 140 there near the Ashburnham line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Ukie isn't bad, but like Will said..it's weaker. We definitely want an intense storm with strong lift. Here is BOS at 09z Friday. No room for error, really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Naturally.. Gun to head, early guess for Winchendon, Gardner,mmmmmm Hubbardston? I think 8-11", better N and W Your still good.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 12:22pm March 30, 2011... we briefly cracked 100 readers on this thread, remarkable for this time of year... don't let your loyal subjects down, king Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 probably not the best sign that the 12z NOGAPS is a monsoon for eastern sections Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Uncle appears to be over ACK. 0 h85 line near Weymouth to PVD. The bastion of consistency: KBTV KBEV CC Just east of BM Bodily over SNE ACK Lock that one up, but you may need one hell of a ubiquitous lock... So much for congrats, 'Dacks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 12z GFS is a nice track for the interior west of 495... big blue snow bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 probably not the best sign that the 12z NOGAPS is a monsoon for eastern sections Probably a good sign that the model blows fatties. Just confirms that e MA is marginal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 The bastion of consistency: KBTV KBEV CC Just east of BM Bodily over SNE ACK Lock that one up, but you may need one hell of a ubiquitous lock... So much for congrats, 'Dacks. At one point wasn't it about 200 miles east of BM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 At one point wasn't it about 200 miles east of BM? Probably, it was everywhere else..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 probably not the best sign that the 12z NOGAPS is a monsoon for eastern sections It actually looks like a big hit for Boston and N&W...BOS itself might taint at the very end. But that is a good solution for them overall. I'd still feel better if the nogaps showed a SE MA jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I'm tossing any model that does not show a huge snow bomb. Haha, Will name the last time ukie was a preferred solution that verified... maybe a 12z rgem/gfs blend right now would be good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Where is the 12z GEM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 It actually looks like a big hit for Boston and N&W...BOS itself might taint at the very end. But that is a good solution for them overall. I'd still feel better if the nogaps showed a SE MA jackpot right, i was just going on the fact that it's always biased SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Where is the 12z GEM... ya, i've been refreshing the B&W charts for the past 20 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Based on the mid level low tracks on the GFS many of us have a ways to go before this turns into something exciting. The major snowstorm look from yesterday with the 500mb low closing on the south coast and really blitzing most of us is gone. Oh well. Maybe March/April 2012 will work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Another weenie bomb on the GFS next week..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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