Chicago WX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 certainly not at 150 hrs out, i'm sure it will happen if and when we had a real big one like they've seen out east. TIMING/STRENGTH OF INDIVIDUAL SYSTEMS EXIST. THEN BY DAY 7...THENEW ECMWF/CANADIAN ARE CONSIDERABLY MORE AGGRESSIVE IN PHASING OF INDIVIDUAL STREAMS OVER THE CENTRAL CONSES...WHICH RESULTS IN A SIGNIFICANT LOW EXITING THE PLAINS...THAT IF TRUE...WOULD RESULT IN A CONSIDERABLE WARMING/MOISTENING TREND EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. BUT WITH THE GFS/GEFS MEAN NOT PHASED AND THUS MORE PROGRESSIVE...ALONG WITH TELECONNECTIONS WHICH FAVORS THEM...THE CHOICE REMAINS TO LEAN AWAY FROM ECMWF/CANADIAN SOLUTIONS FOR THE MOMENT. anyways HPC favoring the GFS and it's ensembles. Key qualifier in the last sentence though. Eh, long ways to go with this one. At least there are a few bones being thrown our way on the GGEM and Euro right now...GFS be damned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 certainly not at 150 hrs out, i'm sure it will happen if and when we had a real big one like they've seen out east. anyways HPC favoring the GFS and it's ensembles. That's how I like their position to be, especially since they have busted so much this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 ORD, STL, LAF, DTW, CMH, MKE MSP, FAR, GFK... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Of course because its rain out east.. Half Kidding but HPC is as useless as a turd in a punch bowl IMO for the MW especially this far out.. Hmmm, I really only check out their extendeds when there are possible big ones showing up on the Euro in the long range, so I'm not familiar with any bias they might exhibit. I thought a few of the HPC mets posted at Eastern, i could be off base though. Either way their reasoning for favoring the GFS wasn't all that great, but i'll give them the benefit of the doubt for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 ORD, STL, LAF, DTW, CMH, MKE No love for the Indiana, Ohio folks? lol! IND and DAY too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 ORD, STL, LAF, DTW, CMH, MKE I would use Madison over mke. and add in MSP. Also missing Iowa. Grand Rapids would be a nice one, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 MSP, FAR, GFK... ya probably MSP and FAR too probably dont need much more, maybe DSM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Key qualifier in the last sentence though. Eh, long ways to go with this one. At least there are a few bones being thrown our way on the GGEM and Euro right now...GFS be damned. Yeah when the Euro's on board, i'm excited so their thoughts don't change that, i just thought it was worth passing along. We still have to wait 30-40 hrs before this gets into the range when we can expect Baro to start posting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I would use Madison over mke. and add in MSP. Also missing Iowa. yeah Madison over mke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 No love for the Indiana, Ohio folks? lol! IND and DAY too. LAF is in indiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 OMA GFK MSP LSE JLN PAH STL PIA DVN ORD MKE GRR DTW IND LAF DAY CMH YYZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 OMA GFK MSP LSE JLN PAH STL PIA DVN ORD MKE GRR DTW IND LAF DAY CMH YYZ Much better. Just add Madison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Well two days ago it looked dead not we have a clipper system for Thursday/Friday, a weekend clipper and then this one. I like the looks of this one but till we get inside 3 days no need to hit the panic button yet.. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Going by Market size. I would assume MSP Indy Chicago Detroit STL Cleveland Would be the top 6. KC would be in there if we went that far west. then you have Lincoln, Lafayette, Des Moines, Peoria, Cincy, CBUS, Green Bay, Milwaukee, Peoria, Springfield, IL and MO. Quad Cities. anyways, we cover a good 20-30 cities here. If someone wants to make a list of places and do it that would be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 It's what I do. I'm a stat guy, pure and simple. Life of the party! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northernohio Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yes CLE would be much appreciated as I know there are at least 5 of us from the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 How about this... *Chicago *Minneapolis *Duluth *Gaylord *Detroit *Toronto *Cleveland *Columbus *Indianapolis *Milwaukee *Des Moines *Omaha *St. Louis *Kansas City *Green Bay. *Louisville *Oklahoma City Now end it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 How about this... *Chicago *Minneapolis *Duluth *Gaylord *Detroit *Cleveland *Columbus *Indianapolis *Milwaukee *Des Moines *Omaha *St. Louis *Kansas City *Green Bay. *Louisville Now end it here. book it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 2M temps off the 12z EURO on Thursday down to -15 across Illinois, Indiana and Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 OMA GFK MSP LSE JLN PAH STL PIA DVN ORD MKE GRR DTW IND LAF DAY CMH YYZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 OMA GFK MSP LSE JLN PAH STL PIA DVN ORD MKE GRR DTW IND LAF DAY CMH YYZ OKC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 How about this... *Chicago *Minneapolis *Duluth *Gaylord *Detroit *Toronto *Cleveland *Columbus *Indianapolis *Milwaukee *Des Moines *Omaha *St. Louis *Kansas City *Green Bay. *Louisville Now end it here. Grand Rapids GRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Is it hard to get QPF text output for 30-40 cites? or is it a simple click thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Is it hard to get QPF text output for 30-40 cites? or is it a simple click thing? On AccuPro you have to type in 30-40 airport codes so it can take a little bit of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Grand Rapids GRR I am guessing there are more GRR folks here than Gaylord. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yeah when the Euro's on board, i'm excited so their thoughts don't change that, i just thought it was worth passing along. We still have to wait 30-40 hrs before this gets into the range when we can expect Baro to start posting Teleconnections can be a good tool for general longer range patterns, but as far as using them to determine whether a storm will track over Columbus or Chattanooga, I'm not sure. I think there are storm-scale considerations that have as much if not more weight. Just my 2 cents though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Teleconnections can be a good tool for general longer range patterns, but as far as using them to determine whether a storm will track over Columbus or Chattanooga, I'm not sure. I think there are storm-scale considerations that have as much if not more weight. Just my 2 cents though. strongly agree the pattern has supported a decent storm for the past few weeks for the most part IMO. which is why i will remain skeptical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Teleconnections can be a good tool for general longer range patterns, but as far as using them to determine whether a storm will track over Columbus or Chattanooga, I'm not sure. I think there are storm-scale considerations that have as much if not more weight. Just my 2 cents though. Makes sense and a Columbus to Chattanooga spread would be great compared to the 1000 or so miles between the GFS and ECM/GGEM. It's going to be a pretty big score for the GFS if it ends up being right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 strongly agree the pattern has supported a decent storm for the past few weeks for the most part IMO. which is why i will remain skeptical. It's been better than it was but I think this timeframe is the best window. I'll be disappointed if nothing comes of it and embarrassed for starting the thread so far out, but a minor consideration was that I didn't know whether to discuss this in the January or February thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Just got home and its good to see a legit storm to track in the future. After looking at hour 144 on the euro, I was assuming a track from texas to chicago would make sense because the storm hadn't intensified yet. But I would assume the high in montana played a role. How did the ensembles look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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