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Modeled and forecasted pretty good @ medium range

Crazy things known to happen in Lit Cty... lol

Sunday morning was 27 /19 here at 7 AM. By 1:00 it was raining . South flow kills

My bank but damn its so so close

My God the roads are already a sandbox.

What was it like back then?

Found this part amusing. As I’m fond of saying, plop me in Laporte and I’ll take my chances! *Sullivan County has the highest probability (50-70%) of localized snowfall >6"

I went to Oakton. ‘97.

Same here. Forecast is for 19, but I think that means diddly for what happens tomorrow afternoon.

18z Euro caving a bit more

lol I thought he mean centerville

If I thought that was even remotely possible I’d have some optimism. I was really looking forward to this and the first snowfall . It’s been a long time since a good December . This could have started off well . South flow is no bueno . Will erode any cold very quickly aloft . Here anyway .. maybe your area will do better . It’s green grass around here for the foreseeable future

35.8/24.5 here in 21057

Lawyers' kids have got to eat too ya' know!

34/23 but nearby PWS already 31. Wish it probably made more difference! Probably will be some random 5F temp rise in the middle of the night.

Eh ty

Warm tongue will evident off the deck from 950-850 or so.

Thank you thank you, based on what you just wrote, my locale (West Concord just off rt. 2) may very well be right on the r/s line. btw as an aside, is it better for cold air retention if upper levels close off in this case?

hope is fading fast my friend, hopefully the cold tonight can overcome whatever may try to push in tomorrow during the event... hours from go, and still unknowns are more than knowns, at least here and borderline areas.

28F here attm. That warm tongue will do its dirty work for many, but hopefully a cold press can help a bit

LOL. What app is that.

That's half the fun, especially when it surprises in your favor.

You realize…if you pick up 2-4” tomorrow, these posts of yours will look pretty bad. Just saying. It’s getting cold out there bro.

Charlottesville schools as well.

yeah that was mostly one Met talking to another. It's clear outside, with a DPs regionally 10 to 19. We're likely getting quite cold in the lowest levels because of that. That's possibly not being assessed properly wherein the poorly resolved lowest levels that the models can have trouble. It's not a slam dunk for a positive bust, but this strikes me as a potential to end up marginally colder - particularly with the storm structurally evolving and moving underneath our latitude. I'm not sure where you reside but for like Springfield to Ayer ...that band I suspect it safely snow in this... It's really more of a contention as to where the mix line ends up... I think there's room for it to be S of consensus in this case.