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Best we can hope for with a stout -PNA is an overrunning snow to rain type system here with a retreating high. Or a sheared to nothing squeeze play system. We need the PNA to cooperate at least a little.

Reports of sleet in RI

Had booming thunder and a temp of 40, .18"

Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-Augusta-Rockingham- Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Western Loudoun- Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy- 729 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast, and northern Maryland, northern, northwest, and western Virginia, and the eastern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 6 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

Griteater is bullish on Dec 15th-Jan 15th for the Southeast. You take any wintery stretches you can get between mid-Dec and mid-Feb. Before then is a little too early usually, after mid-Feb is usually a little too late. Not that great winter event can't happen in both, but that middle stretch is when you're gonna make the most of it

Some lightning here too, no rain

Same, thundering here in New Providence.

Our landscapers came and did our lawn yesterday,you couldnt tell today,we had just some wind gust probably just around 15-20mph,but it was raining leaves,shitty foilage year here

32.0°/31 here at WXW2 with -ZR

Got up to 80 today. Got some yard work done. Not bad for the middle of November.

Seems to be approaching the NY-CT border. Hope we get some here.

Thunderstorm going on out this way.

Sleet / rain to start

Fresh Bluefin Tuna. Paid 14 bucks. Imagine what this would have cost in a restaurant. Seasoned with salt, pepper, and Japanese Seven spice. Fuck yeah.

Dude's a huge troll but strong RNA pattern will lead to trough out west and possible SE ridge out east.

Mid levels look a little too warm. The CAD is more in-situ so any ZR would probably be short lived. Maybe brief snow and then some sleet ZR/R. I’m expecting mostly a cold rain here after maybe a little frozen to start. Maybe it bounces back and forth at times up there? The warm layer is marginal.

Euro ensembles seems to being getting more support each day it will finally get out of P6,while the MEAN is faster and little support but P7 isnt horrible Edit:You just need to be patient until then,its not even Met Winter yet

RNA will kill your December, you can book it

The anomalies to mid-month are roughly near normal in the east to +5 F in parts of the west. A somewhat colder interval lies ahead for most regions, with variations the final anomalies look likely to be near normal east to +3 west. I will track this more precisely in about a week and post some preliminary scoring.

unbelievably awful ragebait

PC skies, 28/23F, Its plenty cold for a frozen start.

That's pretty bullish for here if its correct but its not usually.

31.5/23F With these temperatures, I don't see any rain for the vast majority of this system. Maybe lots of sleet or freezing rain but CAD at the surface almost always wins. Snow at the begining, IDK?

April sun angle changes the mood and vibes 100%. Very very different than Novie for me. March is more comparable with the % of solar and temps

Wichita Falls hit 92F today. That’s unbelievable for November 15th. Old record was 85F in 1965.