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  2. Solution Man
    I think we’re gonna like it
  3. HoarfrostHubb
    Grok thought mountain lion too. But I highly doubt it.
  4. Hurricane Agnes
    The small tube in my Stratus got a crack at some point so need to replace that. And for completeness - the EC 18zs...
  5. pazzo83
    yeah i'm pretty sure it was 2015 - I remember we were shaded in the 18-24"+ zone, basically the entire tri state was. But then we got like 10" maybe in Manhattan, dry slotted like crazy. Eastern LI and CT got hammered.
  6. Santa Claus
    thank you donald
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Watch the models decide to bury the sw out in baja at 0z now.
  8. brooklynwx99
    i doubt that happens with this kind of mid-level forcing moving in
  9. *Flash*
    Good news for east TN I suppose... https://x.com/frankiemacd/status/2013760806991585329?s=46&t=jJibs_QYWrPscWIaTl9hgw
  10. WeatherGeek2025
    Don you're the statistics man, do you happen to know what type of system those were? were they and what type of airmass we had during the storms?
  11. Kasper
    Now back to the models
  12. Chicago916
    Sampling of the Baja low not included in the NAM (doesn't matter cuz it sucks anyways) but good for other models. So that won't explain any changes seen down there. https://x.com/i/status/2014131199120162993
  13. Damage In Tolland
    About 1”
  14. Phelps
    Yeah I don’t think any humans would be forecasting 8-12 for Boone right now. Not saying it’s impossible, but certainly doesn’t appear to be the most likely outcome as of now.
  15. Kay
    I remember many years in which it was debated, by smart people, here and on twitter. But now I see mets saying it all the time and turning up in lwx discussions so (idk, shrug?)
  16. clskinsfan
    50/50 looks better positioned than 18z. But I really dont know what I am looking for anymore.
  17. Damage In Tolland
    There’s a lot of snow coming the next 20-30 days
  18. SnowenOutThere
    Same, issue is if the NS hangs north our confluence hangs north too. I think in general we want a deamped SW and a further east/weaker 2nd NS lobe (which enters the picture around hour 60).
  19. CDUB_VOL
    First time posting but been following for years. I have one question what time will the 0Z GFS roll out?
  20. raindancewx
    The early CPC outlook with TX/OK/KS/NM warm only marginally favored for precip for Jan 21-27 isn't looking so great now. When the cold retrogresses it goes hard. We've got some -50 wind chills coming in the Plains in some of the places that were running +10F winter to date. Looks pretty damn cold here now for a little while. Average high is ~48-49 late January for ABQ.
  21. donsutherland1
    For reference: Since 2000, there have been only two days with 4" or more snow and a 20:1 or above snow-liquid ratio in New York City: January 28, 2004 4.3" snow/0.18" precipitation (the snow-liquid ratio for the entire January 27-28, 2004 storm was just below 16:1 with 10.3" snow and 0.65" precipitation) January 23, 2005 5.3" snow/0.25" precipitation
  22. GBOVolz
    And this is why I’m so surprised so many are latching on to it. It’s been all over the place and made pretty wild jumps. .
  23. Solution Man
    Let it play out…patience
  24. nj2va
    Ingesting so much data for winter storm fern
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    We need to unleash balloons from Hawaii and Guam to get the data. Seemed to work for China where they sent weather balloons to the US to sample sparse data areas for their weather reports a few years ago
  26. stormtracker
    It is. But at this point, I honestly don't know what the hell we need/looking for
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