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  2. is that because of a weaker nino or a more east based nino?
  3. Fortunately, for those interested in the winter, it covers the smallest area and sits south of the equator but for the northern border bounded by it. Hence, at this point, whether it exceeds current max records or not, it won't have much to say for winter in the east compared to the other areas. So yeah, let's get the record this year.
  4. Finished with 2.98" here. Only 1.59" at DEN, definitely a month where they did not represent greater Denver metro well.
  5. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2232.html Mesoscale Discussion 2232 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1231 PM CDT Fri Sep 04 2026 Areas affected...southeast Ohio...much of West Virginia...western Maryland and northern and western Virginia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 041731Z - 041930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Scattered storms may produce areas of damaging gusts and marginally severe hail through the afternoon from southeast Ohio into Virginia. DISCUSSION...Cells have intensified from central into southeast OH, south of the synoptic wind shift and within the instability axis. Precipitable water is high, with moderate instability developing. Midlevel northwesterlies of 30-40 kt are also supporting cellular and mixed storm modes including small bows. Given the destabilizing air mass downstream of the existing storms, gradual upscale growth may occur as outflow production/storm coverage increases. ..Jewell/Guyer.. 09/04/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX... LAT...LON 38978248 39418172 39698096 39767982 39577793 39077719 38627744 37967822 37507916 37218080 37368163 37828223 38138248 38978248 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
  6. Sounds like severe thunderstorm watch coming soon for areas west of i95 corridor per MCD
  7. I sort of like the trajectory of that thing more nickles and dimes possibly
  8. We've here in MId have had some warm Septs,but i dont think its comparable to 1925,in modern day ERA this year might probably top out any year.But 1925 Nashville we hit triple digits 7 days in a row.Birmingham hit trips 14 staraight days in row !!That's just insane !!
  9. That Garrett cell has legs. Solid up tick in CG and it's got that look like it's a little vort or something pushing it along.
  10. Radarscope had rotation in the Garrett County cell which just got svr warned
  11. Power has been out for 13 hours here. Storm was absolutely crazy for me. Was a crazy cool lightning storm that boomed! for a moment on video it looked like the afternoon bc of the ltn lol
  12. Things probably won't pick up appreciably until the latter half of October.
  13. Unfortunately, some of this is completely out of the hands of the amazing team at NWS Mount Holly. New policies are forcing heavy reliance on NBM output, which is basically used "verbatim" in their grids. In other words, the meteorologists with special local knowledge can't exercise said knowledge to "beat the models" unless sufficient justification is provided. At that point, they may be allowed to send requests to the WPC to update/change the forecasts from raw NBM output.
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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  15. Nino 1+2 (keep in mind that this is non-relative) had a strong rise yesterday. Get ready for a tweet from Adam, Abraham, and/or others addressing this saying record breaking yada yada yada. Keep in mind though that records from 1982-3 and 1997-8 are based on weeklies, not dailies. Also, highest relative WEEKLY in 1983 was +4.6 and in 1997 was +4.1. Let’s see where the current calendar week relative 1+2 on Monday. It won’t be anywhere near +4.6 although it may get close to +4.0.
  16. Sorry, I wasn’t talking about why PG closed, it makes sense that they did. I said it’s dumb that VA and PA kids are out today but MD kids are not, bc of the holiday weekend
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