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Can't wait to see some of the outrageous solutions the same gonna start pumping out Tommorow an Thursday

Never done one...would love to..just an open stream of weenie consciousness

It's so obvious right under our noses the entire time. Companies need more revenue so they payed ECMWF, GFS and others to show a huge snow storm to get people buying groceries, generators, etc. They forgot to pay the UK Met office and Canadian office (or the tariffs got them)

Nice to see you stop by Roger

Lots of wide solutions for NC in that mix. Imagine being in that knife edge.

Yep. Last one I did I think was Jan 2016. I’m not sure we’ve had one since then. Usually had to be Mid-Atlantic big time threat and we haven’t had a huge one since then. I always thought we should do New England ones but not that we’ve had much to track the last few years.

A lot more members jack our area now than at 12Z. Really good sign.

[emoji1593] .

Not crazy about that. Hopefully we don’t go north too early on this one.

While this is the NYC subforum, it's worth noting that there is likely going to be a crippling ice storm with 1" or more of ice accretion in a fairly wide swath from Texas to NC on Saturday into Sunday – where exactly that sets up is not a given yet – and north of the ice storm, 8-12” snowfall amounts are looking likely from northern Texas to northern TN/NC and into VA. This could be an historic US winter storm if the current models verify: see the nationwide snowfall and ice accretion graphics from the NBM model...

Never knew I was the closest in proximity to @Ji out of anyone on the board...neat.

The yardstick won't be enough. You're right.

please God no. I don't see why we cant just have a storm that hits everyone for once. no losers, only winners. please.... Yeah, but the amped trend can stop right now, thanks.

What’s the high end 10th percentile

I'll pick 25 to 1 please.

When you bring out the horse and buggy I know 287 is on!!

I remember running to Home Depot in December 2009 to buy a yardstick, the night of the storm. In fact I think the first flakes started falling when I got back home. Measured 19” a night later. Enjoy!

I’m not dancing on graves 100 hours out. Bad juju. Along with that yardstick.

If I remember correctly from a decade ago when these sleet / ice storms occurred regularly, neither the gfs nor the euro handled the intricacies of the thermal layers well in these set ups. Is there a medium range model that does better with predicting snow vs sleet vs ice? Ignoring precip amounts? Was it the Canadian or the uk?

Yes. According to NWS, things should start up mid to late afternoon Friday.

It's not collapsing. It's playing very little role...we must have had an El Nino last year, right? Oops...

It would be pretty funny after all the hype if this ends up just being cold rain with a little mix

Anyone have any explanation for the lack of sleet on the Euro? It's like all snow or all ice/rain with no in between. I guess it's just so quick with the Baja low that the wedge never gets a chance to build in.

18.5 here at 8pm

My nickname is Ohtani.