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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
As a weather enthusiast, I’m actually looking forward to seeing a true east-based super El Niño in action this winter. I was too young to remember 1997-98. Should be fun to watch -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
He’s down by IJD in SE CT. This is coming from ORH -
Do you have any east wind? How far are you from moosup?
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Ignorance really is bliss with the trolls. -
Yeah nothing remotely close to haze up here. Crystal clear low dew blue.
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This Spring is nuts. Looking at the GOES NE satellite it seems the Jetstream is going backwards for days on end. Stupid clouds *shakes fist at sky*.
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Oh man…2018 maybe? One of mine got blight last year. I mudpacked it this spring and it resulted in an ambrosia beetle attack. Unfortunately the beetles attacked the one next to it too. Both are still surviving and putting on new growth for now. But yeah, they’re all 15-20ft. The ones out front that I started from seed are shorter…5-10ft. I have 5 more that I got last spring…they’re in pots. The wild one in the back woods is still kickin. Looks like 35ft tall but it’s tall and relatively skinny looking for light.
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Yeah, surface vis is excellant. I can see Sunapee clearly which is 30 miles. There does seems to be a very thin layer of cirrus or something. The Alto Cu is a bit hazy. Hey Brian. How many years ago did we buy those American Chestnut seedlings? My trees are probably near 15 feet tall.
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Wow!! Beautiful humid summer day today. High of 88. Storm just came through and dumped a quick half inch. Can feel the cooler air coming in.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
wow someone named michsnowfreak is a climate change denier. bones found in cemetery -
Im not an ASOS fan either. Needs way more babysitting/calibrating than a traditional thermometer. And it still sucks with melting down dry snow. The old fashioned way is the best imo. My rain, snow, and liquid equivalent in snow are all done the traditional way.
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From the looks of upstream tomorrow's fucked too. Mostly cloudy and mild weee I dunno. Maybe the shit streak finally succumbs to DVM lol
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Feels like every afternoon the clouds find their way here lol
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It’s cirrus
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There’s nothing up here. Perfectly blue skies besides some Ci. MWN has been 80-90sm vis all day too.
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Lots of PVA/dPVA use in this subforum. A lot of us are just old enough to be in college when the NWS mets had to cram everything into acronyms because of bandwidth. I have a habit of mixing METAR and SAO coding. I’ll usually use +SN or RA instead of S+ but rarely FZRA or PL…ZR/ZL and IP are my go-to’s. Not a fan of CLR either since that is the “clear below 12kft” nonsense. I always go SKC. I miss seeing BCFG, PRFG, MIFG, DRSN, etc too. I’ll give myself a for that.
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What an incredible almost perfect June day. Started out at 60 and rose to 75. Dew points hovered in the mid 40's. Very windy today though. Winds blew in the 15 to 25 mph range off the water most of the day. Made it feel chilly actually.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Think it is smoke -
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Okay seriously, we got burned by another head fake. The forecast for the Memorial Day soaker didn’t disappoint for the first time in ages, and in the week leading up to it the models did show it ushering in a wet pattern. Yet when the system ran its course the follow up rain events were can kicked an additional week and are now in the process of collapsing. Since 2023 we’ve get these big rain events that happen roughly 6 months apart which mathematically should usher in a wet pattern but every time said pattern fails to materialize despite the storm verifying. Did something else break in the atmosphere to make things permanently drier? It’s not supposed to be this hard to get a wet pattern here.
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Winter 2026-2027 Speculation - It's gonna snow.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
There was a 3" snow Nov 14 and another 1.6" the 15th. I dont remember forecasts that long ago (I was young lol). Mid november to mid December, the 2nd half of january, and spurts of March were wintry. The rest sucked. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Even though its clear who the trolls are, its a shocking lack of understanding how the actual weather works. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I would like to see this cold bias documented too. Bias would mean it regularly runs too warm/cold. Cansips was the only model close to the cold in the great lakes and northeast last winter. Does that mean every other model has a warm bias?
