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Gets 0.5"+ out my way even

Poundmetown

It's coming!

So how we doing

Even though that last storm is highly doubtful on the 18z GFS and because there is really a pause for a bit until the next models roll....that storm is a great example of a vortex coming into central or SoCal and causing a winter storm here, ie the Los Angeles rain rule. The GFS does seem intent on building a glacier in the Apps for sure. Prob isn't right, but lets see if the Euro AIFS has a hint of a storm around the 24-25th. Ensembles have keyed on that timeframe of late. Gonna be a fun clown map for the full run nonetheless.

I’ve had 49 mph gusts. Just had a 45 straight for 2 mins. My recycling is now all over the street.

It's always good to temper expectations, well done. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

I would hit the GFS all day. Toss those qpf numbers. Look to that 850 inflow. Getting better

I can easily see a warning event for the border above 3,500 ft

Gets going to late. More of NE storm.

Panic room already exists, though getting a couple inches out of this isn’t justifiably panic worthy given the HECS nature being a long shot.

Can we start a thread to silo the whining there?

My kids have the flu so I feel this

I think it’s the low placement from what I’ve seen.

Pretty persistent signal across guidance over the last few runs for this type of setup. Big storm potential with significant moisture overrunning cold HP.

GEFS was considerably wetter here than 12z but I guess temps are just too iffy.

I mean a week ago it was wall to wall nothing for days. Now there’s trackable events.

Imma give it one more day and then pretty much settle into that realization and hope for the best

We can't even get an advisory level event right and you focusing on a HECS on the 300+ GFS

And somehow, the GFS goes from that crazy northwest low to a SE winter storm...just like that. What a wild model. It is DGEX level right now after 150 on most runs.

Well maybe if you wait a week or two you can make the February long range thread.

Still means that adding to the futility list is off the table.

Ah dang it, lol So eait that means we can't talk about February either...

I went out to measure about 5 different areas. Had anywhere from 7/8 inch to almost 2 inches. So better than I expected.

GEFS snow mean for Boston is like 6”. Starting to look a pretty classic Miller B sorta screwjob. 1-2” around here which isn’t awful though