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End of the 0z Euro is warming up really good in the Midwest. Run it forward a few days and we might be talking about 70s. 117hr Euro is 57F in DCA 186hr Euro is 67F in DCA 288hr Euro is 64F in DCA 354hr Euro is 63F in DCA 4 separate fronts.. -PNA pattern Model run is probably too extreme, but it does highlight a much warmer pattern coming up.

I’m ready to be let down again.

Ah I see said the blind man

Summary of 0z tonight: GFS: miss EURO: miss CMC: miss ICON: miss UKMET: miss NAM: miss RGEM: miss RRFS: miss GFS AI: miss EURO AI: miss EPS: miss GEFS: miss GEPS: miss EPS AI: miss UKMET ensemble: miss

the next window of opportunity is nearing for the sub-forum. we enter this window beginning mid-next week. some places are going to do really well in this pattern. who will it be? msp, grb, mke, ord, dtw?

No one ever seriously thought we would get snow from 45 degree precipitation. The models have gotten stupider and so have we. .

A little dusting coming Saturday morning

LOL I feel its over for snow this year it was nice to have a nice blanket of white on the ground for this long.

True, but I meant below zero down II my in CT. Here we may be able to pop a below zero number as far out as early April? This has been a big year for below zero temps. I love it. -1.5/-5 here right now. -8 at SLK.

A lot of bad tracks/cutters. Cold, warm up rain, cold again. Or front end snow to mix to freezing rain to rain, then get cold again and freeze everything up. Lots of good sledding/sliding back then for sure, due to the icy hard snow conditions. Lots of fun in that regard.

so the 850s were colder but the 925s are torching, no snow anywhere

Euro is a touch souther with the precip but it's colder than 18z at the upper levels. Snow maps incoming

Yes. I agree. I should also note that at least for here the cold periods in the 80s were also punctuated by very warm periods. So I find it no different from the warm spells we have now.

I'll take my 1.8 inches and like it.

oh yeah baby

AI Euro?

NNE was a different story in the 80’s. SNE was the tough spot most times. Tons of mixed events…it was very hard(but obviously not impossible) to get a pure snow storm then in SNE. Was just the pattern/cycle back then.

The 81-82 winter turned out very good for the interior, especially CNE. I was in central NH for a weekend in late January, 1982 and the pack was like 3 feet.

I’ve said on here many times before that the December 81 storm was one of my favorites. The flow remained NNW during the storm. Had it been NNE that time of year it would have mostly rained like in December, 1992.

I’m talking CT here…not south coast/or eastern mass. The decade as I said had a few big events scattered around. But overall it was a very low snow decade to be sure.

I had snow in May 2020 because of polar vortex disruption Forecast is two polar vortex disruptions one this weekend which won't be resuming the arctic connection and another in two weeks. The second one the models say will bring the cold two weeks later. Just a forecast could be wrong we will see.

Make that three!

0z GFS has the Feb 22-23 thing, it's a high end advisory event That timeframe could hold potential. Seems like CAPE's original storm will track too far north but will bring in some cold air for the follow up wave to ride the boundary. Pretty simple way to score around here. btw since i said all this it's now my storm and not Ji's storm even though his analysis is better.

The 80s weren't as bad as everyone thinks. 1985-1986 and 1988-1989 were awful but the rest of the decade particularly the first half of the decade was damn good particularly along the south coast. We had several big ones, including some like December 1981 that no one remembers or talks about. Slant sticking is more common today than back then and I believe the statistical snowfall averages are somewhat skewed. I remember catching the school bus and it seemed a lot colder back then compared to the last 20+ years.