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It’s been raining here at McHenry most of the day, with bouts of heavy rain at times. 0.4” so far and 47 degrees. While it won’t be snowing throughout tomorrow night until Friday, I like our chances to see snow in the mountains, up to 1” or 2” in spots.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
WolfStock1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Picking some nits: Comparing averages across drivetrains isn't apples-to-apples, because it doesn't account for the mix; instead the comparison needs to be between like-vehicles - e.g. comparison for compact sedans, for mid-size sedans, etc. Also comparison needs to account for quality levels. "Lower price" doesn't equate to "out competing". In this case specifically - EV sales in China are only 37% of current sales (per your previous link). So non-EV are still out-competing EV. Re-iterating my point about subsidies; "out-competing" also implies level playing field. China, like pretty much every other country, heavily subsidizes their EV's, so it's not a level playing field. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
canderson replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
They are very very accurate depictions Excited to beat little brother again Friday! -
Thread worthy??
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Same was said about next week
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Given the progression of the reflection event coupled with a weakening MJO wave, the GEFS make more sense to me mid month. Re-consolidating PV and developing PT regime. -
Light rain moved in. Chilly damp day.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
powderfreak replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Yeah we can take the 36 hour thaws but need to avoid a 72-hr bloodbath with 1”+ rain. -
Tropical cyclone four is forecast to make landfall in northern Sumatra as a moderate tropical storm. Due to its low latitude, cyclones hardly ever hit Indonesia directly. The only other landfalling one I could find was Vamei in 2001, but that made landfall as a tropical depression.
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2025-2026 ENSO
brooklynwx99 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I agree that they don’t look as good… given the MJO progression, I feel like the EPS makes more sense. we’ll see -
lets listen to @MJO812 whenever the MJO might enter 8-1-2. it's literally in his name!
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The larger test is mid month and onward. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
He actually went against the EURO in favor of the GFS last week. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Who is creating a thread? -
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential
Radtechwxman replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yeah unfortunately strong waa always wins out here. My ideals low track is south of I70 and hooking up through eastern IL or western IN -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I swear he has an alarm on his Iphone that is triggered whenever MJO812 smiles. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
He has a varied approach...may also be a Pacific SST chart along with sentence or six about how the models embellish phase 8 of the MJO in this "new, warmer climate". -
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EPS looks nice around the 3rd
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential
Stebo replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Climo is tough to fight, you probably average half of places like Chicago and here. -
The models are trending back north for tonight. Who tf knows any more. .
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mnchaserguy started following November 2025 General Discussion
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2025-2026 ENSO
Daniel Boone replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
You know he's working on something, lol.
