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  2. Looks like we are going to finish June with a negative temperature departure for the month. A warm period at the beginning and end of the month couldn't overcome an incredibly pleasant middle part. It would take something like +42 departure today to bring us back to normal. It might feel like it with the humidity today, but that is a different story.
  3. all kidding aside July 4th PM has some potential for the atmosphere to put on its own show in the region
  4. 81/78/89 at 8:30am... No thanks
  5. Early July 1966-104,107,104 followed by a 100 on July 10th,and 100 on July 26th. and most other days that Summer were in the 90's
  6. Even the GFS has a quite a bit of elevated CAPE with at least western sections on the instability gradient. It will be an interesting evening/overnight, especially if the NAM sort of verifies with the advection of rather impressive MUCAPE. The HRRR I think has been solid with the idea of convection moving into the region this evening but I think this may end up being a bit more impressive than modeled. These are tough environments, even more mesos to handle
  7. I can remember back in 1988 summer when it was hot. I took a thermometer in the creek at my place where we have a swimming hole in the middle of the creek. The hole is about 5 foot deep in between 2 big rocks. In between the rocks the current flows, thats where I held a wire that was attached to My thermometer about half a foot under the water. The temperature was 88. The water felt like bath water. You cooled off but it wasn't exactly what I call refreshing. If we get several days of hot temperatures this week I'll have to see what the temperature of the creek is this time.
  8. DCA: 98, 102, 103, 101 BWI: 97, 102, 103, 100 IAD: 96, 99, 101, 98 SBY: 96, 99, 101, 98 RIC: 97, 100, 102, 99 Total Rain: 0.05
  9. I planted Texas grass seed in my full sun spots for a reason…
  10. Also where there’s any compressional heating zone. That area just ahead of the seabreeze can really roast. Sometimes that’s around the Southern State Parkway/Five Towns to Roosevelt Field.
  11. 86 yesterday on the south shore For Long Island, the Euro has a prominent sea breeze on Thursday so Euro only has 90s for the island that day. West wind comes back on Friday (Euro) so that would be our best chance at 100+. GFS has more of a westerly wind both days but there will probably be a sea breeze both days. Where it sets up during the day will dictate the max temps. Longer it holds off, the hotter it'll get
  12. Woke up to 24C/77F maybe locally more like 25C as of 7:30, I see CU in the distance with minor haze - that's my kind of morning! Low of 21C only. They adjusted for 44 humidex.
  13. Not exactly— there’s definitely indication that the line bends southeast. Down to Boston in the mix for severe along the coast.
  14. Still stuck in the clouds and fog, although point has 94 for the high today. It's the only 90+ temp in the forecast this week after yesterday's high temp busted by 22 degrees... .75" of rain the past 24 hours from a couple rounds.
  15. Wildfire smoke is back. Noticed some yesterday and today it’s very noticeable
  16. Today should be our last sub 90 degree high until Monday. Mid to upper 80's today rising into the low to mid 90's tomorrow and then upper 90's in higher spots to near 100 in our valley locations both Thursday and Friday. Shower chances increase later July 4th with the days trending slightly cooler with highs by Monday in the upper 80's.
  17. Today should be our last sub 90 degree high until Monday. Mid to upper 80's today rising into the low to mid 90's tomorrow and then upper 90's in higher spots to near 100 in our valley locations both Thursday and Friday. Shower chances increase later July 4th with the days trending slightly cooler with highs by Monday in the upper 80's.
  18. Glad the temps haven’t reached 100 yet, highs around 95 and only a couple heat advisories this summer which is pretty surprising.
  19. Today
  20. MDT daily record highs for July 1 thru July 4 -- 100, 104, 107, and 104. That is one tough set of records to breach. Tomorrow is obviously the most gettable but that's also the one day where my current forecast is under 100. We shall see but quite the historic heat wave on tap regardless.
  21. Historically will this 3-4 day stretch sit near the top? I think last time 3 days of 100 or greater was July 93?
  22. Just a reminder that this will stay open for entries and edits until about 11PM tonight. In the spirit of transparency, my entries above are final.
  23. Of course station location placement and relative elevation
  24. The usual warm spots around the area have a shot at 104°-105° or maybe even warmer. Both the Euro and GFS have 850mb temperatures around +25 C Thursday and Friday. I believe July 2011 was the last time 850 mb temperatures reached this high.
  25. We've definitely already peaked as far as the Pacific cold phase goes....likely pretty near neutral for the coming winter (slightly negative probably favored), but I still think it will be early next decade, around the solar min, when we truly switch into the new warm phase. Like a very big winter right after the solar min, as we begin the ascending phase.
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