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7/18 rainfall EWR: 2.37 JFK: 1.63 LGA: 1.57 NYC: 1.52

0.10" won't cut it. Nice white caps on the lake. Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Records: Highs: EWR: 100 (2013) NYC: 102 (1977) LGA: 100 (2013) JFK: 97 (1963) Lows: EWR: 60 (1962) NYC: 57 (1924) LGA: 62 (2000) JFK: 61 (1962) Historical: 1850: Tropical storm to the east of DC caused trees and signs to be blown down and some buildings were damaged. (Ref. WxDoctor) 1886 - A hurricane from the Gulf of Mexico crossed Florida causing great damage from Cedar Keys to Jacksonville. (David Ludlum) 1886: The 1886 Atlanta Hurricane season was a very active year with ten hurricanes, seven of which struck the United States. During the evening hours of July 18th, a category 1 storm made landfall near Homosassa Springs, Florida. Damage was slight as the area was thinly inhabited. The hurricane weakened to tropical storm status south of Gainsville and emerged on the eastern side of Florida, south of Jacksonville during the morning hours of the 19th. This was the fourth hurricane to make landfall in the United States. 1935: Boston, Massachusetts recorded the highest average one minute wind velocity from the northwest at 52 mph. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1960 - Cow Creek and Greenland Ranch in Death Valley, CA, reported morning lows of 102 degrees. The afternoon high at Greenland Ranch was 124 degrees, and the high at Cow Creek that afternoon was 126 degrees. The coolest low for the entire month for both locations was 82 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1972: The record coldest July temperature was tied at Billings, MT at 41° (also occurred 7/4/1972). The high for the day was a chilly 47°, the only occurrence of a July high temperature less than 50°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1974 - A severe thunderstorm with winds to 80 mph and up to two inches of rain washed out four to five foot deep sections of roadway in Lake Havasu City, AZ. Three persons in a station wagon died as it was carried 3000 feet down a wash by a ten foot wall of water. (The Weather Channel) 1977 - Thunderstorms produced torrential rains over parts of southwestern Pennsylvania. Some places receive more than twelve inches in a seven hour period. The heavy rains cause flash flooding along streams resulting in widespread severe damage. The cloudburst floods Johnstown with up to ten feet of water resulting in 76 deaths, countless injuries, and 424 million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1983: July 19, ........"The I-94 Derecho"....ND, MN, IA, WI, MI, IL, IN 1987 - Fifteen cities in the western and the southeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Winnemucca, NV, with a reading of 33 degrees. Flagstaff AZ reported a record low of 34 degrees. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in New York State and New Jersey. High winds and hail two inches in diameter injured two persons and caused considerable damage to crops in the Pine Island area of central New York State. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced more than five inches of rain at Red Cloud, including two inches in fifteen minutes. Torrid temperatures continued over California, with record highs of 115 degrees at Red Bluff and 116 degrees at Redding. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Early morning thunderstorms in the Lower Mississippi Valley produced 5.50 inches of rain south of Alexander, AR, in just ninety minutes, and flash flooding which resulted claimed the life of one woman. Thunderstorms in Indiana produced 4.95 inches of rain in twelve hours east of Muncie. Eight cities in the southwestern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Las Vegas, NV, with a reading of 115 degrees, and Phoenix, AZ, with a high of 116 degrees. The low that night at Phoenix of 93 degrees was the warmest of record for that location. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1993: In Winnsboro, SC, lightning hit a nearby tree and resulting debris fell on a car. The driver left the car to sweep debris away, saying “lightning never strikes twice in the same spot.” He was wrong. CPR saved him. The soles of his wife's shoes were also blown off. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA) 2005 - Severe heat gripped the region during early to mid-July. Las Vegas, NV tied their all-time record high temperature of 117 degrees, equalling the old record set on July 24, 1942. 2006 - The first of two severe thunderstorms hits the St. Louis area, causing the largest power outage in the city's history with over 570,000 people losing electricity. 2006: A derecho impacted a sellout crowd of almost 44,000 St. Louis Cardinals fans, packed into the new Busch Stadium. Winds of about 80 mph whirled around the St. Louis area, sending the fans running for shelter. The winds knocked out power and broke windows out of the press box. Nearly two minutes after the winds began at 100 mph, they stopped, and it started to rain. In all, about 30 people were injured at the stadium

New London 4 to 6

76 / 65 sunny. Nice day on tap today / Monday dry low - mid 80s. Tue / Wed next shot at greater than an inch of rain widespread with trough into the east and tropical flow below and boundary nearby. We'll see if the heavier rains stay south into the VA area. Beyond there Thu - the coming weekend look overall near - below normal - likely capped in the 80s (no 90s in the perud). Trough lingers into the east and should include unforeseen rain chances in that period. Western ridge and heat builds from the TX area into the plain and comes east 7/27 and beyond , could see a heat back to close the month / start August, but brunt of the strongest heat to the south and west till then.

A lot of rain after those reports. Had 1.3” as of 9:30 ended up with 3.03”

Man Midwest smoked out. I saw AQI over 600 this past week. Centered over Chicago today

I just started a thread on Invest 91L/potential Bertha:

.91 with tstrms

Invest 91L will be investigated by recon today. NHC chances in TWO now very high: Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Northern Gulf of America and near Florida (AL91): An area of low pressure located over the northeastern Gulf of America continues to become better defined and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is gradually increasing. Continued gradual development is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form later today or on Monday as the system moves slowly northward or northwestward. Interests along the northern Gulf coast from Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana should monitor the progress of this system, as tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for portions of the area later today. In addition, this system is expected to bring heavy rains to portions of the northern Gulf coast during the next several days. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low pressure area later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi —————— -Last 5 full (0Z/12Z) UKMET runs, the most consistently enthusiastic of the globals, have had a TS from this moving toward W GOM/LA/TX. -Icon also has been hinting at this for several days with some runs having a TC -0Z Euro was first run with a TC with it near borderline TS S of W FL panhandle

I saw a video from around Deposit, NY of damage from that tornado. I’ll be curious what the rating will be on it.

It was a good call postponing Freedom Fest until Saturday 7/25. Nothing severe here thankfully, a .36” total, 7.95” for the month, and heavy heavy mosquitoes thanks to the deluge from a couple weeks ago. @crossbowftw3I saw the Tornado Warnings yesterday and saw footage of the damage around Deposit, hope you made out ok.

Sucks to be you

We love huge COC

.91 great drink

Yesterday didn’t really bust. The greatest threat for severe weather was off to the West, in which there were a quite a few reports, including at least one tornado. Threat was always lower here and worth watching.

We will all take this. Yes this will be a strong El Nino but its way too early to say what this upcoming winter will be like. How will the NAO, AO , PNA and EPO be ? MJO ? Alot of factors.

Lots of thunder last night though none of it particularly close. Ended up with some solid rains. Looks like a beaut shaping up for today. Moving into the rapid-shortening of days with sunlight losses hitting 2-minutes plus per day at Pit2 this week.

Mount Holly bullish for heavy rainfall here on Tuesday. 1-2" in the forecast for Tuesday night.

I think he meant precip in general. Should do well with rain events to knock down any remaining deficits.

WB 6Z GFS and EURO rain for midweek.

Still no power in Marysville & PPL has no estimated time for restoration yet.

Plenty of ocean heat to be re-distributed, as ocean heat content increased at a rapid pace in the first quarter. The ocean as a whole is warming much faster now vs 97/98.

Set a new record 'warm minimum' for the date of 69.7 degrees, old mark was 69.0 degrees from both 2015 and 2013. Wow it is incredibly muggy/humid here this morning with partly cloudy skies, 72.9/69.0 degrees at 7:50 am. A small thundershower rolled thru here about 3 pm dropping 0.03" and winds gusted to 28 mph, that was relief for about 8 minutes until it cleared and the mugginess/heat returned.

The pattern from the winter is still in place, with long wave troughiness continuing in the northeast and frequent Canadian airmasses. Completely different from last year. We sent all the torch the Western Europe. Persistence ftw. This breaks once the fall EL Nino forcing kicks into high gear.