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I think it’s the low probability of a little weenie norlun I mentioned. That may explain the shape too.

That whole evolution from day 12 on is just wacky. Would love to see it play out like that lol

It's all good, we've had a phenomenal season already. Gonna take a 2-3 week break from snow, but hopefully we can resume the snowy pattern after the New year.

It’s too bad they discontinued the banding product from FSU. These charts were nice to have in the past. But the exact spot of the banding and subsidence is almost always a nowcasters special. Robert Hart, Florida State University https://moe.met.fsu.edu › banding Experimental NAM and GFS Banding Diagnostics. Note: The NAM output is ... Archive of recent images. Bob Hart, FSU David Novak, WPC Walt Drag, NWS PHI

GFS has THREE events around Xmas. Dec 25, 27, and 28-29! What a weenie run!

Don’t mind it at all. I’m usually up till 2-3 am anyway…gonna enjoy the late night silence tonight with moderate fluffy snow falling.

I remember that one and could see that as a scenario where this could bust.

For anyone wishing for LWX to issue warnings, we almost always do better when they play catch-up. I don't need to see my house in the pink map. Just let it snow!

Yeah, SNE has been in rough shape as well. C/NNE have done much better. Tracks have not been right for the stretch of coast from NJ to LI to SEMa. Easy for Va to pile up nickel and dime events when everything is suppressed/shredded and weak, with no amplification to drive the waves northward. Happy this one appears to be working out.

Good,valid point. Post this in the Main Forum and you'll have many going Nuts over there ; particularly the Warmanista and GW brainwashed One's. They'd probably justify the Model's doing that. Fact is, GW is real to a degree but, the Cause and Forecasted Rate is off. Not to say your Post is about GW, just giving an Opinion on why you're right on your Suspicion.

Went to work expecting around an inch for Whitehall and leaving work and expecting around 2-3in. Nice nice

Really coming down here now, starting to accumulate on grass/vegetation, not much on the roads yet though. Temp is just below 32f, so hopefully it starts dropping soon and we see some higher ratio stuff move in

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1141 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 OHZ057-058-PAZ021-WVZ002-140215- /O.UPG.KPBZ.WW.Y.0024.251213T1800Z-251214T1800Z/ /O.EXA.KPBZ.WS.W.0008.251213T1800Z-251214T1800Z/ Muskingum-Guernsey-Allegheny-Brooke- Including the cities of Pittsburgh Metro Area, Wellsburg, Zanesville, Follansbee, and Cambridge 1141 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 7 inches. * WHERE...In Ohio, Guernsey and Muskingum Counties. In Pennsylvania, Allegheny County. In West Virginia, Brooke County. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please report snow or ice accumulations by calling 412-262-1988, posting to the NWS Pittsburgh Facebook page, or using X @NWSPittsburgh. && $$

True.. lol

Folks, I have stuck to my guns. This map says it all - South Mtn special with banding. Lollipops of more than 6 inches across S Mtn region. Be prepared for a winter storm warning to be issued. for some areas during the storm event. This is a "now" event -lets see what happens I go by physical geography, not by dam roads as do the models. Bear Creek is going to love this storm

The 12z RGEM would be pretty interesting for the western lakeshore and secondary snowbelt at times overnight tonight through Sunday! It also looks plenty snowy for the inland core snowbelt.

Even managed to get me close to the 2-3 range. I wonder if any of that is from stuff falling today.

The era of it always snows at night

Over the weather…. You suck as a human being, but you are smarter than that. You damn well know this is about more than just weather, it’s about how you treat people. You have a superiority complex and put kind hearted people who yes do wishcast a bit down and call them stupid. Fuck you

Gfs says what big warmup. Also 2 storms in the long range

The HRRR is suggesting that right at the very beginning when it precip arrives into the LSV. I would think it would be brief if it happens. Surface starts above freezing but 850mb and 925mb level are plenty cold to start the event and cool further as the event progresses. I think this event should get the rest of the LSV solidly on the board in terms of first synoptic snowfall.

Did mekster draw this?

for real. its never EVER that serious, sorry that he went off on you

HREF looks good

IF this possible moderate " snow event " pans out and is the real deal that makes most people in this forum ( besides Snowy ) Happy then no offense to Anthony or anyone else but I suggest that WeatherGeek2025 ,,,, be the person to start the next storm discussion as well and IF he does good again , heck he can do it for the rest of the winter !!!!