All Activity

Need to be weaker

Well, if you want a snowier solution, we better see some bigger changes at 12Z today. Otherwise that’s gonna take quite the overhaul to change the solution.

Makes zero sense because there is plenty of oil currently in the US

I get it…overnight runs verbatim show that. But do we know if that trough will actually be that sharp 8-10 days from now? we don’t. That’s an easy fix at this lead…just like the run before 0z showed a hit. If we were talking 4 days away, different story. I don’t really care if it cuts or not…bring the nice weather. But the nice weather will be gone after mid week, and the pattern is conducive, so we watch of course. No worries either way.

Most of the short range guidance trending towards keeping the front crashing south to I-80. Last week WAA won out but I don’t think that will be the case this time around, unless RRFS is onto something. Looks pretty ominous. Not a fan of the 8-2am storm time, hopefully the timing will keep things from getting too out of hand south and west of here.

I think the record for this date was 77 in 2016. Can we break?

Could see some showers with thunder develop around/after daybreak Wednesday morning on the nose of the advecting MUCAPE

AIs have something brewing for ski country. Where snow should be in March and April. .

i get hit with a couple weeks of itchy eyes right at the beginning of spring every year and it's definitely started

A-

72 at the park today!?

No -NAO hurt this time of year

Sure

Kind of cool that the Terrapin men's BB team is only 12 wins away from the national championship and already know their next 3 opponents.

Snowfall totals from this event...thrilling stuff A little odd to me that ORH didn't even report a T for this event, just a big zero. All the SNE snowfall maps for this season are up here, so far there is 24 events https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/sne-25-26

I saw my first blooming crocuses yesterday. Daffodils have been poking out for 2ish days but no blooms yet.

starting this weekend cold enough air for snow making will return and probably last into a good portion of April for ski resorts that choose to remain open - mainly caused by the Start Warming event now unfolding.

Spring Preview This Week Followed By Mid-Month Regression Cooler & Stormier Start To Astronomical Spring As the conclusion of the harshest winter in about a decade comes into focus, those beleaguered by the season begin to look forward to spring with great anticipation, and it just so happens that Mother Nature is obliging this week. Indeed, the progression of the MJO through the Maritime Continent is treating New Englanders to a bona fide spring preview this week, as temperatures soar through the 60s today, and even potentially past 70 degrees tomorrow across the forecast area. Note the similarity between the current pattern that is poised to bring near record warmth across the east. And the regime associated with passage of the MJO through phase 6 during early to mid March. One consequence of a mild pattern such as this is that the cold is afforded ample time to pool near the pole, which leaves the mid latitudes vulnerable to future incursions should the pattern permit, and in a season such as this not often will. Astronomical Spring More Akin To Late Winter This Year Mother Nature often refuses to abide by the calendar definition of seasons, which is but a mere artifact of Astrology, and at no other point of the year is this more evident in New England than the Spring. If one is in search for a deviation from that trend, then this is not the year to conduct a fruitful search. Last summer, Eastern Mass weather began making a case for why the coming cold season was likely to display a propensity for episodes of cross polar flow due to the expected configuration of both the polar domain, as well as the extra tropical Pacific. This analysis has proven very prescient in nature. It would stand to reason that "spring" 2026 may have one last bitter pill for the region to swallow and it just so happens that there are indeed signs that that will be the case. Note the progression of the MJO wave out of the MC and into phases 7 and 8. Although the wave is forecast to weaken markedly upon passage into phase 8, currently it is forecast to impress on the tropical forcing pattern, nonetheless. Here is the pattern that this type of forcing regime in mid-latter March, approaching the equinox would entail. This should look familiar. There is also a strong storm signal centered on the 16th, as a PNA judge flexes into existence for perhaps one final time. Obviously the cold will undoubtedly be less severe and more ephemeral in nature than it was during the heart of the boreal winter season, but one last winter storm can not be ruled out, especially across the distant interior between now and the "astronomical" start of spring. A cold rain likely on the coastal plain at this extended juncture; spring in New England, indeed.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/03/spring-preview-this-week-by-mid-month.html

Down to just patches of snow cover here this morning. I spent the weekend in the Catskills. Snow is patchy at the trailheads (almost gone in spots), but at least a couple of feet remains starting around 2500 feet and more higher. In most places the snowpack is thoroughly rotted. It has no structure and if you go off the packed tracks you sink to the bottom with very little resistance. Some of the trails were washed out rivers on Sunday. The snowpack there is going to release a lot of water between now and Wednesday.

Central Park: 78; LaGuardia Airport: 79; Newark reached 80.

Also add that we need a volcanic eruption for a snowy winter.

Absolutely. Still an outside shot of something between 3/18-3/21 but we'll need some luck in clown range.

Cant say that just yet. We can trend back to a snow event . Need the cutter to be weaker.

Here in UHI world I think we are a solid 14+ days behind where we have been in the past several winters. We have a lot of crocuses blooming in random sunny spots in parks; in past years, those bloomed as early as Feb 18th-24th.