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It's an internet forum after all, very few of these survive anymore so we should be happy for any traffic at this point. Gotta put up with the occasional dumbass poster like myself to get the good stuff.

Yeah that block is what you hope to see…gradual south shifts with that.

Said my weenies don’t dance they just pull up their snow pants…

15-1 for you, Merry Christmas

There's an ERA-5 dataset that goes back to 1940. https://www.psl.noaa.gov/mjo/mjoindex/omi.era5.1x.webpage.4023.txt

ya that was real close that run though

Yeah nobody wants the ice cold brown frown

I'd like to see that lead wave on Mon-Tues trend weaker assuming any of that is even real lol

I think many would rather that than the dreaded cold and dry Dec. '89 Ginx referred to earlier

Both me and Jebman are within shouting distance of the middle of the table. Whodathunkit?

A few more models are picking up possible snow showers tomorrow. The norlun feature on Saturday is also picking up a little more support. I think either feature could surprise with an isolated C-1"... I think there's even a low chance (maybe <1 in 8) of someone picking up 2" on Saturday in a persistent band. Unlikely though but still fun to nowcast if it happens.

Yeah, I mean it was far from epic. I didn’t even cover the grass. However, it was icy and cold, everything had that twinkle and felt like a December 2nd of yore. Watching Lampoons for the 300th time(not complaining) last night was damn cozy.

1-2” would be nice. The cold temps might be a bonus simply cause that can help ratios. More from less. Instead of my usual -8:1 snow ratio I can get a solid 6.7:1 if temps are what the models show yes im now bringing out ratios to assuage not being in the jack

I need more of today’s weather…the kind where there’s a healthy combo of sun and light winds.

he's experiencing firsthand what this forum is about

this could be a interesting GFS run

Welcome! You say you've been lurking, so you know what you're getting into lol.

Latest RAP aggressive like the GFS.

I'm soon going on a 3 hour night hike under full moon and snow. This is heaven Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

At least we have some chances moving forward. Could be banana hammocks and parakeets

Is it possible you moved into a better snow climo by going south? Lol

posting the wrong snow map is probably the most heinous crime one can do in this forum 48 hours before an event lol. sorry. 18z GFS down below

I wish some people would post less. And by less I mean never. Yes, I fully realize some would want me to be a part of that. 37.9/27.3 and waiting Maybe the models can figure out the confluence and vort by tomorrow so the brine trucks can get ready

Not only did gfs shift, it expanded its precip extent north. Lets keep this trend going.