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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pawatch replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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JMA must have a blizzard by now.
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Yeah RGEM looks a little euroesque.
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Minor snow possible sunday 12/14/25
brooklynwx99 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
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Shows 3” over me and @mitchnick land so I’d buy haha
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pawatch replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Picked up 1.5” snow yesterday. Cold & windy today River is froze over already so fishing is done for awhile. -
2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Is a skiff the scientific term below a dusting? I had a little on the cars, the roof, and the deck. Not enough to cover any of those, but it was there. -
For 95 area at least, snow maps are worse because of the weird mix line that stays in place while it snows south of 95. QPF for Baltimore was 0.3 but 10:1 only shows 1-2 inches.
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Minor snow possible sunday 12/14/25
snowman19 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Where do you see the RGEM showing 5 inch totals anywhere in the metro? RGEM: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2025121112&fh=84&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 -
The RGEM has been garbage, Been way to cold for starters, Just saying so far this winter up here, I'm still looking for my 3.6" it had for yesterday.
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Rgem def improved. Need a little more for up here but that was a nice hit for SE areas/Cape.
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While I always share frustration in snowmelt, Im curious, why do you only post when its to complain? I dont think I saw one post from you during Chicago's snow blitz not to mention one of the coldest starts to December on record.
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It's weird cause I though H5 was sharper going into it. Precip just never gets going.
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12/14: Sunday funday? Will the south win again?
NorthArlington101 replied to TSSN+'s topic in Mid Atlantic
RGEM not all that inspiring - still an inch DC-BALT but has the heaviest stuff from PHL- NYC. More NAM-y -
3 to 4 inches would be heavenly !
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lol. The mix on RDPS is comical
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RGEM is blah
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A shift nw from what it’s been showing. Getting close to euro like solution which would make most happy east of like route 15/340
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Something more for Torch to poop at. Looked like it was going to clear out and it’s been dumping instead. Stake up to 1 foot
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nooner NAM nest has LES streamer parked over my place in Gaines. As sled trails open at close of rifle season (dark) saturday night, it'd be fun a shit to take them up for a rip and blow much dust off them. Hoping norther woods can survive whatever the warmup is (although Ens guidance sorta says not likely). Tellies show mixed signals IMO but neg PNA is not typically a good precurser to winter in the east. Coupled w/ WAR....yuk. Still enough time for that to change for better or worse. -
We peaked at 5-6" depth pre dawn yesterday and have 3-4" left. Theres a few grass patches in the usual places (trees by Salt splashed roadsides) but the snow is frozen solid.
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6 weeks. Right through the heart of winter. Here it comes. On the other hand, we were cold last January, but had very little to show for it. TW
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Minor snow possible sunday 12/14/25
Stormlover74 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Rgem is very solid. 3 to 5 for most. Less north -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
From one of my favorite professionals Bobby Martrich at EPAWA on the upcoming milder but not torch pattern before cold returns. "A lot of talk recently about a Christmas week "torch" and yes, there have and will be changes to the late next week period to just past Christmas that will take us out of the tank where we've been for much of December, and moderate the pattern. The culprit is a nearly 5 sigma high pressure/ridge over the Bering Sea, which was poorly modeled last week, and responded to a combination of a Scandinavian blocking pattern and the EAMT that retracted the Pacific jet too far... allowing this ridge to pop over the Bering Sea. If you watched the WW video last Sunday when I had @ShaneMartrich on, he talked about his research and lack of data in the polar regions. This may be one of those cases why the models and ensembles had a knee-jerk reaction this week. Kind of their version of an "oh crap" moment. By doing so, it turns the EPO positive, so the cross-polar flow is temporarily shut off. But for transparency, this is far from a "torch" pattern for us. Milder than now, yes... but aside from a synoptically-driven spike ahead of a cutter near the 18th, temperatures return closer to average instead of 15-20° below like they have been. This will be temporary, and may last more than a week, then colder returns late month and January."
