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I mentioned this to Ray this morning. The angle blows for most of New England. So the storm could literally be close by and miss most of us

Being an Alabama fan. Good gracious. My wife & kids told me not to come home!!! lol. They are kicking me out for not bringing them to meet him.

Well, after flopping around for days, the models have suddenly shown remarkable consistency now that the consensus is largely a whiff for New England

GFS keeps the temperature's below freezing even in the city for the entire event!

Russian drone

Yeah, being on the outside looking in right now is kind of scary. If this goes more south at all, we’re cooked

Yeah it doesn’t happen too often but this is admittedly a weird setup. We want to see ensembles tighten before really getting a good handle. The mean still has decent precip up into NNE so there’s a lot to spread.

Crazy the Friday storm is in NAM range for 6z run tonight . Glad the gfs is the southern outlier . But 12 EPS does look kind of gfs like .. let’s get this north to include more of New England

I don't think the Euro is king anymore, so I take it with the same grain of salt as the GFS, etc.

I don’t think Boxing Day will be for us but I do like seeing the big warmth not materialize.

Just saw a small meteorite burn up over Coram/Selden at a pretty low altitude, I saw the smoke and everything. Came in like a missile. Not far off from the flight path into ISP.

When doesn’t it with winter storms? This is like old days GFS that was always south and you could predict exactly what and when it would come back north, That’s in fact how we started the north trend term that the mid Atlantic still hates us for .

I agree but we've been experiencing a lot of atypical patterns and outcomes. Like how a strongly negative AO/NAO linked up with a SE ridge last winter, something that was unheard of. GFS also did poorly with the last snow event so take its outcome with a grain of salt. I would favor SNE to get it over us

Yes but two weeks ago the weeklies had the Christmas Day to New Years period 10° above average. It looks just about average to me now. But of course it didn't happen yet so we shall see.

It is literally the same as 12z for our area.

Still think the Euro leads the way here. I highly doubt this dives into the Mid-Atlantic as a snow event and whiffs us. How often does that even happen?

There are three things in life we can count on. Death, Taxes, and for JB to sniff out a snowstorm when all the models are showing torch (or anything else, for that matter).

GFS keeps the temperature's below freezing even in the city for the entire event!

So far, we have a brand new baby Flash and a Nick Saban connection in this thread. The day just keeps getting better. The point and click below is pretty wild in my book. Is the "thunder in the mountains" rule going to score coming out of this? I am gonna post these here and see how many verify.... My iPhone has my local at 60F on Sunday for a high and then maybe doesn't go above freezing again until Wednesday(not this Weds)!!! The Native Americans noticed Chinooks first in the Pacific NW according to Wikipedia(I did not know this). I am nearly certain the Native Americans of the Plains were thankful for it. In the Plains, chinooks also helped farmers get their cattle through winter. It also allowed for snow to evaporate and dissipate, thus limiting catastrophic snowmelt during spring. It has a purpose. Great article here in this link. https://sheridanmedia.com/news/185207/history-chinook-winds/ It has been scientifically determined that the Chinook wind, falling from mountain to plain is warmed at the rate of about 1–degree for each 180 feet of descent. A fall of 5500 feet from the summit or the Cascade mountains to the wide plateau of the interior will rise the temperature of the wind by about 80 degrees.

It actually eroded the northern edge but the heavy stuff bumped a little north…which makes sense. It’s basically tightening the gradient. Prob a sharp cutoff in this system.

Bad

I GOTTA GET THE BREAD AND MILK!

I thought this run was worse than 12z to be honest