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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'll go against you on this one. There is nothing exciting about tomorrow to me. I'm very concerned -
Ginxy doesn't make maps.
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3/16/26 Severe Weather Event Thread (Day 2 MOD Risk)
weatherwiz replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Probably one of the most impressive line-embedded tornado potential I think I've seen for these parts tomorrow. Unusually when you're seeing 15% tornado probs, you are either talking about or looking for discrete cells (which of course are very possible tomorrow) but that degree of turning combined with sufficient CAPE in the layer and timing of the forcing...going to see some significant rotation embedded within that line tomorrow. -
2026-2027 El Nino
so_whats_happening replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If this were to actually hold we would see quite the KW form and would significantly raise the chances of at least a moderate to strong Nino. -
Tomorrow is one of the most impressive setups I think I've seen for line-embedded tornadoes in the mid-Atlantic tomorrow. That is some serious turning in the lowest 3km with what looks to be more than sufficient CAPE, not to mention the timing of the strongest forcing seems to coincide quite well with the best ingredients.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 36. All eyes on tomorrow for what should be an exciting, but hopefully not too destructive, weather day. -
That was a great winter for sure. It feels like a flip has switched during the subsequent three winters but that may or may end up proving true. However, the extent to which warm and snowless records have not just been broken but in many cases obliterated this year is ultimately more noteworthy, I believe, than a very good but not record smashing season four years ago now. That’s my take anyway.
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8 foot wingspan?!?
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Agree how many times have we been forecasted to get 1-3 from a deformation band and end up with 30 minutes of flurries
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https://www.news8000.com/weather/live-cameras/
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It hasn’t been a terrible March up here. Sitting at 1.26” LE for the month. YTD is 1.74”, so yeah January and most of Feb was underwhelming.
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Unfortunately…NAM
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I am very intrigued with Monday. Nam3km showing rates of 2"+ per hour around 3-5pm in Buncombe County. Looks like the column of air goes frozen as the heavy precipitation moves in. Upper Level Low going negative tilt helps this. I'll be watching the Alabama radar tomorrow to see what is developing. That will be the main slug of moisture and then NWF. NAM3km gave man 3" on the 12Z run, looks to agree with the GFS. Euro still on board with a dusting for most. Also as Met mentioned, the long range pattern certainly doesn't look warm.
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Letting my Pivotalwx subscription expire tonight. Not worth paying for it anymore. I’ll renew it again in mid-November like I normally do
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Today is sneaky. I think for those along and west of I-77, it’s worth not getting lulled to sleep and distracted by Monday’s headlines.
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Ya just posted about it on the socials 3-4”+ possible
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Seems to me LOT has played this pretty good thus far.
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If NAM is right widespread issues tomorrow night
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Slightly
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The COD 3k gust maps are still bringing the wind. Ginxy’s maps probably show 100mph+
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
From CTP Within the line, embedded supercells could support concentrated tornadic winds in the midst of a potentially expansive area of damaging wind gusts. -
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2025-2026 New England Snow Recordkeeping Thread
Lava Rock replied to bristolri_wx's topic in New England
is it still possible to retrieve last year's snow totals from the old board? -
Local news stations also show Spc outlooks
