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There were very frequent and long 3-4 second flashes last night, and then some positive CG with the loud thunder today as well. Over an inch of rain past 24 hours.
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TriPol started following September 2026
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It's September 2. Let's not make bold predictions this early into September.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Elim72 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
What are the models looking like for this evening? -
.22" here, and some decent thunder and lightning
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Models trying to stein -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
.8” rain from this late morning / early afternoon storms. So 1.45” or so within 14 hours. Not bad. -
Would also match the monthly record high minimum, set 4 times (all from the old city station, with the last date in 1922). 77F is the highest at ORD (9/10/2013).
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I think we tied a record high min today @ORD 78. @Chicago Storm As long as we don’t dip below 78 before midnight tonight we should tie it.
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ORD tied a record high min today of 78. Should hold I don’t think we dip below 80 by midnight tonight.
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Yeah.. better models don't really show it. 30 days until the correlation increases by 3-4x!
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Looks like September will end up being the hottest summer month for TX/OK.
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Texas 2026 Discussion/Observations
MarcmmKU replied to Stx_Thunder's topic in Central/Western States
Not at all my area, (but it does indirectly affect our weather), but when do you think the huge ridge over the southern plains/southeast will let up? -
Monday, August 31 - Thursday, September 3, 2026 Convective Episodes
Cyclone-68 replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
That marginal line runs through Braintree and Weymouth. Figures..The summer of FU continues -
Both Detroit and Chicago have reached at least 96F, possibly 97F. Believe it or not, that's the hottest September reading at Chicago since 1985. Much more recent at DTW - 98F in 2011.
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Thanks! They don't have SST so I will still have to find something for May-Sept N. Atlantic SSTA index. Here's that arctic -H5 for the warm season this year 90N.. just where my reverse correlation for the Winter is the highest. Expect 90N H5 ridging for the DJFM mean.
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Thanks!
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Well in the Deep south +2-7F occurred in August and the model at a 0.0 month lead had ~0F. Denver verified +4F vs the models -3F.
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It's interesting because it seems to be effecting the Southern Hemisphere. October is the start of big wavelength correlations, so it will be so interesting to see what happens in about a month! If the -H5 doesn't form over the N. Pacific, score a big one for the PDO.
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Found this interesting
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I doubt it given the limited scope, maybe different if the band had parked over a major city
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I've been traumatized by this ridge in the SW, US/Rockies for the past 1 year. There are +6F anomalies for the whole 12 months! Also looking at global temperature every day, it really has gone warm lately. France has also seen 5 record breaking heat waves this Summer. We can do a cold pattern in the Winter, but I don't know that the upper latitudes (blocking potential) won't be squeezed out by El Nino or the -PDO/whatever the global pattern is in the Pacific. Fairbanks, Alaska was 1F away from their lowest Summer max temp all time, and I ran those analogs forward to find out they go +EPO in Winter.
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1.43” here on what was supposed to be the dry day.
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Stuff like this makes one appreciate humanity being able to pull off even a fraction of the civ engineering feats that we've achieved
